Official CDC projections for COVID -- Updated regularly..

[sparky]

We usually buy about $300 worth of triple-report mortars apiece and beer, think that will be affordable this year?

or next year.....?

1-2 more weeks and a Depression is guaranteed.

gawd yes....

If this jumps, then self isolation didn't work.

and if it does not, then they can claim it did work....

these pukes are rooting for people to die.

i've seen a lot of people die up close & personal, it sucks....

I KNOW it would nearly kill you to sit thru any of those 2 or 3 a day press conferences at the WH -- but they are the PUBLIC LIFELINE for information on the numbers and the govt response..

nothing better to do....& i've horded all the cheap whiskey i can....

Maybe folks will do more to RETAIN their Civil Liberties after a dose of "the Government is here to HELP you"...

We got the national guards and that ain’t all
We got the CDC testing us at the mall
Gman curfew's got a hold of me, too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu

Got all my flights canceled to China ‘til fall
Went for a dump but there’s no TP at all
Gman minions got me locked down too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu


I Wanna sneeze but I’m afraid I’ll show
Telling symptoms fema says got to go
Gman curfew's got a hold of me, too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu


Gotta quarantine for what I don’t know
My nose is runnin' but my fevers low
Gman curfew's got a hold of me, too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu


I gotta a potus sezs he’s got the plan
He was on TV , claims he is the man
Gman curfew's got me feelin’ blue
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu

~S~ w/apologies to Mr Rivers

I've got this favorite old Buffalo Springfield song, For What its Worth.. Read yours above, I'll bet the 2 of us could make the Springfield about Cuomo, COVID, NYC... I'll beat ya to it !!! (Sanity break challenge from the serious stuff.. )

LOL!, tune this up if you can FCL>>>>

There's something happening here
But what it is ain't exactly clear
There's a man with covid over there
Telling me I got to beware

I think it's time we stop
Children, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

The TP lines are getting long
Seems the ventilators are all gone
Young people sneakin past state lines
Are getting so much survellieance from behind

It's time we stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

 

[flacaltenn]

We usually buy about $300 worth of triple-report mortars apiece and beer, think that will be affordable this year?

or next year.....?

1-2 more weeks and a Depression is guaranteed.

gawd yes....

If this jumps, then self isolation didn't work.

and if it does not, then they can claim it did work....

these pukes are rooting for people to die.

i've seen a lot of people die up close & personal, it sucks....

I KNOW it would nearly kill you to sit thru any of those 2 or 3 a day press conferences at the WH -- but they are the PUBLIC LIFELINE for information on the numbers and the govt response..

nothing better to do....& i've horded all the cheap whiskey i can....

Maybe folks will do more to RETAIN their Civil Liberties after a dose of "the Government is here to HELP you"...

We got the national guards and that ain’t all
We got the CDC testing us at the mall
Gman curfew's got a hold of me, too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu

Got all my flights canceled to China ‘til fall
Went for a dump but there’s no TP at all
Gman minions got me locked down too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu


I Wanna sneeze but I’m afraid I’ll show
Telling symptoms fema says got to go
Gman curfew's got a hold of me, too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu


Gotta quarantine for what I don’t know
My nose is runnin' but my fevers low
Gman curfew's got a hold of me, too
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu


I gotta a potus sezs he’s got the plan
He was on TV , claims he is the man
Gman curfew's got me feelin’ blue
I got the jack boot pneumonia and the boggie wuhan flu

~S~ w/apologies to Mr Rivers

I've got this favorite old Buffalo Springfield song, For What its Worth.. Read yours above, I'll bet the 2 of us could make the Springfield about Cuomo, COVID, NYC... I'll beat ya to it !!! (Sanity break challenge from the serious stuff.. )

LOL!, tune this up if you can FCL>>>>

There's something happening here
But what it is ain't exactly clear
There's a man with covid over there
Telling me I got to beware

I think it's time we stop
Children, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

The TP lines are getting long
Seems the ventilators are all gone
Young people sneakin past state lines
Are getting so much survellieance from behind

It's time we stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

You're too quick for me.. LOL... I just knew that song was RIGHT for the times and mood.. I'll weigh in tonight and compare... So you're turning pro and taking requests huh?

 

[Marion Morrison]

Eh, Sparky is an anomaly.

 

[flacaltenn]

Eh, Sparky is an anomaly.

Most artistic geniuses are chief.. As long as he's on topic -- it's all good..

 

[sparky]

So you're turning pro and taking requests huh?

I guess i'm that bored now FCT!

~S~

 

[Marion Morrison]

I don't think what FCT said about civil liberties got through, and that's sad.

Thank you sir, for remembering what they were!

 

[sparky]

Thx for getting the point MM

otoh.... just think of all the surveillance work in all this

and here i am a lowly spark.....man.....i could be essential again!

~S~

 

[sparky]

work w/me.....


What a field day for the heat
Thousands of people we can’t treat
Hacking and choking in lines
Mostly detained by Cuomo with fines

It's time we stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

Paranoia strikes deep
China sells masks on the cheap
Stay inside ,and don’t be afraid
Step outside , the men come and take you away

We better stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

We better stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

~S~w/apologies to Buffalo Springfield and aspiring poets everywhere

 

[Olde Europe]

Let's document some crucial dates, since the next update of the model may be about to arrive.

As of April 1: item, #, date:

* Invasive ventilators needed: 32,518 - April 12

* COVID-19 deaths / day: 2,644 - April 16

* COVID-19 deaths: 93,531 - projected by August 4, 2020

Hope it all stays there, or even below.

 

[eagle1462010]

work w/me.....


What a field day for the heat
Thousands of people we can’t treat
Hacking and choking in lines
Mostly detained by Cuomo with fines

It's time we stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

Paranoia strikes deep
China sells masks on the cheap
Stay inside ,and don’t be afraid
Step outside , the men come and take you away

We better stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

We better stop
Hey, what's that sound?
Everybody look - what's going down?

~S~w/apologies to Buffalo Springfield and aspiring poets everywhere

That was pretty good you unessential worker.

 

[BWK]

Starting to see possible "disinformation" on COVID numbers.. To my knowledge, ALL physician, medical statistics on epidemics are reported THRU the CDC... So whether that information is FULLY correct, does not matter as much as information that "suddenly appears" from some random sites that might be linked to other countries efforts to "quiet us down" or "rile us up"...

Apologies to anyone that posted this link already.. Saw it yesterday and the gist is --- Most states and the country are gonna PEAK Mid-April... With "out of the wood" being maybe mid May... When you READ the graphs, realized they are MODELS.. So the solid lines are the BEST EXPECTATIONS... The color shaded areas are measures of UNCERTAINTY...

Like for the Entire US graph --- the uncertainties run kinda high because of not knowing how many OTHER major population areas will be hit -- etc... But if you drill down to "mild states" -- the timeframe is the same, but the uncertainty is almost negligible...

Here's the site -- it's an ORG associated with CDC.. Stay well and don't panic.

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.

covid19.healthdata.org

It's a hoax. Coronavirus doesn't exist.

 

[Weatherman2020]

Most nations have reached the hump. US next week.

Covid Trends

Visualizing the exponential growth of COVID-19 across the world.

aatishb.com

 

[Weatherman2020]

Starting to see possible "disinformation" on COVID numbers.. To my knowledge, ALL physician, medical statistics on epidemics are reported THRU the CDC... So whether that information is FULLY correct, does not matter as much as information that "suddenly appears" from some random sites that might be linked to other countries efforts to "quiet us down" or "rile us up"...

Apologies to anyone that posted this link already.. Saw it yesterday and the gist is --- Most states and the country are gonna PEAK Mid-April... With "out of the wood" being maybe mid May... When you READ the graphs, realized they are MODELS.. So the solid lines are the BEST EXPECTATIONS... The color shaded areas are measures of UNCERTAINTY...

Like for the Entire US graph --- the uncertainties run kinda high because of not knowing how many OTHER major population areas will be hit -- etc... But if you drill down to "mild states" -- the timeframe is the same, but the uncertainty is almost negligible...

Here's the site -- it's an ORG associated with CDC.. Stay well and don't panic.

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Explore forecasts of COVID-19 cases, deaths, and hospital resource use.

covid19.healthdata.org

It's a hoax. Coronavirus doesn't exist.

Why do you Leftards hate science?

 

[Olde Europe]

Let's document some crucial dates, since the next update of the model may be about to arrive.

As of April 1: item, #, date:

* Invasive ventilators needed: 32,518 - April 12

* COVID-19 deaths / day: 2,644 - April 16

* COVID-19 deaths: 93,531 - projected by August 4, 2020

Hope it all stays there, or even below.

The model has been updated. As of April 5: item, #, date:

* Invasive ventilators needed: 25,004 - April 16

* COVID-19 deaths / day: 3,130 - April 16

* COVID-19 deaths: 81,766 - projected by August 4, 2020

They've summarized the reasons for the changes here. The major change (among several) based on a far larger dataset appears to be the death rate per hospital admission rising from 11% to almost 18% on average.

The earlier model was predicated on the whole country going into lock-down last Friday. As of now, nine states did not. The assumption was that without that lock-down the predicted fatalities would rise.

Admittedly, how the later model arrives at a 13% lower fatality count escapes me. Let's hope they got that right.

 

[M14 Shooter]

A HUGE one-day drop in projections.

4-7:
US projection, @ peak (15 APR)
shortage of beds: 36654
shortage of ICU beds 16323
Total death projections thru 4 AUG: 81766,
Range: 49131-136401 (+/- 40%)

4-8:
US projection, @ peak (11 APR)
shortage of beds: 15852
shortage of ICU beds 9047
Total death projections thru 4 AUG: 60415
Range: 31221-126703 (+/- 48%)

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

 

[Weatherman2020]

A HUGE one-day drop in projections.

4-7:
US projection, @ peak (15 APR)
shortage of beds: 36654
shortage of ICU beds 16323
Total death projections thru 4 AUG: 81766,
Range: 49131-136401 (+/- 40%)

4-8:
US projection, @ peak (11 APR)
shortage of beds: 15852
shortage of ICU beds 9047
Total death projections thru 4 AUG: 60415
Range: 31221-126703 (+/- 48%)

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Yep, as prophesied a month ago. Overhyped to justify making people surrender their basic human rights.

 

[jc456]

A HUGE one-day drop in projections.

4-7:
US projection, @ peak (15 APR)
shortage of beds: 36654
shortage of ICU beds 16323
Total death projections thru 4 AUG: 81766,
Range: 49131-136401 (+/- 40%)

4-8:
US projection, @ peak (11 APR)
shortage of beds: 15852
shortage of ICU beds 9047
Total death projections thru 4 AUG: 60415
Range: 31221-126703 (+/- 48%)

IHME | COVID-19 Projections

Yep, as prophesied a month ago. Overhyped to justify making people surrender their basic human rights.

EXACTLY

 

[Remodeling Maidiac]

I see everyone's predictions were dooms day nonsense at this point. We've revised from up to 200k down to less than 60k.

Looks good for our gloBULL warming catastrophe predictions lol

 

[DrLove]

In case not posted, here's a real interesting video from Johns Hopkins (thanks to Donnie's two months of dithering) depicting the US rise to #1 - With a BULLET!!

 

[james bond]

Is there an European COVID-19 virus?

Italy, Spain, France, UK, and Germany are hit the worst in Europe. There are more deaths there than anywhere else in the world right now. Austria and Germany may lift their lockdown April 15th. New York and New Jersey are getting the European COVID-19.

"Despite examining different examples of the outbreak, researchers from both teams reached largely the same conclusions about its origins, the Times reported.

"The majority is clearly European," Dr. Harm van Bakel, a geneticist and co-author of the Icahn School's study, told the newspaper.

Travelers likely carrying the virus had already been arriving in New York from Europe before Jan. 31, when President Trump limited entry by foreign nationals who'd been in China and March 11, when the president announced plans to block travelers from most parts of Europe, the Times reported.

On March 19, the newspaper reported that travelers arriving from Europe - where outbreaks in Italy and Spain were severe - were being asked at New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport only if they had been to China or Iran, not if they had visited the hardest-hit nations in Europe.

"People were just oblivious," Dr. Adriana Heguy of the NYU research team told the Times.

Researchers need to track the history of the virus so they will be able to develop vaccines and modify them as the virus mutates into other forms, the report said."

New York-area coronavirus outbreak originated primarily in Europe, not China: report

Two separate studies show that the coronavirus outbreak in the New York City area – by far the most deadly in the U.S. – originated from Europe, not China, according to a report.

www.foxnews.com