Mitt Romney likely win in presidential election shown by three key polls

[OODA_Loop]

Oh well...Obama is going to win. Win easily and you'll just have to sit here and take it.

New poll shows Obama leads Romney in swing states | The Ticket - Yahoo! News

 

[Bfgrn]

It was a mixture of both parties out of control spending and pandering that caused the situation we are in, however this administration has doubled down on its spending and tightened the noose around the neck of the economy and is strangling it to death.

You can only blame the other guy for so long before you have to accept responsibility for your own actions. That time has come to pass.

Now what?

Now what?

Link? Dates graph was compiled? What exactly does the graph include?

I can draw a purdy little graph too and make it look however I want it to look and use fancy words to make it seem authentic. Without a link and data to break it down it is useless.

Economist's View: Per Capita Government Spending by President

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

LOL @ CC. You fucking idiot. You can edit my post; but it doesn't change the fact that you've already made the bet to go away if Obama loses. Why the fuck would I want to make a bet that could adversely affect me if it doesn't accomplish anything? YOU FUCKING PIECE OF SHIT IDIOT.

And like I said__ nobody is doubting the you won't come back as another screen name.

 

[Bfgrn]

How Congress Helps Republicans, But Not Democrats, Weather Bad Economies (Charts) | TPMDC

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

Also, there's no rule against the N-word that I'm aware of CC. Are you talking out of your ass again or do you actually have something you can link?

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

How Congress Helps Republicans, But Not Democrats, Weather Bad Economies (Charts) | TPMDC

Way to prove that you're as big of a hack as Obama.

 

[koshergrl]

It's quite obvious that the recording of Romney dumping on the entitlement crowd has seriously backfired on Democrats... They honestly believe that it was a negative, when in fact it reveals a person who isn't afraid to say what he believes in, and that's a positive. Anyone with the slightest bit of common sense knows that Mitt Romney was referring to the people who will back Obama simply because they believe that either their entitlements will remain in order, or that their racially motivated vote (based solely upon Obama's skin color) will offer them something in return. There are far more people working who are completely disgusted that they have been lined up under Obama to subsidize people who simply want to be cared for, and don't have the motivation to ante up for themselves. Obama eliminating Bill Clinton's work requirement on Welfare comes to mind. Electing Mitt Romney wont completely satisfy me Politically because there are several aspects of his politics I tend to disagree with... But given the two choices... My wallet, and my beliefs cannot afford four more years of Barry Soetoro... Mitt gets my Vote.

So, Mitt gets your Vote. After he expressed that he loathes people like you.

What Mitt needs to know, that the American people already do know.


Who are the 47%?

Federal budget and Census data show that, in 2010, 91 percent of the benefit dollars from entitlement and other mandatory programs went to the elderly (people 65 and over), the seriously disabled, and members of working households. People who are neither elderly nor disabled — and do not live in a working household — received only 9 percent of the benefits.

Moreover, the vast bulk of that 9 percent goes for medical care, unemployment insurance benefits (which individuals must have a significant work history to receive), Social Security survivor benefits for the children and spouses of deceased workers, and Social Security benefits for retirees between ages 62 and 64. Seven out of the 9 percentage points go for one of these four purposes.

80 percent of the workforce has seen their wages decline in real terms over the last quarter-century, and the average household has seen 40 percent of its wealth disappear during the Great Recession. Through it all, families never asked for a handout from anyone, especially Washington. They were left to go on their own, working harder, squeezing nickels, and taking care of themselves. But their economic boats have been taking on water for years, and now the crisis has swamped millions of middle class families.

Really? When did he say that?

Oh, that's right, he didn't.

Written off as just another slogan-shouting mob member.

 

[koshergrl]

Lord we've got another infograph loon.

They think pretty colors makes it true.

 

[AquaAthena]

OK, time for the Maobama-bot-zombies to shit themselves, of course we know they will use the shit hole on their face.

Gallup has O. and R. at 47% each, today, 9/20/2012.

 

[Toro]

If conservatives think that a few, certain polls show that Romney is going to win and they believe it, they should go to Intrade and bet on it because Romney has been dropping like a stone. The Romney contract is at 30 cents, a screaming bargain if you think Romney is going to win.

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

If conservatives think that a few, certain polls show that Romney is going to win and they believe it, they should go to Intrade and bet on it because Romney has been dropping like a stone. The Romney contract is at 30 cents, a screaming bargain if you think Romney is going to win.

Site? I'd buy that stock.

 

[Old Rocks]

President Obama 247 Governor Romney 191

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

Ohio President Obama 4.8

Virginia President Obama 4.7

Florida President Obama 2.1

 

[TheGreatGatsby]

President Obama 247 Governor Romney 191

RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

Ohio President Obama 4.8

Virginia President Obama 4.7

Florida President Obama 2.1

I was really hoping you''d give us a Real Clear Nonsense update! That always makes my day!

 

[courseofhistory]

9/20/12 PM

9/20/12 AM

9/19/12

LINK

By the end of Wednesday, however, it was clear that the preponderance of the evidence favored Mr. Obama. He got strong polls in Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin and Virginia, all from credible pollsters. Mr. Obama, who had been slipping in our forecast recently, rebounded to a 75.2 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, up from 72.9 percent on Tuesday.

The most unambiguously bearish sign for Mr. Romney are the poor polls he has been getting in swing states from pollsters that use a thorough methodology and include cellphones in their samples.

There have been 16 such polls published in the top 10 tipping point states since the Democratic convention ended, all conducted among likely voters. Mr. Obama has held the lead in all 16 of these polls. With the exception of two polls in Colorado — where Mr. Obama’s polling has been quite middling recently — all put him ahead by at least four points. On average, he led by 5.8 percentage points between these 16 surveys.

NOWCAST

94.8% Obama 5.2% Romney (chances of winning)

LINK

 

[Toro]

If conservatives think that a few, certain polls show that Romney is going to win and they believe it, they should go to Intrade and bet on it because Romney has been dropping like a stone. The Romney contract is at 30 cents, a screaming bargain if you think Romney is going to win.

Site? I'd buy that stock.

Intrade - Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012

 

[JoeB131]

If conservatives think that a few, certain polls show that Romney is going to win and they believe it, they should go to Intrade and bet on it because Romney has been dropping like a stone. The Romney contract is at 30 cents, a screaming bargain if you think Romney is going to win.

Waiting to say , "I told you so!"

 

[Imnukingfutz]

Now what?

Now what?

Link? Dates graph was compiled? What exactly does the graph include?

I can draw a purdy little graph too and make it look however I want it to look and use fancy words to make it seem authentic. Without a link and data to break it down it is useless.

Economist's View: Per Capita Government Spending by President

You are quoting some unknown poster on a message board who doesnt reveal his calculations, doesnt include TARP or any of the stimulus spending, or ARRA spending?

Are you serious?

 

[Bfgrn]

Now what?

Link? Dates graph was compiled? What exactly does the graph include?

I can draw a purdy little graph too and make it look however I want it to look and use fancy words to make it seem authentic. Without a link and data to break it down it is useless.

Economist's View: Per Capita Government Spending by President

You are quoting some unknown poster on a message board who doesnt reveal his calculations, doesnt include TARP or any of the stimulus spending, or ARRA spending?

Are you serious?

TARP was Bush, not Obama. And Obama now includes Bush's war in Iraq IN the budget.

Here is the 'rub'...We are on The Extended-Baseline Scenario trajectory Obama and the Democrats put us on. If Congress does nothing the Extended-Baseline Scenario is already in place.

IF the Bush tax cuts don't expire and the AHA is not fully implemented or repealed the The Alternative Fiscal Scenario is the trajectory Teapublicans will take us if they gain enough power.

the CBO lays it out perfectly clear...CRYSTAL.

Federal Debt Held by the Public Under CBO’s Long-Term Budget Scenarios
(Percentage of gross domestic product)

The chart shows 2 scenarios. For all practical purposes, you can call the Extended-Baseline Scenario the Democrat scenario and the Alternative Fiscal Scenario the Teapublican scenario.


The Extended-Baseline Scenario adheres closely to current law. Under this scenario, the expiration of the tax cuts enacted since 2001 and most recently extended in 2010, the growing reach of the alternative minimum tax, the tax provisions of the recent health care legislation, and the way in which the tax system interacts with economic growth would result in steadily higher revenues relative to GDP.

The Alternative Fiscal Scenario
The budget outlook is much bleaker under the alternative fiscal scenario, which incorporates several changes to current law that are widely expected to occur or that would modify some provisions of law that might be difficult to sustain for a long period. Most important are the assumptions about revenues: that the tax cuts enacted since 2001 and extended most recently in 2010 will be extended; that the reach of the alternative minimum tax will be restrained to stay close to its historical extent; and that over the longer run, tax law will evolve further so that revenues remain near their historical average of 18 percent of GDP. This scenario also incorporates assumptions that Medicare’s payment rates for physicians will remain at current levels (rather than declining by about a third, as under current law) and that some policies enacted in the March 2010 health care legislation to restrain growth in federal health care spending will not continue in effect after 2021.

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Obama spending binge never happened

Government outlays rising at slowest pace since 1950s

Here are the facts, according to the official government statistics:

• In the 2009 fiscal year — the last of George W. Bush’s presidency — federal spending rose by 17.9% from $2.98 trillion to $3.52 trillion. Check the official numbers at the Office of Management and Budget.

• In fiscal 2010 — the first budget under Obama — spending fell 1.8% to $3.46 trillion.

• In fiscal 2011, spending rose 4.3% to $3.60 trillion.

• In fiscal 2012, spending is set to rise 0.7% to $3.63 trillion, according to the Congressional Budget Office’s estimate of the budget that was agreed to last August.

• Finally in fiscal 2013 — the final budget of Obama’s term — spending is scheduled to fall 1.3% to $3.58 trillion. Read the CBO’s latest budget outlook.

Over Obama’s four budget years, federal spending is on track to rise from $3.52 trillion to $3.58 trillion, an annualized increase of just 0.4%.

There has been no huge increase in spending under the current president, despite what you hear.

Why do people think Obama has spent like a drunken sailor? It’s in part because of a fundamental misunderstanding of the federal budget.

What people forget (or never knew) is that the first year of every presidential term starts with a budget approved by the previous administration and Congress. The president only begins to shape the budget in his second year. It takes time to develop a budget and steer it through Congress — especially in these days of congressional gridlock.

The 2009 fiscal year, which Republicans count as part of Obama’s legacy, began four months before Obama moved into the White House. The major spending decisions in the 2009 fiscal year were made by George W. Bush and the previous Congress.


Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts.
Daniel Patrick Moynihan

 

[NYcarbineer]

Rasmussen Reports has released today, three key polls that show Mitt Romney's likely win in this year's presidential election over President Obama. The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Daily Tracking Poll released today shows Romney leading 47 percent to 46 percent over Obama. Rasmussen's Daily Swing State Tracking Poll of 11 key swing states won by President Obama in 2008 shows Romney leading them by the exact same percentages. The latest Rasmussen poll of New Hampshire released today shows Romney leading there 48 percent to 45 percent.

New Hampshire is a key swing state that could make a difference with its four electoral votes, and George W. Bush would have reached 270 electoral voters in 2000 without having won this state. New Hampshire had narrowly favored Obama in many polls over the last few months and while the analysis conduced here by this columnist has consistently predicted Mitt Romney will win the state (based in part on knowledge of local politics in the state having lived in New England for years), most projected have shaded New Hampshire blue and predicted it will go for Obama. This Rasmussen survey is key in that it likely shows movement in New Hampshire in the direction of Mitt Romney.

In the instance of an incumbent president who enjoys just about 100 percent name recognition and is seeking reelection, most of the undecided voters are likely to swing to the challenger by election day. This is especially true when the challenger remains still less known to the public than the incumbent, as is true with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. By election day, those other nine percent not favoring Romney or Obama in the Rasmussen Daily Tracking poll are likely include less than one percent voting for third party candidates and five or six percent of those nine will likely vote for Mitt Romney. That would indicate a popular vote win by Romney of about 53 percent to 46 percent, or the reverse of Obama's win in 2008. This would lead to an electoral college total of more than 300 electoral votes for Romney.

The 11 swing states tracked by Rasmussen in it's swing state tracking poll show Romney leading 47 percent to 46 percent, where some weeks ago the two candidates were tied at 45 percent in the Rasmussen tracking poll of these 11 key swing states. President Obama won these same states collectively by a 53 percent to 46 percent margin in 2008. Now he is seven percent behind that finish now in these states. Romney is likely to capture most of the undecided votes and could win these states collectively by at least a 52 percent to 47 percent margin. That would likely lead to Romney winning Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin while having a competitive chance in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

If President Obama can only win Michigan and Pennsylvania among those 11 swing states, he can not be reelected to the presidency.

Mitt Romney likely win in presidential election shown by three key polls - Arlington Conservative | Examiner.com

The Rasmussen polls on the swing states are almost all outside the poll averages, to the Romney side.

The assumption that one pollster, in this case Rasmussen, would get all the swing states right, and the sum total of all other pollsters, averaged,

would get it wrong defies all logic, reason, and common sense.

If for example I were to pick ONE pollster which currently has Obama ahead overall and has Obama leading in most of the swing states,

would that prove that Obama is going to win?

 

[AceRothstein]

The other thing is that Obama only needs a few swing states and it is over whereas Romney needs a number of them. Depending upon when Ohio, Virginia and Florida are called on election night, we may know fairly early in the evening who is going to win.