Official Coronavirus Thread - Up to the minute Coronavirus map and count.

XponentialChaos

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55,000 deaths and 1,311 deaths.

The good news is that the number of cases appears to be trending downward. But deaths are still high. Big 4 leading in deaths again.

Florida: 225 deaths (4th highest)
Texas: 220 deaths (7th highest)
California: 169 deaths (4th highest)
Arizona: 89 deaths (outside of top 10)

Arizona is still posting bad numbers but at least improving. Maybe the idiots there finally figured it out. They had the fastest growing death rate over the last two weeks.
 

XponentialChaos

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Louisiana, Arizona, and Florida now have the highest infection rates. All three have passed New York and New Jersey.

Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina are also moving up quickly.

1. Louisiana
2. Arizona
3. Florida
4. New York
5. Mississippi
6. New Jersey
7. Alabama
8. Georgia
9. South Carolina
10. Rhode Island
 

XponentialChaos

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It has been a week since I went through the change in death rates. I'm interested in seeing how those numbers have changed in this time. First I'll explain the methodology:

Using worldometer, I'm looking at how state death rates have changed from 8/1 to 8/8. For example, New Jersey has the highest death rate. Their death rate is currently 1,795 per million. A weeks ago it was 1,791 per million. So that's a +4 difference. I'm going to rank all of the states by death rate and indicate how much their death rate has changed in the last week. It will give us an idea of what's happening right now.

#1: New Jersey (+4)
#2: New York (+3)
#3: Massachusetts (+13)
#4: Connecticut (+3)
#5: Rhode Island (+6)
#6: Louisiana (+55)
#7: Michigan (+6)
#8: Mississippi (+61) (up from 11th place)
#9: Illinois (+11)
#10: Delaware (+5)
#11: Maryland (+12)
#12: Pennsylvania (+9)
#13: Arizona (+53)
#14: Indiana (+10)
#15: Georgia (+34)
#16: South Carolina (+50)
#17: Florida (+51) (up from 18th place)

#18: Alabama (+27)
#19: New Mexico (+15) (up from 20th place)
#20: Colorado (+2)
#21: Ohio (+13) (up from 22nd place)
#22: Nevada (+37) (up from 25th place)
#23: New Hampshire (+2)
#24: Minnesota (+7)
#25: Texas (+42) (up from 27th place)
#26: Iowa (+17)
#27: Virginia (+12)
#28: California (+24)
#29: Missouri (+12)
#30: Washington (+13)
#31: North Carolina (+19)
#32: Tennessee (+22) (up from 35th place)
#33: Nebraska (+6)
#34: Arkansas (+25) (up from 36th place)
#35: Kentucky (+7)
#36: Wisconsin (+8)
#37: South Dakota (+14)
#38: Oklahoma (+13)
#39: North Dakota (+12)
#40: Idaho (+22) (up from 40th place)
#41: Kansas (+7)
#42: Utah (+7)
#43: Maine (+1)
#44: Vermont (+2)
#45: Oregon (+7)
#46: West Virginia (+8)
#47: Montana (+13)
#48: Wyoming (+3)
#49: Alaska (+3)
#50: Hawaii (+4)

==================================================

Over the last weeks, the fastest growing death rates are coming from:
1. Mississippi (+61)
2. Louisiana (+55)
3. Arizona (+53)
4. Florida (+51)
5. South Carolina (+50)
6. Texas (+42)

These states had the fastest increase last time I ran these numbers a week ago, but they're in a different order.
 

XponentialChaos

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Positive Test Rates:

Mississippi: 20.7% (Down 0.4%) **
Texas: 20.1% (Up 7.2%)
Alabama: 17.5% (Down 4.0%) **
Florida: 17.3% (Down 1.6%) **
Nevada: 17.0% (Same)
Idaho: 16.5% (Down 1.7%)
South Carolina: 13.6% (Down 0.6%)
Arizona: 12.8% (Down 5.6%) **
Arkansas: 12.6% (Up 0.4%)
Kansas: 11.8% (Down 6.8%) **
Georgia: 11.1% (Down 1.8%)
Missouri: 11.0% (Down 2.1%)
Iowa: 9.5% (Down 0.3%)
Oklahoma: 9.5% (Down 0.3%)
South Dakota: 9.4% (Up 1.4%)
Indiana: 9.0% (Up 0.9%)
Utah: 8.7% (Down 1.5%)
Tennessee: 8.7% (Same)
Nebraska: 8.3% (Down 0.9%)
North Dakota: 8.0% (Up 0.5%)
Virginia: 8.0% (Up 1.5%)

National Average: 7.5% (Down 0.5%)

Hawaii: 7.5% (Up 2.9%)
Kentucky: 7.3% (Down 0.1%)
Wyoming: 7.3% (Up 0.7%)
Louisiana: 7.2% (Down 1.1%)
Colorado: 6.7% (Down 0.2%)
Oregon: 6.5% (Down 0.1%)
Minnesota: 6.5% (Up 1.7%)
North Carolina: 6.4% (Up 0.2%)
Wisconsin: 6.2% (Down 0.7%)
Washington: 6.2% (Up 0.4%)
Rhode Island: 6.0% (Up 1.0%)
California: 5.7% (Down 0.7%)
Maryland: 5.5% (Down 0.7%)
Ohio: 5.2% (Up 0.5%)
Pennsylvania: 5.1% (Down 0.6%)
Montana: 4.8% (Up 0.9%)
Delaware: 4.7% (Down 0.3%)
Illinois: 4.1% (Up 0.1%)
West Virginia: 2.6% (Down 0.4%)
Michigan: 2.5% (Up 0.3%)
New Mexico: 2.4% (Down 1.4%)
Massachusetts: 2.4% (Down 0.6%)
New Hampshire: 1.9% (Down 0.5%)
New Jersey: 1.6% (Same)
Alaska: 1.4% (Down 1.1%)
New York: 1.0% (Same)
Connecticut: 0.7% (Down 0.6%)
Maine: 0.5% (Down 0.4%)
Vermont: 0.5% (Up 0.1%)


=======================================

Good news! We're starting to see the positive infection rate decline. Nationally, we're now down to 7.5%.

Arizona saw a big decline and FINALLY dropped out of the top 5 where they have been one of the very worst states (along with Florida). While their infection rate declining is a great sign, they're still seeing one of the fastest increases in their deaths per capita. (See the previous post) However, both Arizona's infection rate and death rate, while still bad, are heading in the right direction. That's good news

Mississippi now has the highest infection rate. They have shown slight improvement while nationally, many states are getting much better. I think the next focal point will be on much of the South. The fastest growing death rates are all coming from the South, with the exception of Arizona. (Mississippi, South Carolina, Florida, Louisiana, and Texas)

Texas had a huge increase and now has the second highest infection rate behind only Mississippi. While much of the country is improving, Texas is getting worse. They'll definitely be one to keep an eye on.

There has been lot of movement at the top of this list. The bottom has been very consistent. This is the first time that one of the lowest 5 changes. Alaska is now in the best 5, bumping New Jersey out.

Overall, still bad numbers, but trending in the right direction. Hopefully this continues.
 

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Total world wide deaths.....360,000.

Over the course of 100 days, that is about a 2% increase globally over normal.

That CERTAINLY qualifies it as the horror of the century.

Now...take the worst countries out and you'd hardly notice it.
That's worldwide deaths with a global lockdown in place. Without a global lockdown, deaths could be in the millions.

An average of 40,000 Americans die per year from season flu.

Already 105,000 Americans are dead from covid-19 in just three months despite the lockdowns and efforts to prevent that number from rising.

How many Americans will die from covid-19 over the next three months?

Meanwhile, in Taiwan, only 7 people have died. Only 442 have become infected. There are only 14 active cases of coronavirus left in Taiwan.

In Taiwan on most days, no one dies from covid-19 or gets sick from covid-19.
In the United States recently, an average of 1,000 people die every day from covid-19 and another 20,000 get sick from it.
Yeah, those dicks in New York have really fucked over their constitutents.
What do you think now?

Deaths in Arizona from Covid-19 August 12, 2020 - 148

Deaths in New York from Covid-19 August 12, 2020 - 17

Remember that New York is nearly three times the size of Arizona, so on a per capita level, the difference in deaths for August 12 is even larger. New York has done better than any other state in the country in terms of improving their situation from where it was in April. New cases daily cases are less than 7% of where they were in April, and new daily deaths are less than 1% of where they were in April. New York is one of the few states in the United States that looks like Italy and Ireland where they took a disaster, and did what was necessary to fight it and bring infection and death down to very low rates.

Think about where Arizona was in April, and where they are now. All that advanced warning and they failed to prepare to prevent the tragedy that has occurred now. 4,028 people have died in Arizona since May 1, 2020. Most of those people would still be alive if Arizona had gone into a true lock down and remained there.
 

XponentialChaos

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170,000 deaths.

Mississippi has now passed New York's infection rate. Up until just a few weeks ago, New York and New Jersey had the highest infection rates. Now several states are passing them up. The top 4 are now Louisiana, Arizona, Florida, and Mississippi. Georgia, Alabama, and South Carolina are also flying up this ranking.
 

XponentialChaos

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Let's take a look at how death rates have changed in the last two weeks.

Methodology: Using worldometer, I'm looking at each state's death rate change from 8/1 to 8/15. I'm going to rank all of the states by death rate and indicate how much their death rate has changed in the last two weeks. For example, New Jersey has the highest death rate. Their death rate is currently 1,800 per million. Two weeks ago it was 1,791 per million. So that's a +9 difference.

After doing this with all states, we should get a real good idea of what's happening right now.

#1: New Jersey (+9)
#2: New York (+6)
#3: Massachusetts (+29)
#4: Connecticut (+6)
#5: Rhode Island (+13)
#6: Louisiana (+104)
#7: Mississippi (+130) (Up from 11th)

#8: Michigan (+12)
#9: Illinois (+18)
#10: Arizona (+102) (Up from 13th)
#11: Delaware (+8)
#12: Maryland (+21)
#13: Pennsylvania (+21)
#14: Indiana (+24)
#15: Georgia (+80)
#16: South Carolina (+99)
#17: Florida (+108) (Up from 18th)

#18: Alabama (+60)
#19: Nevada (+76) (Up from 25th)
#20: Texas (+90) (Up from 27th)
#21: New Mexico (+29)
#22: Colorado (+9)
#23: Ohio (+26)
#24: New Hampshire (+5)
#25: Minnesota (+17)
#26: Iowa (+32)
#27: California (+47) (Up from 28th)
#28: Virginia (+19)
#29: Missouri (+21)
#30: Washington (+23)
#31: North Carolina (+38)
#32: Arkansas (+47) (Up from 36th)
#33: Tennessee (+41) (Up from 35th)
#34: Nebraska (+15)
#35: Kentucky (+15)
#36: Wisconsin (+15)
#37: South Dakota (+21)
#38: Oklahoma (+27)
#39: North Dakota (+24)
#40: Idaho (+41) (Up from 41st)
#41: Kansas (+16)
#42: Utah (+16)
#43: Maine (+2)
#44: Vermont (+2)
#45: Oregon (+15)
#46: West Virginia (+24)
#47: Montana (+20)
#48: Wyoming (+7)
#49: Alaska (+5)
#50: Hawaii (+10)

Over the last two weeks, the fastest growing death rates are coming from:
1) Mississippi (+130)
2) Florida (+108)
3) Louisiana (+104)
4) Arizona (+102)
5) South Carolina (+99)
6) Texas (+90)

Mississippi has now claimed the top spot. People in Mississippi are dying faster than in any other state. The 6 states with the highest growing death rates are the same 6 states from two weeks ago.
 

XponentialChaos

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Positive Test Rates:

Mississippi: 19.1% (Down 1.6%)
Nevada: 17.0% (Same)
Florida: 16.4% (Down 0.9%)
Idaho: 16.2% (Down 0.3%)
Kansas: 12.2% (Up 0.4%)
Georgia: 12.0% (Up 0.9%)
Texas: 11.9% (Down 8.2%)
Iowa: 11.2% (Up 1.7%)
Missouri: 10.9% (Down 0.1%)
Arizona: 9.5% (Down 3.3%)
Nebraska: 9.4% (Up 0.9%)
Indiana: 9.3% (Up 0.3%)
Utah: 9.0% (Up 0.3%)
North Dakota: 8.9% (Up 0.9%)
Alabama: 8.5% (Down 9.0%)
South Dakota: 8.5% (Down 0.9%)
Hawaii: 8.5% (Up 1.0%)
Oklahoma: 7.8% (Down 1.7%)
Tennessee: 7.6% (Down 1.1%)
Wisconsin: 7.5% (Up 1.3%)
South Carolina: 7.4% (Down 6.2%)
Minnesota: 7.2% (Up 0.7%)
Delaware: 7.1% (Up 2.4%)
Wyoming: 6.9% (Down 0.4%)
California: 6.9% (Up 1.2%)
Kentucky: 6.8% (Down 0.5%)

National Average: 6.7% (Down 0.8%)

Montana: 6.7% (Up 1.9%)
Virginia: 6.0% (Down 2.0%)
Washington: 5.8% (Down 0.4%)
North Carolina: 5.7% (Down 0.7%)
Arkansas: 5.6% (Down 7.0%)
Louisiana: 5.5% (Down 1.7%)
Rhode Island: 5.3% (Down 0.7%)
Pennsylvania: 5.1% (Same)
Oregon: 4.8% (Down 1.7%)
Maryland: 4.6% (Down 0.9%)
Ohio: 4.6% (Down 0.6%)
Illinois: 4.1% (Same)
Colorado: 3.7% (Down 3.0%)
West Virginia: 2.7% (Up 0.1%)
New Mexico: 2.6% (Up 0.2%)
Michigan: 2.5% (Same)
Alaska: 2.5% (Up 1.1%)
Massachusetts: 1.7% (Down 0.7%)
New Jersey: 1.4% (Down 0.2%)
New Hampshire: 1.3% (Down 0.6%)
New York: 0.8% (Down 0.2%)
Connecticut: 0.8% (Up 0.1%)
Maine: 0.6% (Up 0.1%)
Vermont: 0.6% (Up 0.1%)

============================================

Big improvement in positive infection rate. Overall, down 0.8%. Hopefully this trend continues.
Mississippi remains at the top of the list. Nevada and Florida remain up there as well. Texas and Alabama had huge improvements. Arizona continues to improve.
 

XponentialChaos

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Up until recently, the states with the highest infection rates were New York, New Jersey, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts.

The states with the highest infection rates are now:

1. Louisiana
2. Florida
3. Arizona
4. Mississippi
5. Georgia
6. Alabama

As the North East has stabilized, these states have gotten much worse. Also moving quickly up the list quickly are South Carolina, Tennessee, Nevada, and Texas. It won't be long for these to be the 10 most infected states.

With quickly increasing infection rates, these states also have the fastest increasing death rates right now. I'll post an update to the moving death rates in a few days.
 

XponentialChaos

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It has been another two weeks. I'd like to take another look at how death rates have changed in the last two weeks.

Methodology: Using worldometer, I'm looking at each state's death rate change from 8/15 to 8/29. I'm going to rank all of the states by death rate and indicate how much their death rate has changed in the last two weeks. For example, New Jersey has the highest death rate. Their death rate is currently 1,806 per million. Two weeks ago it was 1,800 per million. So that's a +6 difference.

After doing this with all states, we should get a real good idea of what's happening right now.

#1: New Jersey (+6)
#2: New York (+6)
#3: Massachusetts (+30)
#4: Connecticut (+3)
#5: Louisiana (+101) (Up from 6th)
#6: Rhode Island (+13)
#7: Mississippi (+116)
#8: Arizona (+71) (Up from 10th)
#9: Michigan (+16)
#10: Illinois (+22)
#11: Delaware (+11)
#12: Maryland (+19)
#13: Pennsylvania (+16)
#14: Georgia (+85) (Up from 15th)
#15: South Carolina (+85) (Up from 16th)
#16: Florida (+82) (Up from 17th)

#17: Indiana (+23)
#18: Texas (+100) (Up from 20th)
#19: Alabama (+52)
#20: Nevada (+76)
#21: New Mexico (+28)
#22: Ohio (+26) (Up from 23rd)
#23: Iowa (+43) (Up from 26th)
#24: Colorado (+9)
#25: Minnesota (+21)
#26: California (+43) (Up from 27th)
#27: New Hampshire (+7)
#28: Virginia (+22)
#29: Missouri (+30)
#30: North Carolina (+31) (Up from 31st)
#31: Arkansas (+57) (Up from 32nd)
#32: Tennessee (+56) (Up from 33rd)
#33: Washington (+18)
#34: Kentucky (+25) (Up from 35th)
#35: Nebraska (+16)
#36: Oklahoma (+35) (Up from 38th)
#37: Idaho (+49) (Up from 40th)
#38: Wisconsin (+14)
#39: South Dakota (+17)
#40: North Dakota (+26)
#41: Kansas (+16)
#42: Utah (+14)
#43: West Virginia (+29) (Up from 46th)
#44: Oregon (+16) (Up from 45th)
#45: Maine (+4)
#46: Montana (+20) (Up from 47th)
#47: Vermont (+0)
#48: Wyoming (+12)
#49: Alaska (+13)
#50: Hawaii (+16)

Over the last two weeks, the fastest growing death rates are coming from:
1) Mississippi (+116)
2) Louisiana (+101)
3) Texas (+100)
4) South Carolina (+85)
5) Georgia (+85)
6) Florida (+82)

Mississippi once again has the top spot. People in Mississippi are dying faster than in any other state.
 

XponentialChaos

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1599618093782.png

:shock:

Are we finally declining?!

I hope this isn't another fake-out like we had in late May. I'm tired of this crap.
 

XponentialChaos

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It has been about another two weeks. I'd like to take another look at how death rates have changed in this time.

Methodology: Using worldometer, I'm looking at each state's death rate change from 8/29 to 9/14. I'm going to rank all of the states by death rate and indicate how much their death rate has changed in the last two weeks. For example, New Jersey has the highest death rate. Their death rate is currently 1,819 per million. Two weeks ago it was 1,806 per million. So that's a +13 difference.

After doing this with all states, we should get a real good idea of what's happening right now.

#1: New Jersey (+13)
#2: New York (+6)
#3: Massachusetts (+27)
#4: Connecticut (+6)
#5: Louisiana (+75)
#6: Rhode Island (+28)
#7: Mississippi (+94)
#8: Arizona (+43)
#9: Michigan (+18)
#10: Illinois (+26)
#11: Maryland (+15) (Up from 12th)
#12: Delaware (+14)
#13: Pennsylvania (+15)
#14: Georgia (+73)
#15: South Carolina (+74)
#16: Florida (+72)

#17: Indiana (+23)
#18: Texas (+62)
#19: Alabama (+41)
#20: Nevada (+50)
#21: New Mexico (+25)
#22: Iowa (+37) (Up from 23rd)
#23: Ohio (+26)
#24: California (+39) (Up from 26th)
#25: Minnesota (+20)
#26: Colorado (+8)
#27: Arkansas (+73) (Up from 31st)
#28: New Hampshire (+3)
#29: Virginia (+20)
#30: Tennessee (+54) (Up from 32nd)
#31: Missouri (+35)
#32: North Carolina (+34)
#33: Washington (+13)
#34: Kentucky (+32)
#35: Idaho (+34) (Up from 37th)
#36: Oklahoma (+28)
#37: Nebraska (+22)
#38: North Dakota (+38) (Up from 40th)
#39: South Dakota (+19)
#40: Wisconsin (+30)
#41: Kansas (+30)
#42: West Virginia (+35) (Up from 43rd)
#43: Utah (+9)
#44: Montana (+32) (Up from 46th)
#45: Oregon (+13)
#46: Maine (+3)
#47: Vermont (+0)
#48: Wyoming (+15)
#49: Hawaii (+26) (Up from 49th)
#50: Alaska (+9)

Over the last two weeks, the fastest growing death rates are coming from:
1) Mississippi (+94)
2) Louisiana (+75)
3) South Carolina (+74)
4) Georgia (+73)
5) Arkansas (+73)
6) Florida (+72)

Mississippi once again has the top spot. People in Mississippi are dying faster than in any other state.

Some interesting notes:
Most of the worst states have been consistently bad. Arizona, however, has gotten significantly better. They used to dominate this list and have since fallen to 10th place. Still not good, but way better.

In fact, while there have been some consistent states at the worst end of this list, most of them are at least improving. Mississippi, Louisiana, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, and Texas are still comparatively some of the worst states in terms of deaths, but their death numbers aren't as bad as they were a month ago. Arkansas is the exception. They're getting worse.

Georgia, Florida, and South Carolina have been very close for a while now - they seem to be traveling together like a pack. They're moving faster than most of the other states and I can only wonder where these three will end up.
 
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U2Edge

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Trump's ultimate failure has been protecting the United States from this pandemic.

Number of deaths in TAIWAN from coronavirus May 15, 2020 to September 18, 2020: 0

Number of deaths in the UNITED STATES from coronavirus May 15, 2020 to September 18, 2020: 114,143
 

XponentialChaos

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It has been a little over a month since I last ran some numbers. I'd like to take another look at how death rates have changed in this time frame.

Methodology: Using worldometer, I'm looking at each state's death rate change from 9/14 to 10/20. I'm going to rank all of the states by death rate and indicate how much their death rate has changed in the last two weeks. For example, New Jersey has the highest death rate. Their death rate is currently 1,840 per million. Two weeks ago it was 1,819 per million. So that's a +21 difference.

After doing this with all states, we should get a real good idea of what's happening right now.

#1: New Jersey (+21)
#2: New York (+19)
#3: Massachusetts (+77)
#4: Connecticut (+19)
#5: Louisiana (+110)
#6: Rhode Island (+79)
#7: Mississippi (+156)
#8: Arizona (+70)
#9: Illinois (+75) (Up from 10th)
#10: Florida (+157) (Up from 16th)
#11: Michigan (+44)
#12: Georgia (+123) (Up from 14th)
#13: South Carolina (+113) (Up from 15th)
#14: Delaware (+50)
#15: Pennsylvania (+49)
#16: Maryland (+33)
#17: Texas (+104) (Up from 18th)
#18: Indiana (+77)
#19: Alabama (+89)
#20: Arkansas (+239) (Up from 27th)
#21: Nevada (+83)
#22: North Dakota (+312) (Up from 38th)
#23: Iowa (+100)
#24: New Mexico (+54)
#25: Missouri (+137) (Up from 31st)
#26: Ohio (+56)
#27: California (+64)
#28: Tennessee (+121) (Up from 30th)
#29: Minnesota (+56)
#30: Virginia (+84)
#31: Colorado (+33)
#32: North Carolina (+84)
#33: South Dakota (+157) (Up from 39th)
#34: New Hampshire (+23)
#35: Kansas (+114) (Up from 41st)
#36: Idaho (+63)
#37: Kentucky (+59)
#38: Washington (+34)
#39: Oklahoma (+67)
#40: Nebraska (+61)
#41: Wisconsin (+67)
#42: Montana (+96) (Up from 44th)
#43: West Virginia (+70)
#44: Utah (+34)
#45: Oregon (+28)
#46: Hawaii (+62) (Up from 49th)
#47: Maine (+8)
#48: Wyoming (+19)
#49: Vermont (+0)
#50: Alaska (+32)

Over the last month, the fastest growing death rates are coming from:
1) North Dakota (+312)
2) Arkansas (+239)
3) Florida (+157)
4) South Dakota (+157)
5) Mississippi (+156)
6) Missouri (+137)

Some interesting notes:

What the hell is going on in North Dakota and South Dakota?

I didn't even realize it, but North Dakota and South Dakota have the highest infection rates in the country. It's easy to overlook because not many people live there. Their death rates are also moving up very quickly.

Along with ND and SD, we have a few other newcomers at the top of this list including Arkansas and Missouri. Florida and Mississippi continue to stay among the worst.
 
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