Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

[busybee01]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

Voters disagree with Trump on almost every issue. Trump acts but too often he acts against the Constitution. Trump is the ultimate politician. He wants to open schools and put Americans at risk just so he can be re-elected.

Stop trolling

The truth hurts doesn't it. You are the biggest troll on this board.

 

[busybee01]

Trump has some personality disorders. (Don't we all---just look at this board.) Personality disorders are a problem, but they do not keep a person from doing great things. Winston Churchill was another with obvious personality disorders. Greatest man of the 20th century.

Personality disorders, ego issues, are nothing really when your other choice is pure Depravity---as it was in 2016 when dumb, drunk, dishonest---Depraved Hillary Clinton was the opposition. And they are nothing when Dementia is the opposition, as is so obviously the case today. (Check out the video of yesterday's embarrassment, below)

I had to buckle my seat belt an vote for Trump in 2016. Am giving him money this time. Have never seen a "real politician" come as near filling his campaign promises as Trump, a definite non-politician, has. Where he has failed, it is because he functions in a Republic and the opposition has been fierce, continuous, and in some cases---Seditious.

The trouble is that most people opposed him on the issues in 2016. Voters voted against Clinton in 2016 and they will dispose of Trump in 2020.

 

[Jitss617]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

Voters disagree with Trump on almost every issue. Trump acts but too often he acts against the Constitution. Trump is the ultimate politician. He wants to open schools and put Americans at risk just so he can be re-elected.

Stop trolling

The truth hurts doesn't it. You are the biggest troll on this board.

You stated your fantasy lol.. trump will
Win all 50 states

 

[22lcidw]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

That is what makes Trump......Trump! The President is not as descriptive as Prog politicians are. Or to put it another way, the words he says are used against him even if he does not mean what they interpret. Obama spouted "hope and change". I remember three major things from him. The hideous Obamacare. Massive expansion of gay rights. Massive expansion of feminism. With the courts supporting much of his agenda. Protest and riots matured under his tutelage. Progs hate this nation. Its is not evolution but revolution what they want. And most of them will be screwed over by their own when fully empowered.

 

[22lcidw]

Trump has some personality disorders. (Don't we all---just look at this board.) Personality disorders are a problem, but they do not keep a person from doing great things. Winston Churchill was another with obvious personality disorders. Greatest man of the 20th century.

Personality disorders, ego issues, are nothing really when your other choice is pure Depravity---as it was in 2016 when dumb, drunk, dishonest---Depraved Hillary Clinton was the opposition. And they are nothing when Dementia is the opposition, as is so obviously the case today. (Check out the video of yesterday's embarrassment, below)

I had to buckle my seat belt an vote for Trump in 2016. Am giving him money this time. Have never seen a "real politician" come as near filling his campaign promises as Trump, a definite non-politician, has. Where he has failed, it is because he functions in a Republic and the opposition has been fierce, continuous, and in some cases---Seditious.

The trouble is that most people opposed him on the issues in 2016. Voters voted against Clinton in 2016 and they will dispose of Trump in 2020.

The issues were common sense, not extremism.

 

[busybee01]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

Democrats only won 41 seats, previously republicans won 52 seats .. Trump is the incumbent he should’ve lost way more seats than that.. you’re getting high turnout in large cities that does not do anything to the electoral college

Suburban voters are moving to the Democrats. The only thing that saved Republicans from further losses was the gerrymandering they put in place earlier in the decade. When Pennsylvania got a fair map in 2018, it went from a solid Republican delegation to a tie. In Texas, Democrats picked up 2 congressional seats and are poised to take several more in 2020.

 

[Jitss617]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

Democrats only won 41 seats, previously republicans won 52 seats .. Trump is the incumbent he should’ve lost way more seats than that.. you’re getting high turnout in large cities that does not do anything to the electoral college

Suburban voters are moving to the Democrats. The only thing that saved Republicans from further losses was the gerrymandering they put in place earlier in the decade. When Pennsylvania got a fair map in 2018, it went from a solid Republican delegation to a tie. In Texas, Democrats picked up 2 congressional seats and are poised to take several more in 2020.

When the main stream is anti trump ppl will
Say what they want you to hear.. democrats can’t win elections, no one is show up in places you need it .. and. Many blacks are running as republicans and ppl are seeing it.. and asking questions.. it’s over for democrats

 

[busybee01]

Trump has some personality disorders. (Don't we all---just look at this board.) Personality disorders are a problem, but they do not keep a person from doing great things. Winston Churchill was another with obvious personality disorders. Greatest man of the 20th century.

Personality disorders, ego issues, are nothing really when your other choice is pure Depravity---as it was in 2016 when dumb, drunk, dishonest---Depraved Hillary Clinton was the opposition. And they are nothing when Dementia is the opposition, as is so obviously the case today. (Check out the video of yesterday's embarrassment, below)

I had to buckle my seat belt an vote for Trump in 2016. Am giving him money this time. Have never seen a "real politician" come as near filling his campaign promises as Trump, a definite non-politician, has. Where he has failed, it is because he functions in a Republic and the opposition has been fierce, continuous, and in some cases---Seditious.

The trouble is that most people opposed him on the issues in 2016. Voters voted against Clinton in 2016 and they will dispose of Trump in 2020.

The issues were common sense, not extremism.

Donald Trump is a extremist. Voters hated both candidates but decided to vote Clinton off the island. Voters see Trump is a failure and will vote him off the island in 2020.

 

[busybee01]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

Democrats only won 41 seats, previously republicans won 52 seats .. Trump is the incumbent he should’ve lost way more seats than that.. you’re getting high turnout in large cities that does not do anything to the electoral college

Suburban voters are moving to the Democrats. The only thing that saved Republicans from further losses was the gerrymandering they put in place earlier in the decade. When Pennsylvania got a fair map in 2018, it went from a solid Republican delegation to a tie. In Texas, Democrats picked up 2 congressional seats and are poised to take several more in 2020.

When the main stream is anti trump ppl will
Say what they want you to hear.. democrats can’t win elections, no one is show up in places you need it .. and. Many blacks are running as republicans and ppl are seeing it.. and asking questions.. it’s over for democrats

You are hitting the sauce big time. It is over for Republicans.

 

[Jitss617]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

Democrats only won 41 seats, previously republicans won 52 seats .. Trump is the incumbent he should’ve lost way more seats than that.. you’re getting high turnout in large cities that does not do anything to the electoral college

Suburban voters are moving to the Democrats. The only thing that saved Republicans from further losses was the gerrymandering they put in place earlier in the decade. When Pennsylvania got a fair map in 2018, it went from a solid Republican delegation to a tie. In Texas, Democrats picked up 2 congressional seats and are poised to take several more in 2020.

When the main stream is anti trump ppl will
Say what they want you to hear.. democrats can’t win elections, no one is show up in places you need it .. and. Many blacks are running as republicans and ppl are seeing it.. and asking questions.. it’s over for democrats

You are hitting the sauce big time. It is over for Republicans.

You lost almost all the elections in the past 3 months lol in Virginia and California haha, 4 black reps have switched to republican.. your done LOSER HAHA

 

[Nostra]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

if the professor is wrong, Trump supporters will say that he wasn't really wrong because illegal voters voted or something.

Bullshit.

You Dimwingers are the ones who refuse to accept the results of an election. In 2016, Your Pantsuit Messiah said that was a threat to Democracy.

 

[Care4all]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

You are not looking at the policy differences between Trump and Biden.
Biden is going full socialist with Bernie's and AOC's platform.

Ilhan Omar wants to destroy the US economy and political system - NewsBreak

Minneapolis, MN — On Tuesday, Ilhan Omar (D-MN) called for the dismantling of the US economic and political systems. In comments in Minneapolis, the congresswoman said that the systems in place allow profit, which cannot be tolerated. Her reasoning? Because these free-market systems encourage...

www.newsbreak.com

Are you a mom? If so, do you want the police and ICE defunded/disbanded?

We will never be without some form of law enforcement.... I wouldn't let that spin scare you..

Bernie is trying to get Biden elected by getting his followers excited... so not to have a Trump Part Deux...

But the truth is, the majority of congress and the Senate Democrats, are not as progressive as the so called squad or Bernie and most importantly we are in the middle of a pandemic and economic crisis that will not go away until most all citizens feel safe... either with a vaccine taken by enough, or new therapeutics.

The next two years will be occupied with these two crises...the squad' s agenda or any agenda, will take a third place slot.... imo.

 

[busybee01]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

Democrats only won 41 seats, previously republicans won 52 seats .. Trump is the incumbent he should’ve lost way more seats than that.. you’re getting high turnout in large cities that does not do anything to the electoral college

Suburban voters are moving to the Democrats. The only thing that saved Republicans from further losses was the gerrymandering they put in place earlier in the decade. When Pennsylvania got a fair map in 2018, it went from a solid Republican delegation to a tie. In Texas, Democrats picked up 2 congressional seats and are poised to take several more in 2020.

When the main stream is anti trump ppl will
Say what they want you to hear.. democrats can’t win elections, no one is show up in places you need it .. and. Many blacks are running as republicans and ppl are seeing it.. and asking questions.. it’s over for democrats

You are hitting the sauce big time. It is over for Republicans.

You lost almost all the elections in the past 3 months lol in Virginia and California haha, 4 black reps have switched to republican.. your done LOSER HAHA

Special elections do not count as they are a crapshoot. Democrats picked up a Republican state legislative seat in Kentucky. You are the loser and are too dumb to see it.

 

[Care4all]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

Yes, because those law breaking rioters are all virulent Trump supporters.

Stop confusing rule of law issues with not getting your way politically.

I think rioters, car burners, looters, etc. belong in jail, like most all sane people.

But one thing I seem to have 'up' on you Marty, is that I actually know the difference between rioters and protesters!

 

[Jitss617]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

Democrats only won 41 seats, previously republicans won 52 seats .. Trump is the incumbent he should’ve lost way more seats than that.. you’re getting high turnout in large cities that does not do anything to the electoral college

Suburban voters are moving to the Democrats. The only thing that saved Republicans from further losses was the gerrymandering they put in place earlier in the decade. When Pennsylvania got a fair map in 2018, it went from a solid Republican delegation to a tie. In Texas, Democrats picked up 2 congressional seats and are poised to take several more in 2020.

When the main stream is anti trump ppl will
Say what they want you to hear.. democrats can’t win elections, no one is show up in places you need it .. and. Many blacks are running as republicans and ppl are seeing it.. and asking questions.. it’s over for democrats

You are hitting the sauce big time. It is over for Republicans.

You lost almost all the elections in the past 3 months lol in Virginia and California haha, 4 black reps have switched to republican.. your done LOSER HAHA

Special elections do not count as they are a crapshoot. Democrats picked up a Republican state legislative seat in Kentucky. You are the loser and are too dumb to see it.

Sorry man.. as much as I would like democrats to be a option it’s over .. get your shit together

 

[martybegan]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

Yes, because those law breaking rioters are all virulent Trump supporters.

Stop confusing rule of law issues with not getting your way politically.

I think rioters, car burners, looters, etc. belong in jail, like most all sane people.

But one thing I seem to have 'up' on you Marty, is that I actually know the difference between rioters and protesters!

Yeah, but when they mingle together, the peaceful ones should get the fuck out and not give the violent ones cover. And the whole "mostly peaceful" thing is just cover for those instigating and performing violence.

What about people who block roads, or prevent protesters from the other side of the issue from protesting? Or holding meetings?