Real Clear Politics Map

[Meathead]

This is to track the map as it changes.

Right now, it is favorable Trump without toss-up states.

I am surprised by the numbers. It's been this way for a week.

This is as of 8/22.

View attachment 999751

It's pretty simple really. The more America sees of Kamala, the less they'll like her. That why she is in hiding.

It's Trumps election to win.

 

[Winco]

It's pretty simple really. The more America sees of Kamala, the less they'll like her. That why she is in hiding.

It's Trumps election to win.

Do polls matter? Y/N
Do you believe Polls? Y/N
Is Trump a Liar? Y/N

So, where do we stand on Polls?

 

[Meathead]

Do polls matter? Y/N
Do you believe Polls? Y/N
Is Trump a Liar? Y/N

So, where do we stand on Polls?

Is Kamala likeable? Y?N

 

[Winco]

Is Kamala likeable? Y?N

Yep. More than POS trump, check the polls.

Is trump a Lying Con Man?
Is Trump an adulterer?
Is Trump a Convicted Felon?

This is fun....
You will in FACT deny all the points I made against your Cult leader....FACT
I got MORE if you choose to continue.

 

[Meathead]

Yep.

Is trump a Lying Con Man?
Is Trump an adulterer?
Is Trump a Convicted Felon?

This is fun....
You will in FACT deny all the points I made against your Cult leader....FACT
I got MORE if you choose to continue.

Sorry, you just lost all credibility. It's over. Now go cower.

 

[HikerGuy83]

Do polls matter? Y/N
Do you believe Polls? Y/N
Is Trump a Liar? Y/N

So, where do we stand on Polls?

This is my thread.

But the only poll that truly matters happens in early November.

I am just looking at how things might be shifting.

If she reaches critical numbers in several states, the whole map is going to look a whole lot more blue.

 

[HikerGuy83]

As of 8/28, things have not changed.

Trump 287
Harris 251

Which is hard to imagine given:

 

[Winco]

PA 19...........the Key to the Entire Election

 

[HikerGuy83]

PA 19...........the Key to the Entire Election

Certainly seems to be shaping up that way.

Which, of course, makes me nervous.

 

[HikerGuy83]

8/29 in the morning.

No changes.

Wondering just what is happening.

 

[HikerGuy83]

Here is the running poll information.

It would appear that, as Luntz has said, Harris' climb has stalled.

Now, Trump needs to turn that trend down.

 

[HikerGuy83]

A change !!!!

As of this morning 8/30 PA has switched to blue on the no toss-ups.

Harris ==> 270
Trump==> 268

 

[initforme]

Certainly seems to be shaping up that way.

Which, of course, makes me nervous.

It's going to be razor close. I love live love it. Great sign for the nation

 

[JohnDB]

A change !!!!

As of this morning 8/30 PA has switched to blue on the no toss-ups.

Harris ==> 270
Trump==> 268

I really wouldn't put too much faith in it. Not that it's unlikely....but it needs to be more than this to claim advantages.

A three day average of daily polls is more reliable than a single day....like the stock Market stocks using a running average.

We still have 65 days to go.
There's the debates and some sort of interviews for Kamala outside the ONE interview she has had.

 

[HikerGuy83]

I really wouldn't put too much faith in it. Not that it's unlikely....but it needs to be more than this to claim advantages.

A three day average of daily polls is more reliable than a single day....like the stock Market stocks using a running average.

We still have 65 days to go.
There's the debates and some sort of interviews for Kamala outside the ONE interview she has had.

I know. Each of us has to determine how we look at things.

I am just watching this to see what happens.

It was reported that 538 has Trump back above 50%, but I can't find that anywhere.

 

[JohnDB]

I know. Each of us has to determine how we look at things.

I am just watching this to see what happens.

It was reported that 538 has Trump back above 50%, but I can't find that anywhere.

Well you can assume that the solidly blue states like WA, OR, CA, NY are still blue.

It's the swing states that really matter most.
And the polls right now are a mess. Both sides trying to influence the pollsters for purposes of fundraising. (No one backs a loser)

It's when they get to less than 30 days out that it really really matters. Because then pollsters are more concerned about accuracy than appealing to parties.

 

[Frankenstein]

She was a prosecutor and an attorney general.

She has her eye on Trump as a criminal, she knows his type.

She thinks she can the DOJ to make him the accused in at least five more trials.

"Donald, come on down. This is your life."

She is ignorant and a tool

 

[HikerGuy83]

As of 8/31

Harris 270
Trump 268

 

[HikerGuy83]

Harris lead of 1.8 has not increased or decreased for the past 8 days.

 

[HikerGuy83]

As of 9/1

Harris ==> 270
Trump ==> 268