It wasn't looking good for Trump in 2016 either.It's not looking good for Trump.
Hillary had a 95% probability of winning, according to the polls.
What happened?
In my opinion, the reason that Trump won was because a lot of Trump supporters had been under-polled, either because they usually didn't vote or because they wouldn't admit they were going to vote for Trump. Also, Hillary had high negatives (which, in my opinion, were unjustified) and so some people who didn't support Trump also didn't vote for Hillary. And just enough of that happened to give Trump an edge in the Electoral College, so he won even though he lost the popular vote -- which were all legitimate votes, despite Trump's attempt to prove otherwise. But a perfect storm only happens once.
1. Exactly right. Many union guys voted for Trump because the democrats were shutting down too many jobs, from pipelines to coal, to crazy environmental regulations all over, etc. Trump promised to shake more work loose and bring manufacturing jobs back. Trump may not keep those union votes this time, Medicare and Social Security are going bankrupt and the Republicans are cutting taxes for billionaires? WTF?
2. Hillary earned every one of those high negatives, especially gun control.
3. How do you know that all those "popular votes" were legitimate. Look at these 300,000 to 0 precincts against Romney. I'm sure some shit happened against Trump
Romney earned zero votes in some urban precincts
Dozens of urban voting locations in several states returned zero votes for GOP nominee Mitt Romney last Tuesday
www.cbsnews.com