Well, I can't give you my research since it is bought and paid for; and I wouldn't anyway, lol. But I will link to an opinion piece that just about spells it out for you. Of course, you won't believe it, but I have no need to convince of you of facts unless they change your vote, which they won't! Still, the angst of Donald Trump on the left, is not how many Republican voters will stay home, but rather, how many Democratic voters will come out and vote for him!
Michigan Shows Trump Could Redraw Electoral Map vs. Clinton
And P.S.------> Jake, or RIGHTWINGER, I really don't care what you think, just as I do not care what Joe thinks either. You have some good points for sure, but trying to CHANGE the will of the people is your forte. I; on the other hand, try and explain why they should have hope in what they think. They should not be frightened into changing their mind by people like you, they should only change their minds if they come to the conclusion themselves.
But, I suppose with all your posts as Jake and WINGER, you enjoy trying to scare people, and herding them into the little funnel your paymasters want. Wonder how well your SHTICK is going to fly, when your facts begin to dissolve as the election grows closer? Doesn't mean you will be wrong, it just means what you said would happen, will come into serious doubt.
I have a buck 3-80 that says if everything goes against you, you will come back with new monickers, and start again about 2018 midterms. That is fine, but maybe your paymasters should renegotiate your compensation-)