According to the ‘experts’ we should be seeing almost 1,000 deaths a day in the US right now. What am I missing?
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Curve is SO STEEP at APril 1st that the REPORTING won't hit until April 4th or 6th... THat's probably what's happening..
It took about 3 weeks for the mitigation tactics (social distancing, etc...) to have an effect in Wuhan. I suspect the curve will start to flatten out in few days.
Take a look at the projection in the Wash State study I posted in the OP.. Next 10 DAYS is gonna be rough if they're right.
April 16th is the peak.
But where will they be. Right now, NY+NJ = 50% of deaths. And it appears that % will increase as their cases seem to be skyrocketing.
That's where it will be really really really bad.
I'm really surprised San Francisco is doing so well. Especially with so many homeless. But then, they may be dying off and no one gives shit.
I've got a conspiracy theory about "the COVID miracle" in California, but I think I'll keep that to myself right now.. PRETTY SURE that after the cloud passes, we'll find surprising news about WHEN COVID ACTUALLY HIT California..
OMG!!! Don't tell me. Bohemian Grove! Amirite?