Polls for August 15

[JakeStarkey]

HRC looks at 375 to 400 EVs and the Dems are three seats short right now from 50 (I think the most the Dems can get is 51)


Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 47.8 41.0 Clinton +6.8
Favorability Ratings -10.9 -28.6 Clinton +17.7
Betting Odds 80.0 20.0
4-Way Race Johnson Stein
RCP Poll Average 8.3 3.0
Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 256 154 Clinton +102
No Toss Up States 362 176
Battlegrounds

Clinton Trump Spread
Pennsylvania 49.2 40.0 Clinton +9.2
Michigan 41.8 35.2 Clinton +6.6
Ohio 45.0 42.4 Clinton +2.6
Florida 45.6 42.0 Clinton +3.6

Iowa 40.8 40.4 Clinton +0.4
Wisconsin 46.7 37.3 Clinton +9.4
North Carolina 45.3 43.3 Clinton +2.0

51 Seats Needed For Majority (the Dems are three seats short for 50 by this poll)
Likely Dem
CO: Bennet (D)
Safe Dem Seats
Leans Dem
IL: Kirk (R)
WI: Johnson (R)
Toss Up
AZ: McCain (R)
FL: Rubio (R)
IN: Open (R)
MO: Blunt (R)
NV: Open (D)
NH: Ayotte (R)
NC: Burr (R)
OH: Portman (R)
PA: Toomey (R)
Leans GOP
GA: Isakson (R)
IA: Grassley (R)
Likely GOP
KY: Paul (R)
LA: Open (R)
Safe GOP Seats

 

[ScienceRocks]

I hope we can take the house!

 

[JakeStarkey]

I hope we can take the house!

Dems can't get within 15 seats of a House majority.

 

[nat4900]

The House for Dems is a bit too difficult, but the Senate is much more likely...... making the Supreme Court nominees much easier to confirm......Scalia will turn in his grave,

 

[candycorn]

HRC looks at 375 to 400 EVs and the Dems are three seats short right now from 50 (I think the most the Dems can get is 51)


Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 47.8 41.0 Clinton +6.8
Favorability Ratings -10.9 -28.6 Clinton +17.7
Betting Odds 80.0 20.0
4-Way Race Johnson Stein
RCP Poll Average 8.3 3.0
Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 256 154 Clinton +102
No Toss Up States 362 176
Battlegrounds

Clinton Trump Spread
Pennsylvania 49.2 40.0 Clinton +9.2
Michigan 41.8 35.2 Clinton +6.6
Ohio 45.0 42.4 Clinton +2.6
Florida 45.6 42.0 Clinton +3.6

Iowa 40.8 40.4 Clinton +0.4
Wisconsin 46.7 37.3 Clinton +9.4
North Carolina 45.3 43.3 Clinton +2.0

51 Seats Needed For Majority (the Dems are three seats short for 50 by this poll)
Likely Dem
CO: Bennet (D)
Safe Dem Seats
Leans Dem
IL: Kirk (R)
WI: Johnson (R)
Toss Up
AZ: McCain (R)
FL: Rubio (R)
IN: Open (R)
MO: Blunt (R)
NV: Open (D)
NH: Ayotte (R)
NC: Burr (R)
OH: Portman (R)
PA: Toomey (R)
Leans GOP
GA: Isakson (R)
IA: Grassley (R)
Likely GOP
KY: Paul (R)
LA: Open (R)
Safe GOP Seats

It'll tighten up. Not sure if the Electoral Vote will tighten but I think HRC will have a hard time breaking a 10% margin in any swing state. Each poll that has her winning has an effect on Trump's enablers. In some cases it steels the resolve.

 

[JakeStarkey]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo.

We know how that turned out.

 

[defcon4]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo.

We know how that turned out.

Your anti patriotic sentiments should be expressed in a Texas biker's bar.

 

[DarkFury]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo.

We know how that turned out.

Your anti patriotic sentiments should be expressed in a Texas biker's bar.

Jake should lose his citizenship.

 

[JakeStarkey]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo. We know how that turned out.

Your anti patriotic sentiments should be expressed in a Texas biker's bar.

Jim Bowie thought he was in a Texas biker bar, and we saw how that turned out.

The bikers at Luby's in Waco thought they were tough, and then the cops killed nine of them without mercy.

 

[DarkFury]

I hope we can take the house!

Dems can't get within 15 seats of a House majority.

And DWS is going to lose hers.

 

[defcon4]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo.

We know how that turned out.

Your anti patriotic sentiments should be expressed in a Texas biker's bar.

Jake should lose his citizenship.

Is he a citizen? ..sure doesn't sound like it....

 

[JakeStarkey]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo.

We know how that turned out.

Your anti patriotic sentiments should be expressed in a Texas biker's bar.

Jake should lose his citizenship.

 

[Old Rocks]

Now there is a real reason to vote for Trump. So you can deny other Americans their citizenship. I guess that tells you a lot about the reasoning of the people voting for Trump.

 

[DarkFury]

Now there is a real reason to vote for Trump. So you can deny other Americans their citizenship. I guess that tells you a lot about the reasoning of the people voting for Trump.

Jake is NOT an American.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Now there is a real reason to vote for Trump. So you can deny other Americans their citizenship. I guess that tells you a lot about the reasoning of the people voting for Trump.

Jake is NOT an American.

 

[Toro]

the polls are all lying

birfer trump is in the lead

it's just part of the globalist elites conspiracy of trying to rig the system by publishing fake polls so they can give america to the muslims

 

[Toro]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo.

We know how that turned out.

Your anti patriotic sentiments should be expressed in a Texas biker's bar.

Jake should lose his citizenship.

Is he a citizen? ..sure doesn't sound like it....

That's right.

Real Americans believe in bizarre discredited anti-Semitic conspiracy theories.

 

[nat4900]

More Mexican infantry "steeled" the resolve of the defenders of the Alamo.

We know how that turned out.

Your anti patriotic sentiments should be expressed in a Texas biker's bar.

Jake should lose his citizenship.

Yes, Jake....the new "policy" among right wingers is that if you criticize their stupidity, you should lose your citizenship......Its part of that 'compassionate conservative" mantra.

 

[pwjohn]

I hope we can take the house!

Dems can't get within 15 seats of a House majority.

The polling going on right now is to far out from the election for the kind of accuracy your claim is based on.

And with Trump being nothing more than a loose cannon on the deck, things are only gonna get worse for repubs chances in the house & senate races as time goes on.

 

[Al Azar]

I hope we can take the house!

There are only 35 seats in the House that are in contention. The other representatives running, having won their primaries, are a shoo-in to win because they're from gerrymandered districts.

The Dems need a lot more than all those 35 seats to become the majority in the House.

As long as there are so many Republican governors, there will be too many Republican reps in congress for the Dems to take back the House majority because the governors are ultimately responsible for approving congressional district boundaries. They'll make sure that Republican districts remain Republican districts, one way or another.

Although the Republicans are losing influence at the national level and may never again see the inside of the WH during our lifetimes, they're alive and well at the state and local level, so their House majority seems to be safe for the foreseeable future.

Having secured the WH, the Dems' next challenge is to win and keep the majority position in the Senate. That will go a long way towards getting the nation's work done.