A Challenge

Rubio is making a valid point


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Lost of sources. Here is but one on them possessing a weapon, and this source doesn't have the history of lying, that Trump has.
View attachment 1253866
No, Iran is not currently pursuing an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) program. While Iran has developed medium-range ballistic missiles, there is no evidence to suggest it is actively working on an ICBM system. Analysts assess that Iran has redirected its missile program focus away from developing an ICBM to developing solid-fueled versions of its short-range missiles.
nti.org armscontrol.org
A fair-minded observer of Iran’s relations with the IAEA cannot but conclude that Tehran has never wavered from its intention to build a nuclear weapons capability and that its publicly declared “civilian” nuclear activities are an effort to hide its nuclear bomb program in plain sight. From the very inception of the JCPOA, however, the deal’s supporters have spun myths that disguise these self-evident truths. After Trump left the deal, those same supporters continued to recite the old myths while adding some new ones about the purported comparative advantage of the JCPOA over maximum pressure.

~S~
 
I can see how the increased cost of gas might lead to international pressures which could assist the Iranian regime.

On the other hand, they are presently being denied most of that cash flow almost entirely.

They're being denied the cash, while the world is paying more for energy. Not a winning strategy
 
They're being denied the cash, while the world is paying more for energy. Not a winning strategy
I’m not sure you’re right. The rest of the world may (or may not) be paying more for energy. But that’s temporary.

Meanwhile, Irans ability to make nuclear weapons would be forever.
 
They're being denied the cash, while the world is paying more for energy. Not a winning strategy
The world will adapt to new markets. They already are doing so.

OPEC is breaking up.

And Iran needs storage for oil. Once they stop pumping oil the pressure underground will displace. And possibly kill their wells, or lower their production forever from existing wells.

SHOOT THE HOSTAGE

 
The world will adapt to new markets. They already are doing so.

OPEC is breaking up.

And Iran needs storage for oil. Once they stop pumping oil the pressure underground will displace. And possibly kill their wells, or lower their production forever from existing wells.

SHOOT THE HOSTAGE


I just saw that they're pumping it straight into the ocean. They can do that for quite some time.
 
I just saw that they're pumping it straight into the ocean. They can do that for quite some time.
iran is pumping oil into persian gulf


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Iran's Maldives' could drown in oil due to spills from air ...

As of early May 2026, satellite imagery has identified large, fresh oil slicks off Iran’s Kharg Island, confirming significant oil spills in the Persian Gulf amid a US blockade that has stranded Iranian crude, with some reports indicating oil is being released into the sea as storage tanks reach capacity. [1, 2, 3]
Key Details as of May 2026:
  • Source of Spill: The spills are concentrated around Kharg Island, Iran's main export hub, and near the Lavan Island refinery, which was damaged in recent operations.
  • Cause - Storage Crisis: The blockade by the U.S. has halted most of Iran’s oil exports, filling up shore tanks and tankers, forcing Iran to use tankers as floating storage.
  • Environmental Impact: The spills are causing a major environmental emergency in the Gulf, with oil reaching protected areas near Shidvar Island.
  • Strategic Context: Following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran continues to produce oil despite being unable to export it, leading to the crisis. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
This situation is causing major concerns regarding environmental damage to other Gulf states as the slicks move south. [1]
 
The Iranian regime is our enemy, retard.
Have been for a long time.
According to your orange god:

NATO is our enemy.
Greenland is our enemy.
Venezuela is our enemy.
Canada is our enemy.
Cuba is our enemy.
Russia is our enemy.
Denmark is our enemy.
The EU is our enemy.
Iran is our enemy.
Mexico is our enemy.
China is our enemy.
Conservatives like Thomas Massie and MTG are the enemy.
Tucker and Jones are the enemy.
California is our enemy.
Germany is our enemy.
Folks who want justice for the Epstein victims are the enemy.
The mainstream, legacy media is the enemy.
Independent media is the enemy.
France is our enemy.
Japan is our enemy.

Outside of his bosses, donors, and handlers in Israel ... who the hell ISN'T our enemy?
 
OPEC is breaking up.
AI Overview

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is officially leaving OPEC and OPEC+ on May 1, 2026, marking a significant, but not total, breakdown of the alliance. As the third-largest producer, the UAE's departure is a major blow to the cartel's, especially over oil production controls. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/ycwO7dkfd1Y
  • Production Freedom: The UAE is quitting to increase oil output, having invested heavily in capacity but felt restricted by OPEC production quotas.
  • Internal Rifts: The departure highlights a deep split with Saudi Arabia, the de facto leader of OPEC, and frustration over regional security during the Iran war.
  • Global Impact: This move weakens OPEC's ability to influence global oil prices, creating a more independent market strategy for the UAE.
  • Geopolitical Shift: The exit aligns with the UAE seeking closer ties with the US, which has criticized OPEC's pricing policies. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
This development is viewed by some analysts as a major fracture, though it does not completely dissolve the 65-year-old organization. [1, 2, 3]
 
iran is pumping oil into persian gulf


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View attachment 1253899
As of early May 2026, satellite imagery has identified large, fresh oil slicks off Iran’s Kharg Island, confirming significant oil spills in the Persian Gulf amid a US blockade that has stranded Iranian crude, with some reports indicating oil is being released into the sea as storage tanks reach capacity. [1, 2, 3]
Key Details as of May 2026:
  • Source of Spill: The spills are concentrated around Kharg Island, Iran's main export hub, and near the Lavan Island refinery, which was damaged in recent operations.
  • Cause - Storage Crisis: The blockade by the U.S. has halted most of Iran’s oil exports, filling up shore tanks and tankers, forcing Iran to use tankers as floating storage.
  • Environmental Impact: The spills are causing a major environmental emergency in the Gulf, with oil reaching protected areas near Shidvar Island.
  • Strategic Context: Following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran continues to produce oil despite being unable to export it, leading to the crisis. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
This situation is causing major concerns regarding environmental damage to other Gulf states as the slicks move south. [1]
 
Out of curiosity, let’s say that that one assessment is reported accurately.

Why is it significant that Iran can withstand American efforts for about 4 months?

I do believe that many wars have lasted far longer than just a few months. Just ask Russia.
It simply gives a minimum length of time the regular world flow of significant petroleum production will be reduced. I figure, two months past the straits being closed is the earliest to count on reduction at the pumps and then only if we have attained the means to ensure continued flow, not counting any production problems, as production will be curtailed due to lack of storage. We all saw how long it took for production to get back to average output after the worldwide Covid shut down. My understanding is, what you can shut down by flipping a switch and turning a valve, you may not be able to restart simply by turning it back on and opening the valve. All to the benefit of the petroleum producers and oil companies, that thrive with higher long-term supply shortage. Oil companies will be the big winners of Trump's war of choice. All consumers (including all resident of the United States) are and will be the big losers.
 
A fair-minded observer of Iran’s relations with the IAEA cannot but conclude that Tehran has never wavered from its intention to build a nuclear weapons capability and that its publicly declared “civilian” nuclear activities are an effort to hide its nuclear bomb program in plain sight. From the very inception of the JCPOA, however, the deal’s supporters have spun myths that disguise these self-evident truths. After Trump left the deal, those same supporters continued to recite the old myths while adding some new ones about the purported comparative advantage of the JCPOA over maximum pressure.

~S~
If you believe in that inevitability, based on a nation's unwavering intent, MAGA would be in favor of support for Ukraine against the Russian invasion, as Russia has never taken it's eyes off of any of the breakaway countries or control of any NATO/ European countries, for that matter.
 
It simply gives a minimum length of time the regular world flow of significant petroleum production will be reduced. I figure, two months past the straits being closed is the earliest to count on reduction at the pumps and then only if we have attained the means to ensure continued flow, not counting any production problems, as production will be curtailed due to lack of storage. We all saw how long it took for production to get back to average output after the worldwide Covid shut down. My understanding is, what you can shut down by flipping a switch and turning a valve, you may not be able to restart simply by turning it back on and opening the valve. All to the benefit of the petroleum producers and oil companies, that thrive with higher long-term supply shortage. Oil companies will be the big winners of Trump's war of choice. All consumers (including all resident of the United States) are and will be the big losers.
They're dumping oil straight into the sea.
 
15th post
They're dumping oil straight into the sea.

Dirty sonsabitches! :mad: Thats kind of like international ghetto trash, throwing their garbage out the back window.
Dumping in the sea, rather than shutting down the pumps, to avoid problems in restart?
 
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Out of curiosity, let’s say that that one assessment is reported accurately.

Why is it significant that Iran can withstand American efforts for about 4 months?

I do believe that many wars have lasted far longer than just a few months. Just ask Russia.

You appear to be trying to dismiss the report. But it does reflect the concensus of international experts.

“I do believe that many wars have lasted far longer than just a few months. Just ask Russia.”

This one was supposed to last two weeks, according to the Fool who started it,

Iran has been in the driver’s seat ever since.
 
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