skews13
Diamond Member
- Mar 18, 2017
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We haven’t talked much about Pavlivka before (prewar population: 1,000).
Pavlivka is located in a grinding part of the front. Russia has occupied the purple territory on this map since 2014, so you can see the general lack of progress pushing westward since the war began. Most of those red gains have come from the south, up from Mariupol.
The arrow points at Pavlivka
This line hasn’t budged very much since the Spring, yet Russia seems very interested in this area of late, so what’s at play? Perhaps it’s logistics:
The green is railways
With the destruction of the rail line on the Kerch Bridge into Crimea (which still hasn't been repaired), Russia is currently struggling to supply Kherson and occupied territory in southeastern Ukraine via rail. The rail connection between Mariupol and the rest of that region is currently under fire control of Ukrainian tube artillery. The magenta ring is the range of M777 tube artillery using standard-range rounds—21 kilometers, or 13 miles.
Still, that entire east-west rail line is currently in range of HIMARS rockets, as well as extended-range howitzers and speciality rounds. A French Caesar self-propelled artillery gun has a firing range of 42 kilometers (26 miles), so Ukraine would only be slightly inconvenienced by any Russian gains along that front. That rail line isn’t becoming operational any time soon.
Despite that, Russia launched a massive attack on the settlement sometime around October 30-31. First video of the battle was this video:
www.dailykos.com
The Russian military is being decimated. Soldiers are surrendering at astronomical rates, and asking for Ukranian citizenship. The time will come when Vladimir, and his band of oligarchs will be hiding in fear of their lives. Some already are.
Pavlivka is located in a grinding part of the front. Russia has occupied the purple territory on this map since 2014, so you can see the general lack of progress pushing westward since the war began. Most of those red gains have come from the south, up from Mariupol.
The arrow points at Pavlivka
This line hasn’t budged very much since the Spring, yet Russia seems very interested in this area of late, so what’s at play? Perhaps it’s logistics:
With the destruction of the rail line on the Kerch Bridge into Crimea (which still hasn't been repaired), Russia is currently struggling to supply Kherson and occupied territory in southeastern Ukraine via rail. The rail connection between Mariupol and the rest of that region is currently under fire control of Ukrainian tube artillery. The magenta ring is the range of M777 tube artillery using standard-range rounds—21 kilometers, or 13 miles.
Still, that entire east-west rail line is currently in range of HIMARS rockets, as well as extended-range howitzers and speciality rounds. A French Caesar self-propelled artillery gun has a firing range of 42 kilometers (26 miles), so Ukraine would only be slightly inconvenienced by any Russian gains along that front. That rail line isn’t becoming operational any time soon.
Despite that, Russia launched a massive attack on the settlement sometime around October 30-31. First video of the battle was this video:
Ukraine update: Russian naval infantry decimated at Pavlivka in stunning defeat
We haven’t talked much about Pavlivka before (prewar population: 1,000). Pavlivka is located in a grinding part of the front. Russia has occupied the purple territory on this map since 2014, so you can see the general lack of progress pushing westward...
www.dailykos.com
The Russian military is being decimated. Soldiers are surrendering at astronomical rates, and asking for Ukranian citizenship. The time will come when Vladimir, and his band of oligarchs will be hiding in fear of their lives. Some already are.
