COVID-19 Stats and the Value of Perspective

mikegriffith1

Mike Griffith
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Oct 23, 2012
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Valuable perspective can be gained by looking at the overall COVID-19 death rate for each age group in the U.S. These percentages are based on yesterday’s CDC report on provisional deaths in the U.S. by age group. For perspective, if 0.000162% of people aged 25-34 have died from the virus, this means that 99.999838% of them have not died from it.

AGE GROUP---OVERALL COVID-19 DEATH RATE
00-14 ---- 0.00000329% (or 304,000 times lower than 1%)
15-24 ---- 0.00001630% (or 62,00 times lower than 1%)
25-34 ---- 0.00016200% (or 6,200 times lower than 1%)
35-44 ---- 0.00045550% (or 2,210 times lower than 1%)
45-54 ---- 0.00113930% (or 885 times lower than 1%)
55-64 ---- 0.00256900% (or 390 times lower than 1%)
65-74 ---- 0.00597300% (or 170 times lower than 1%)
75-84 ---- 0.01461000% (or 70 times lower than 1%)
85+ ------- 0.03605600% (or 28 times lower than 1%)

Note that we are not talking about the percentage of people in each age group who have caught the virus and then died from it, but the percentage of all the people in each group who have died from it.

How much calmer and more rational would everyone be if these percentages were being widely reported by the news media? How much less panic would there be if the news media were widely reporting that in New York City, according to the city's health department, over 90% of the city residents who have died from the virus had serious preexisting health issues such as diabetes, lung disease, kidney disease, cancer, and heart disease? Perspective is crucial.

News outlets such as CNN, NBC, ABC, MSNBC, CBS, the New York Times, the Washington Post, Vox, and the Huffington Post have rarely provided context and perspective on our COVID-19 numbers; instead, they have usually stoked fear and panic with misleading selective reporting and sometimes with outright falsehoods.

Here is an article by an Israeli professor at Tel Aviv University that shows that lockdowns have not been effective and are not necessary:

 
Valuable perspective can be gained by looking at the overall COVID-19 death rate for each age group in the U.S. These percentages are based on yesterday’s CDC report on provisional deaths in the U.S. by age group. For perspective, if 0.000162% of people aged 25-34 have died from the virus, this means that 99.999838% of them have not died from it.

AGE GROUP---OVERALL COVID-19 DEATH RATE
00-14 ---- 0.00000329% (or 304,000 times lower than 1%)
15-24 ---- 0.00001630% (or 62,00 times lower than 1%)
25-34 ---- 0.00016200% (or 6,200 times lower than 1%)
35-44 ---- 0.00045550% (or 2,210 times lower than 1%)
45-54 ---- 0.00113930% (or 885 times lower than 1%)
55-64 ---- 0.00256900% (or 390 times lower than 1%)
65-74 ---- 0.00597300% (or 170 times lower than 1%)
75-84 ---- 0.01461000% (or 70 times lower than 1%)
85+ ------- 0.03605600% (or 28 times lower than 1%)

Note that we are not talking about the percentage of people in each age group who have caught the virus and then died from it, but the percentage of all the people in each group who have died from it.

How much calmer and more rational would everyone be if these percentages were being widely reported by the news media? How much less panic would there be if the news media were widely reporting that in New York City, according to the city's health department, over 90% of the city residents who have died from the virus had serious preexisting health issues such as diabetes, lung disease, kidney disease, cancer, and heart disease? Perspective is crucial.

News outlets such as CNN, NBC, ABC, MSNBC, CBS, the New York Times, the Washington Post, Vox, and the Huffington Post have rarely provided context and perspective on our COVID-19 numbers; instead, they have usually stoked fear and panic with misleading selective reporting and sometimes with outright falsehoods.

Here is an article by an Israeli professor at Tel Aviv University that shows that lockdowns have not been effective and are not necessary:

Fantastic post, thanks.
 
You don't have to worry, soon the decision will be made and the president will be talking acceptable losses and choices that were supposedly difficult.
 
"For Want of a Nail" is a proverb, having numerous variations over several centuries, reminding that seemingly unimportant acts or omissions can have grave and unforeseen consequences.

For want of a nail a horseshoe was lost,
for want of a horseshoe a horse went lame,
for want of a horse a rider never got through,
for want of a rider a message never arrived,
for want of a message an army was never sent,
for want of an army a battle was lost,
for want of a battle a war was lost,
for want of a war a kingdom fell,
and all for want of a nail.
 
Frank the Pug : The galaxy is here!

Kay : What do you mean "here?"

Jay : Galaxy's millions of stars and planets. How's it here?

Frank the Pug : You humans! When will you learn size doesn't matter? Just because something's important, doesn't mean it's not very small.
 
You don't have to worry, soon the decision will be made and the president will be talking acceptable losses and choices that were supposedly difficult.
That's nothing unusual or diabolical.

We make that decision every day when getting into automobiles.

.
It would be a little better if Trump had the courage to take ownership of his decisions but nothing about him has suggested that. He will make the decision out of cowardice and hide from the consequences like a coward.
 
It would be a little better if Trump had the courage to take ownership of his decisions but nothing about him has suggested that.
Like what?

.
Like what?? I should ask you for examples of when he even accepted criticism much less responsibility. He cannot take what he dishes out by the ton daily. He's going to encourage bully republican governors to reopen their states and then blame it on them when their cases spike. You can bet the farm on that.
 

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