IMHO, Obamacare is going nowhere in the near term. Maybe some minor tweaks here and there, but I'm not seeing a major overhaul in the works and they've had nearly 4 years to work on it, which indicates to me they have no real intention of doing much, if anything, with it.
Unless the Supreme Court strikes it down
Then, Democrats will have no option other than Medicare for All
I don't see that happening. The Supreme Court already ruled on it, so that is the existing precedent. That is one helluva hill.
We've got other things to worry about. This one is, IMHO, a total scare campaign, right up there with Trump is going to kill grannies social security. In this case the dems are seeding this in advance of the new justice to use the conservative majority of the bench as the scare tactic this time around, pointing at healthcare and Roe V Wade to declare total armageddon if conservatives are not driven out at the ballot box. We see this stuff every election cycle, so should recognize it for what it is as this point. This time there is this added wrinkle of using the court as the boogeyman, but it is the same old, same old.
I’d like to agree with you.
But Justice Roberts saved Obamacare 5-4 the last go around.
At 6-3, the Trump Court will find grounds to abolish it and open the way for Medicare for All
What grounds? That's what I mean by 'boogeyman' "They'll find something or do this or that" We hear that kind of stuff all the time during election cycles and 99.99% of the time it is baseless scare tactics.
The court already ruled and that is the precedent, which really is my point. To think they are going to suddenly reverse all history of the court and over-rule this precedent simply because of a shift in numbers is unlikely. That's what I honestly think, I'm not trying to make a point or 'win' a debate. The power of precedent on the Supreme Court is very strong.
I don't know that there are any grounds to even review the constitutionality of it at the Supreme Court level. The court may not even hear a challenge to it again, even if one is brought through the lower courts, which would be difficult in itself due to the Supreme Court precedent. I would think if there were some substantive grounds we would be seeing activity still in the lower courts on this or that angle, which I don't think we are.
Even if it does show up on their doorstep again, these guys aren't just going to trash what the court stands for and toss the precedent in a pique of partisanship. I could be wrong I guess, but I don't think these people are quite at that level of store-bought whorishness just yet.