I agree with the headline. Cruz and Trump deadlocked for the national leadership, both under 30%, and Jeb and Rubio are moving up. If Cruz drops to third, will he shed some of the evangelical support? If so,that will go to Bush and Rubio, certainly the latter if he finishes second.
The Daily 202: A third-place finish in South Carolina would be a huge setback for Ted Cruz
I think Evangelicals have put religion to the side in S. Carolina and they came in very strong for Donald Trump tonight. This according to CNN reporting tonight, which really delivers much better election coverage than FOX news does.
His 3rd place finish here is devastating for his campaign. In fact, it wouldn't surprise me to see Texas go for Trump, which would end Ted Cruz's campaign.
Marco Rubio came in 2nd, and with Jeb Bush dropping out of this race, you'll see most of his support go to Rubio.
The only way to surpass Trump in this race, is for Ben Carson and John Kasich to drop out of this race. But it doesn't sound like they're going to do it.