Ocean warming is "non-linear"!!

[skookerasbil]

"As a consequence, it is problematic to deduce long-term from short-term heat uptake or scale the heat uptake patterns between scenarios. These results also question simple methods to estimate long-term sea level rise from surface temperatures, and the use of deep sea proxies to represent surface temperature changes in past climate."

Nonlinearities in patterns of long-term ocean warming - Rugenstein - 2016 - Geophysical Research Letters - Wiley Online Library





More fodder..........we don't know shit about shit with regard to predicting the future in terms of warming........although we do have a school of thought that predicting the future is an exact science. And these bozo's base these assumptions on computer models.

duh


More AGW alarmist k00k losing..............

 

[skookerasbil]

More alarmist BS scuttled in a heartbeat!!

 

[waltky]

Rapidly Melting Arctic Sea Ice Signals Accelerated Global Warming...

WMO: Rapidly Melting Arctic Sea Ice Signals Accelerated Global Warming
September 28, 2016 — The World Meteorological Organization warned recently that Arctic sea ice was melting faster than expected, indicating dramatic changes in the climate system. The agency called for establishment of an Arctic observatory to help cope with the potentially dangerous changes.

The WMO considers changes in the Arctic akin to a "canary in a coal mine" in terms of signaling an impending disaster. The agency noted that global temperatures were continuing to rise as a result of climate change, with 2016 predicted to be the hottest year since record-keeping began 150 years ago. What's more, WMO said, the Arctic is warming at least twice as fast as the world average. It said Arctic sea ice now covers 40 percent less area at the peak of the summer melt season than it did in the late 1970s and early 1980s. It said the maximum Arctic sea ice extent in March was the lowest on record.

Effects on trees, animals

WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas told VOA the dramatic changes in the climate were having a serious impact on ecosystems. For instance, he said, the tree line in mountain areas is receding upward. "There are also some species of animals who have difficulties in coping with these changes" Taalas said. "Polar bears have been indicated quite many times. We have also these Arctic phoques [Arctic seals], for example, and some birds who have difficulties in coping with those changes ... and it will have an impact on fisheries." Taalas said the thawing of the frozen permafrost in Arctic regions could release vast quantities of greenhouse gases, which would accelerate global warming.

This image provided by the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo., shows Arctic sea ice, which this summer shrank to its second-lowest level since scientists started to monitor it by satellite. The Colorado center said the sea ice shrank to its summer low point on Sept. 10, 2016, extending 1.6 million square miles.​

At the same time, he said, the melting of the Arctic sea ice is opening up new transportation, tourism and exploration possibilities. He said it would cut shipping journeys between Europe and East Asia. But he noted the opening of the Arctic would increase the risk of accidents in hazardous waters and oil spills, which will be much harder to clean up than elsewhere. He said it was important to enhance the Arctic weather and marine service to counter the dangers. Taalas urged the establishment of an Arctic observatory to monitor, predict and cope with climate change. He said this would ensure the safety of Arctic marine transportation.

WMO: Rapidly Melting Arctic Sea Ice Signals Accelerated Global Warming

See also:

No Big Shift in US Flood Patterns Despite Climate Change, Study Finds
September 28, 2016 | WASHINGTON — U.S. flooding patterns have shown some regional changes but no countrywide shift despite heavier rains spawned by global warming, a study by U.S. and Austrian researchers said Wednesday.

Findings that the biggest changes were in the Upper Mississippi Valley, northern Great Plains and New England could help focus resources in dealing with a changing climate, said Stacey Archfield, a U.S. Geological Survey hydrologist and one of the study's authors. "It's a much more nuanced approach than saying, 'We know change is happening everywhere and this is a particular solution for it,'" she said. In weighing the impact climate change is having on flooding, researchers from the Geological Survey and Austria's Vienna University of Technology analyzed records from 345 stream gauges in the conterminous United States from 1940 to 2013.

A worker walks across a levee overlooking the flood swollen Cedar River, Tuesday, Sept. 27, 2016, in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. An elaborate system of temporary floodwalls largely protected Cedar Rapids homes and businesses as the river reached its second-highest mark ever.​

The gauges covered 70 percent of the lower 48 states. The first 30 years served as a base period. The results concluded that most of the United States had shown no major change since 1970 in the categories of flood frequency, peak magnitude, duration and volume. The study said that Wyoming and South Dakota had registered a 150 percent increase in peak magnitude. They joined North Dakota, Nebraska and Kansas in notching significant increases in flood duration along with a fall in frequency.

The duration of flooding in sections of the Great Plains went up two to five times. Flood volumes in the area rose almost six times above the average in the base period. New England, on the other hand, showed an increase in the average number of yearly floods to five from two even as duration, magnitude and volume went down. The study came a day after a network of flood barricades in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, largely succeeded in holding back the swollen Cedar River. Officials had feared the high water could have been the second-worst flood in the city's history.

No Big Shift in US Flood Patterns Despite Climate Change, Study Finds

Related:

Elements, Humans Put Eastern European Forests Under Stress
September 27, 2016 - Climate change, acid rain, excessive logging and pest infestation threaten forests in many parts of the world, including Eastern Europe. Local authorities are fighting back, and some of them are even seeking help from international environmental organizations.

In order to curb soil erosion after heavy logging in the 1950s, Bulgaria's communist government replanted almost 700,000 hectares. Most of the new trees were pines, and in many places they were placed at lower altitudes than those at which they grow naturally. After the fall of communism, lack of proper forestry left a lot of fallen trees on the forest floor, making them ideal breeding ground for bark beetles. Helped by favorable weather, the beetles soon attacked healthy trees. "Climate changes lead to increased temperature, which puts trees into stress," said Tsenko Tsenkov, director of Bulgaria's forestry agency. "The stress leads to reduction of vitality and life functions in those trees. They become victims of bark beetles."

A worker ties a pine tree to a horse to pull it down before cleaning up the area after the tree, which was affected by bark beetle attacks, was cut down near the town of Breznik, Bulgaria​

Authorities have started clearing the infested areas, dragging out the dead trees and selling the firewood at discounted prices. Given the opportunity, nature bounces back. "If we look closer, we will see that in many places after we take the coniferous trees out, we see the saplings of beech, oak, ash tree," said Damyan Damyanov, director of Bulgaria's South-West State Forestry Enterprise. "The local broad-leaved trees are taking back their normal place."

Romanian forests

Meanwhile, in neighboring Romania, authorities are fighting to save some of Europe's last pristine forests from both illegal and legal but irresponsible logging. "When companies go to the forest to carry out logging, doing it with no responsibility and causing damage, it is as serious as when an individual does it on his own without authorization," said Valentin Salageanu, Romanian campaign coordinator for the international environmental group Greenpeace. One of the modern weapons against that is a smartphone app through which ordinary people can track and report trucks carrying illegally cut timber.

Wood debris from logging operations upstream can be seen in a valley in Arges county, north of Bucharest, Romania​

Meanwhile, the Romanian government called on volunteers from Greenpeace to help create a national database of what is left of its virgin forests. Volunteers were deeply impressed with what they saw. "I've found some forested landscapes that I've never seen in my life. Ever," said conservation biologist Michael Curran. Experts said it was probably their remoteness that saved Romania's virgin forests from even greater devastation.

Elements, Humans Put Eastern European Forests Under Stress