i've re-considered the entire Ukraine case.. enter *your* opinions please..

peacefan

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Mar 8, 2018
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i've re-considered the entire Ukraine case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
...
After the Soviet Union (USSR) dissolved in 1991, the newly independent republics of Ukraine and Russia maintained ties. Ukraine agreed in 1994 to sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and dismantle the nuclear weapons in Ukraine left by the USSR. In return, Russia, the United Kingdom (UK), and the United States (US) agreed in the Budapest Memorandum to uphold the territorial integrity of Ukraine.
...
and in my opinion that's what got the "balls roling, down the hills and mountains", towards a clash of superpowers.
you see, during the same time, NATO was advancing and prepping the Baltic states on the North-Western border of Russia to become part of the EU and NATO (Lithuania in 2004 - Member states of NATO - Wikipedia).
NATO and the EU were expanding East, suffocating Russia and driving the proverbial Russian bear into a corner.
Bears don't like to be cornered, nobody large or small, no people (large in number / small in number) like to be cornered by outside forces.
NATO SHOULD HAVE KNOWN BETTER.
AND YET, WE CLAIM TO BE THE RIGHTOUS ONES.
.. ..


it's also true that the Minsk Negotiations about the Donbass region were ignored by The West, and that the Donbass region, like the Ukraine region, is populated primarily with Russian speakers.

and that Moscow had made clear to The West that they would protect Russian territories and their Russian-speaking inhabitants in Crimea (annexated by Russia earlier on the timeline).

but to sacrifice your own pawns on a massive scale (the inhabitants of the Donbass region[1]) when it is clear that the more capable Chess pieces of NATO are already in position to just keep slaughtering Russian forces and Donbass volunteers,
combined with a surprise massive and gruesome attack on the elderly of Ukraine to *try* to re-gain control of the grain and wheat production lands that Ukraine is in the North-West part of the Eastern world,
means that The West and Russia are now fighting a very long fight, a very bitter fight in the end, before political negotiations finally do settle this into some status quo.

there will be deep deep anomisity in the Ukraine region between the Ukranians and the Russian speakers as a result of that.
and immeasurable grief translated into fields of (symbolic) grave stones.

all because politicians couldn't hammer out a deal that maintained the peace.
& wanted leverage over eachother's political system and national infrastructure as basic as bread production!

IN NATO'S DEFENCE, AND THE EU'S DEFENCE :
i do believe there's a large number of citizens in the now westernized countries in Eastern Europe, that actually greatly prefer the western lifestyle over the Communist / Socialist lifestyle.
who got tired of the USSR, frustrated with the USSR's approach to governing, that they'll fight alongside NATO or on their own with NATO weaponry, even against their own countrymen and -women, to secure that promised freedom, promises made in movies and TV shows and by politicians that have secret corrupt deals with Western politicians to promote the West among the citizens of Eastern Europe.

i do believe that in the end, in about 3 to 5 decades, the citizens of Eastern Europe willl be dissapointed with the level of actual freedom that NATO and the EU grants it's citizens in the end.
i speak here as a Dutch man, middle class, and i know how bloody hard they've made it over here to break out of that middle class towards the rich end of the social spectrum.
and i know the same is true in the USA.
if you're not born rich, you're not educated with "conservative values" (meaning : keep all or most of your wealth to yourself at all times), and thus unfit to live as a rich person.
i'm going to try to prove to the world that one can be a conservative-capitalist-philantropist though. Keep most to myself, but occasionally be truly generous, both in money and in things like political honesty (as i do today).

i judge NATO and EU top-leaders to be guilty of crimes against humanity in the Ukraine region and in the regions supplied by Ukranian grain and wheat, but judge Russian top-leaders just as guilty.
they used these populations (in particular Ukranian vs Donbass) against eachother, to *try* to secure heavy amounts of leverage over eachother's political systems (Communism vs Capitalism), a huge gamble with decades worth of serious conflicts and thus heavy amounts of suffering that end up making news paper headline waves that over time decrease in both intensity (the power of how you phrase deaths happening) and frequency (reports from Ukraine vs more "current news").

and i believe the solution to be in peace negotiations with Russia withdrawing their claims on the Donbass-to-Crimea landstrip, and Russia building a new railroad east from Sebastopol which then turns North into Russia to connect with the train network there, IN EXCHANGE for a detailed and FAIR SHARE of the grain and wheat output of Ukraine.

----------------------------------------------------
[1] for which i had suggested that Putin would back down and build a trainline from that naval base in Sebastopol (Crimea) straight East and then North into actual Russian territories, on usmessageboard.com no less
 
I think you are babbling here, buddy.

The thing is, Russia did have VALID disputes with Ukraine about the Donbass, Crimea, Tariffs on gas supplies, and NATO membership.

But invading was completely unjustified.

Putin's hope was to quickly topple the Zelensky government and set terms on these issues.

Instead, he's gotten bogged down in a war with no end in sight.
 
I have called Ukraine Russia Lite for a reason. We are supporting them to taunt Putin and keep the Cold War going. Biden pretty much only knew the cold war for most of his life and is determined to create another one before he dies. Plus stirring up crap with Russia distracts from all his other woes domestically and over seas.
 
i've re-considered the entire Ukraine case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine
...
After the Soviet Union (USSR) dissolved in 1991, the newly independent republics of Ukraine and Russia maintained ties. Ukraine agreed in 1994 to sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and dismantle the nuclear weapons in Ukraine left by the USSR. In return, Russia, the United Kingdom (UK), and the United States (US) agreed in the Budapest Memorandum to uphold the territorial integrity of Ukraine.
...
and in my opinion that's what got the "balls roling, down the hills and mountains", towards a clash of superpowers.
you see, during the same time, NATO was advancing and prepping the Baltic states on the North-Western border of Russia to become part of the EU and NATO (Lithuania in 2004 - Member states of NATO - Wikipedia).
NATO and the EU were expanding East, suffocating Russia and driving the proverbial Russian bear into a corner.
Bears don't like to be cornered, nobody large or small, no people (large in number / small in number) like to be cornered by outside forces.
NATO SHOULD HAVE KNOWN BETTER.
AND YET, WE CLAIM TO BE THE RIGHTOUS ONES.
.. ..


it's also true that the Minsk Negotiations about the Donbass region were ignored by The West, and that the Donbass region, like the Ukraine region, is populated primarily with Russian speakers.

and that Moscow had made clear to The West that they would protect Russian territories and their Russian-speaking inhabitants in Crimea (annexated by Russia earlier on the timeline).

but to sacrifice your own pawns on a massive scale (the inhabitants of the Donbass region[1]) when it is clear that the more capable Chess pieces of NATO are already in position to just keep slaughtering Russian forces and Donbass volunteers,
combined with a surprise massive and gruesome attack on the elderly of Ukraine to *try* to re-gain control of the grain and wheat production lands that Ukraine is in the North-West part of the Eastern world,
means that The West and Russia are now fighting a very long fight, a very bitter fight in the end, before political negotiations finally do settle this into some status quo.

there will be deep deep anomisity in the Ukraine region between the Ukranians and the Russian speakers as a result of that.
and immeasurable grief translated into fields of (symbolic) grave stones.

all because politicians couldn't hammer out a deal that maintained the peace.
& wanted leverage over eachother's political system and national infrastructure as basic as bread production!

IN NATO'S DEFENCE, AND THE EU'S DEFENCE :
i do believe there's a large number of citizens in the now westernized countries in Eastern Europe, that actually greatly prefer the western lifestyle over the Communist / Socialist lifestyle.
who got tired of the USSR, frustrated with the USSR's approach to governing, that they'll fight alongside NATO or on their own with NATO weaponry, even against their own countrymen and -women, to secure that promised freedom, promises made in movies and TV shows and by politicians that have secret corrupt deals with Western politicians to promote the West among the citizens of Eastern Europe.

i do believe that in the end, in about 3 to 5 decades, the citizens of Eastern Europe willl be dissapointed with the level of actual freedom that NATO and the EU grants it's citizens in the end.
i speak here as a Dutch man, middle class, and i know how bloody hard they've made it over here to break out of that middle class towards the rich end of the social spectrum.
and i know the same is true in the USA.
if you're not born rich, you're not educated with "conservative values" (meaning : keep all or most of your wealth to yourself at all times), and thus unfit to live as a rich person.
i'm going to try to prove to the world that one can be a conservative-capitalist-philantropist though. Keep most to myself, but occasionally be truly generous, both in money and in things like political honesty (as i do today).

i judge NATO and EU top-leaders to be guilty of crimes against humanity in the Ukraine region and in the regions supplied by Ukranian grain and wheat, but judge Russian top-leaders just as guilty.
they used these populations (in particular Ukranian vs Donbass) against eachother, to *try* to secure heavy amounts of leverage over eachother's political systems (Communism vs Capitalism), a huge gamble with decades worth of serious conflicts and thus heavy amounts of suffering that end up making news paper headline waves that over time decrease in both intensity (the power of how you phrase deaths happening) and frequency (reports from Ukraine vs more "current news").

and i believe the solution to be in peace negotiations with Russia withdrawing their claims on the Donbass-to-Crimea landstrip, and Russia building a new railroad east from Sebastopol which then turns North into Russia to connect with the train network there, IN EXCHANGE for a detailed and FAIR SHARE of the grain and wheat output of Ukraine.

----------------------------------------------------
[1] for which i had suggested that Putin would back down and build a trainline from that naval base in Sebastopol (Crimea) straight East and then North into actual Russian territories, on usmessageboard.com no less


In the VERY VERY VERY Best case for Ukraine Russia accepts including Novorossija into Russia only.
As additional condition NATO shall turn back to borders of 1991

As I said it's the best solution


62e183f1203027365e1c01d9.jpg


The very possible solution is ALL Ukraine becomes a part of Russia
The solution is very probably


The worst outcome is WWIII and nuclear desert on Earth
 
The very possible solution is ALL Ukraine becomes a part of Russia
The solution is very probably


The worst outcome is WWIII and nuclear desert on Earth

The best solution would be Russians realizing Putin is kind of a dick, overthrowing him, returning to Democracy, and politely apologizing to the rest of the world.
 
In the VERY VERY VERY Best case for Ukraine Russia accepts including Novorossija into Russia only.
As additional condition NATO shall turn back to borders of 1991

As I said it's the best solution


62e183f1203027365e1c01d9.jpg


The very possible solution is ALL Ukraine becomes a part of Russia
The solution is very probably


The worst outcome is WWIII and nuclear desert on Earth

Your very possible solution is NEVER going to happen. The Ukrainian people will NEVER submit at this point.
 
The Korean scenario. The warring sides stop fighting without formally recognizing each other's gains.

Sanctions against Russia remain in place. NATO expands its budget, rearms and strengthens the eastern flank.

A military union between Poland and Ukraine that will mean a common military supplies and production, common training, setting up a kind of the Joint Military Committee, etc.

European integration of Ukraine with joining the European Free Trade Association.
 
NATO and the EU are guilty of crimes against humanity for their role in Ukraine? LMAO! NATO countries don't want to end up like Ukraine. They don't want an expansion of this war into Moldova and other EU countries that could destabilize the whole of Europe. That's why they're supplying weapons. They're not doing it for leverage over Ukraines government. What on Earth are you talking about?!

Russia has zero rights to Ukraine's grain, zero.
 
The Korean scenario. The warring sides stop fighting without formally recognizing each other's gains.

Sanctions against Russia remain in place. NATO expands its budget, rearms and strengthens the eastern flank.

A military union between Poland and Ukraine that will mean a common military supplies and production, common training, setting up a kind of the Joint Military Committee, etc.

European integration of Ukraine with joining the European Free Trade Association.


If Russia stops fighting, Ukraine will simply blow up all their remaining military in their country, until Russia leaves.
 
Imperialism has always been a core value of Russian culture, whether under the Czars, the Communists or under Putin's fascist government, and there is no reason to think that will change in the foreseeable future, so no ceasefire, truce of peace treaty signed by Russia can be trusted: as long as Russia believes it has the power to expand to the west, it will try to.

This being so, the very best path forward that can be hoped for is to use increasing battlefield losses and crushing economic sanctions to so weaken the Russian economy and so disrupt the political system that the Russian leadership realizes that imperialist wars are simply not feasible, and since imperialism will remain a core value of Russian culture, Russia must be kept in this weakened state for the foreseeable future. The only alternative to this is continued war, mostly in Ukraine, but beyond Ukraine if the West falters in its support of Ukraine.
 
If Russia stops fighting, Ukraine will simply blow up all their remaining military in their country, until Russia leaves.
To some extent yes. And the Kherson area is the first target in this regard. But I dare to assume it will take some time for their leaving.
 
I have called Ukraine Russia Lite for a reason. We are supporting them to taunt Putin and keep the Cold War going. Biden pretty much only knew the cold war for most of his life and is determined to create another one before he dies. Plus stirring up crap with Russia distracts from all his other woes domestically and over seas.
Bullcrap, we have consistently supported Ukraine first and foremost because THEY ASK FOR IT and are committed to democratic, open governing reforms.

We’d support Russia too if it ever wanted to go down that road again, instead of repression, corruption and imperialistic authoritarianism it has turned to under Putin’s last 15 years
 
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Okay, problem here is that while I LOVE Roger's music, and think he's right on a lot of things... you have to remember the thing that guides his art and his politics.

In 1944, his father was killed at Anzio, and he grew up a war orphan. That makes him against ALL War on principle. Understandable, noble sentiment, but not always practical.

The point is, I would agree in principle that we COULD have avoided this war by implementing the Minsk agreement, once Putin invaded, that kind of went off the table.

I also think at least part of this is the David Gilmour and Nick Mason released that pro-Ukraine song, and they still have a 40 year grudge match going on since Pink Floyd broke up.
 
Bullcrap, we have consistently supported Ukraine first and foremost because THEY ASK FOR IT and are committed to democratic, open governing reforms.

We’d support Russia too if it ever wanted to go down that road again, instead of repression, corruption and imperialistic authoritarianism it has turned to under Putin’s last 15 years
LOL. We have consistently thrown money at Ukraine to taunt Russia. No more, no less.
 
NATO and the EU were expanding East, suffocating Russia and driving the proverbial Russian bear into a corner.
NATO is a defensive military alliance.

EU is an Economic alliance.

Peaceful countries have nothing to fear from either one.
 
i've re-considered the entire Ukraine case.

Put simply, just as the democrats have tried to vilify Trump here as their scapegoat to justify and distract from their own power grab, they are now doing with Putin as well making him a scapegoat to a war they caused in order to cover for their own globalist power agenda.
 

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