Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

[Jitss617]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

 

[pyetro]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

if the professor is wrong, Trump supporters will say that he wasn't really wrong because illegal voters voted or something.

 

[Jitss617]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

if the professor is wrong, Trump supporters will say that he wasn't really wrong because illegal voters voted or something.

He’s been right since 1912 lol

he gives trump a 90% chance haha

 

[shockedcanadian]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

 

[kyzr]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

Both Trump and Biden have policy "cards" to play.
Biden will raise taxes, save SS & Medicare, and save the planet.
Trump will save the police, keep ICE, keep the streets safe, and keep the economy strong.

IMHO the debates will be more important than in past elections. Trump should dominate, with Biden looking confused, especially trying to explain AOC's and Bernie's policies.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

if the professor is wrong, Trump supporters will say that he wasn't really wrong because illegal voters voted or something.

Here's the solution to that problem voter ID use it.

 

[Care4all]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

 

[007]

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law,

Yep, you got that right, and America sees who's behind it... THE NEW RADICAL DEMOCRAT PARTY and their ARMY OF WOKE, MARXIST, ANTIFA, AMERICA HATING RIOTING FILTH.

 

[MACAULAY]

Trump has some personality disorders. (Don't we all---just look at this board.) Personality disorders are a problem, but they do not keep a person from doing great things. Winston Churchill was another with obvious personality disorders. Greatest man of the 20th century.

Personality disorders, ego issues, are nothing really when your other choice is pure Depravity---as it was in 2016 when dumb, drunk, dishonest---Depraved Hillary Clinton was the opposition. And they are nothing when Dementia is the opposition, as is so obviously the case today. (Check out the video of yesterday's embarrassment, below)

I had to buckle my seat belt an vote for Trump in 2016. Am giving him money this time. Have never seen a "real politician" come as near filling his campaign promises as Trump, a definite non-politician, has. Where he has failed, it is because he functions in a Republic and the opposition has been fierce, continuous, and in some cases---Seditious.

 

[kyzr]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

You are not looking at the policy differences between Trump and Biden.
Biden is going full socialist with Bernie's and AOC's platform.

Ilhan Omar wants to destroy the US economy and political system - NewsBreak

Minneapolis, MN — On Tuesday, Ilhan Omar (D-MN) called for the dismantling of the US economic and political systems. In comments in Minneapolis, the congresswoman said that the systems in place allow profit, which cannot be tolerated. Her reasoning? Because these free-market systems encourage...

www.newsbreak.com

Are you a mom? If so, do you want the police and ICE defunded/disbanded?

 

[martybegan]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

Yes, because those law breaking rioters are all virulent Trump supporters.

Stop confusing rule of law issues with not getting your way politically.

 

[Care4all]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

Yes, because those law breaking rioters are all virulent Trump supporters.

Stop confusing rule of law issues with not getting your way politically.

Such a narrow, myopic, and silly, miniscule view of 'the rule of law'.....

 

[martybegan]

It's not common for a sitting president, to lose reelection.... the odds are against it...

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law, with him left in there....

If there ever was a time for those likely odds, to be wrong, it's with Trump.

Yes, because those law breaking rioters are all virulent Trump supporters.

Stop confusing rule of law issues with not getting your way politically.

Such a narrow, myopic, and silly, miniscule view of 'the rule of law'.....

No, it's a grounded realistic view of people screaming about it when all they are really complaining about is not getting their political way.

Trump plays politics like anyone before him, or any other executive politician, yet all of a sudden everything he does is against the "rule of law."

And then when people are actually flagrantly breaking the laws, and complacent Dem controlled police forces are told to stand down, well shucks, no law breaking there!

Nothing but pure doublethink. Orwell would be sadly accepting of it.

 

[Jitss617]

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation,

You democrats just shot over 1,000 blacks the past four days, you burned down and killed black babies the past month, are you on meth!?
crime is up 200% in your cities.. WHO IN
THEIR RIGHT MIND WOULD VOTE FOR YOU

 

[busybee01]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

 

[Jitss617]

Professor doubles down on prediction model of Trump's chances in 2020

Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.

www.foxnews.com

Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his "Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. "This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced."

He is totally off-base. Democrats walloped Republicans in 2018 by about 53-45. That was very enthusiastic. Also his emphasis on early primaries are bullshit. The fact is that Biden got more votes than Clinton did in a number of states. Also in 2016, Trump got fewer votes than Obama did in a number of states. Romney got more votes than Clinton did in winning some states.

Also models fail to take into account the fact that we are in the middle of 2 once in a lifetime events. The pandemic and a revolt against racists like Trump. He has flunked both tests.

Democrats only won 41 seats, previously republicans won 52 seats .. Trump is the incumbent he should’ve lost way more seats than that.. you’re getting high turnout in large cities that does not do anything to the electoral college

 

[busybee01]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

Voters disagree with Trump on almost every issue. Trump acts but too often he acts against the Constitution. Trump is the ultimate politician. He wants to open schools and put Americans at risk just so he can be re-elected.

 

[busybee01]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

Both Trump and Biden have policy "cards" to play.
Biden will raise taxes, save SS & Medicare, and save the planet.
Trump will save the police, keep ICE, keep the streets safe, and keep the economy strong.

IMHO the debates will be more important than in past elections. Trump should dominate, with Biden looking confused, especially trying to explain AOC's and Bernie's policies.

I disagree. I don't see the debates as helping Trump. He will nake outrageous and silly comments that will turn voters off.

 

[Jitss617]

Trump just has to do his rallies and he must apply pressure to his opponent and focus on the differences they have in policy. Trump acts, he doesn't talk for 40 years. He must explain the differences between him and a politician.

Voters disagree with Trump on almost every issue. Trump acts but too often he acts against the Constitution. Trump is the ultimate politician. He wants to open schools and put Americans at risk just so he can be re-elected.

Stop trolling

 

[busybee01]

However, there is such a strong movement of those who see the destruction of our nation, and the rule of law,

Yep, you got that right, and America sees who's behind it... THE NEW RADICAL DEMOCRAT PARTY and their ARMY OF WOKE, MARXIST, ANTIFA, AMERICA HATING RIOTING FILTH.

You are the filth in this country. Racist, fascist pigs like you are the ones we need to get rid off. YOU ARE THE ONE WHO HATES AMERICA.