What Would it Take to Swing a State from Red/Blue or Blue/Red

[candycorn]

The 538 blog has a gizmo that would make most Drumpf supporters nervous about their chances of keeping GA and NC in the red column.

Here is a link to it:

What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2016 Election?

I am of the opinion that there are precious few reasons that any intellectual would vote for Drumpf. His rhetoric is thoughtless and mean, his plans are simplistic and unworkable, and his supporters are certainly the intellectual bottom of the barrel. Furthermore, the damage that can be done by electing this small fraction of a man is certainly a reason NOT to vote for him. Withdrawing from NATO, NAFTA, and other international agreements is a salve for those who do not understand the benefit of the agreement (again, his “the WWE is real” fan base). The argument that “It can’t get any worse” is basically a traction-less acknowledgement that the opinion holder has zero idea of economics or history.

That being said, the gizmo shows Romney’s margin with College Educated White Voters which was 56%. The turnout of this demographic was 78%. If HRC can peel away 7% from Drumpf, NC and GA flip. If you spin it the opposite direction where Drumpf gains 7%…interestingly OH, FL and NH all flip to red. HRC still wins with 281 EVs but in this all important demographic, the election can hinge. One would think HRC would do better than Obama with some of this group by virtue of her being caucasian.

Feel free to take a look and play with the numbers.

 

[Kosh]

The 538 blog has a gizmo that would make most Drumpf supporters nervous about their chances of keeping GA and NC in the red column.

Here is a link to it:

What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2016 Election?

I am of the opinion that there are precious few reasons that any intellectual would vote for Drumpf. His rhetoric is thoughtless and mean, his plans are simplistic and unworkable, and his supporters are certainly the intellectual bottom of the barrel. Furthermore, the damage that can be done by electing this small fraction of a man is certainly a reason NOT to vote for him. Withdrawing from NATO, NAFTA, and other international agreements is a salve for those who do not understand the benefit of the agreement (again, his “the WWE is real” fan base). The argument that “It can’t get any worse” is basically a traction-less acknowledgement that the opinion holder has zero idea of economics or history.

That being said, the gizmo shows Romney’s margin with College Educated White Voters which was 56%. The turnout of this demographic was 78%. If HRC can peel away 7% from Drumpf, NC and GA flip. If you spin it the opposite direction where Drumpf gains 7%…interestingly OH, FL and NH all flip to red. HRC still wins with 281 EVs but in this all important demographic, the election can hinge. One would think HRC would do better than Obama with some of this group by virtue of her being caucasian.

Feel free to take a look and play with the numbers.

I see the far left is actually worried that Hilary/ISIS might loose to Trump!

 

[SassyIrishLass]

The 538 blog has a gizmo that would make most Drumpf supporters nervous about their chances of keeping GA and NC in the red column.

Here is a link to it:

What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2016 Election?

I am of the opinion that there are precious few reasons that any intellectual would vote for Drumpf. His rhetoric is thoughtless and mean, his plans are simplistic and unworkable, and his supporters are certainly the intellectual bottom of the barrel. Furthermore, the damage that can be done by electing this small fraction of a man is certainly a reason NOT to vote for him. Withdrawing from NATO, NAFTA, and other international agreements is a salve for those who do not understand the benefit of the agreement (again, his “the WWE is real” fan base). The argument that “It can’t get any worse” is basically a traction-less acknowledgement that the opinion holder has zero idea of economics or history.

That being said, the gizmo shows Romney’s margin with College Educated White Voters which was 56%. The turnout of this demographic was 78%. If HRC can peel away 7% from Drumpf, NC and GA flip. If you spin it the opposite direction where Drumpf gains 7%…interestingly OH, FL and NH all flip to red. HRC still wins with 281 EVs but in this all important demographic, the election can hinge. One would think HRC would do better than Obama with some of this group by virtue of her being caucasian.

Feel free to take a look and play with the numbers.

I see the far left is actually worried that Hilary/ISIS might loose to Trump!

When Fat Bastard Mikey Moore concedes it may happen you know the rest are thinking it

 

[MarathonMike]

You do realize that the "gizmo" is a computer program that has a limited set of parameters. Climate models are constantly wrong because of "Oops we didn't account for that". The same goes for this Red-Blue state predictor.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

What Would it Take to Swing a State from Red/Blue

Donald Trump

 

[I amso IR]

The 538 blog has a gizmo that would make most Drumpf supporters nervous about their chances of keeping GA and NC in the red column.

Here is a link to it:

What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2016 Election?

I am of the opinion that there are precious few reasons that any intellectual would vote for Drumpf. His rhetoric is thoughtless and mean, his plans are simplistic and unworkable, and his supporters are certainly the intellectual bottom of the barrel. Furthermore, the damage that can be done by electing this small fraction of a man is certainly a reason NOT to vote for him. Withdrawing from NATO, NAFTA, and other international agreements is a salve for those who do not understand the benefit of the agreement (again, his “the WWE is real” fan base). The argument that “It can’t get any worse” is basically a traction-less acknowledgement that the opinion holder has zero idea of economics or history.

That being said, the gizmo shows Romney’s margin with College Educated White Voters which was 56%. The turnout of this demographic was 78%. If HRC can peel away 7% from Drumpf, NC and GA flip. If you spin it the opposite direction where Drumpf gains 7%…interestingly OH, FL and NH all flip to red. HRC still wins with 281 EVs but in this all important demographic, the election can hinge. One would think HRC would do better than Obama with some of this group by virtue of her being caucasian.

Feel free to take a look and play with the numbers.

I see the far left is actually worried that Hilary/ISIS might loose to Trump!

When Fat Bastard Mikey Moore concedes it may happen you know the rest are thinking it

Not only that, his thong has a square knot in it!

 

[candycorn]

What Would it Take to Swing a State from Red/Blue

Donald Trump

Thanks for the belly laugh.

 

[candycorn]

You do realize that the "gizmo" is a computer program that has a limited set of parameters. Climate models are constantly wrong because of "Oops we didn't account for that". The same goes for this Red-Blue state predictor.

True.

Not all of it happens in a vacuum. It doesn’t have a 3rd party option so just because you move the needle from right to left, doesn’t mean that if it goes from 48% R to 46% R that the D’s picked up 2%. That 2% may go 3rd party or not vote at all.

 

[Wyatt earp]

The 538 blog has a gizmo that would make most Drumpf supporters nervous about their chances of keeping GA and NC in the red column.

Here is a link to it:

What Would It Take To Flip States In The 2016 Election?

I am of the opinion that there are precious few reasons that any intellectual would vote for Drumpf. His rhetoric is thoughtless and mean, his plans are simplistic and unworkable, and his supporters are certainly the intellectual bottom of the barrel. Furthermore, the damage that can be done by electing this small fraction of a man is certainly a reason NOT to vote for him. Withdrawing from NATO, NAFTA, and other international agreements is a salve for those who do not understand the benefit of the agreement (again, his “the WWE is real” fan base). The argument that “It can’t get any worse” is basically a traction-less acknowledgement that the opinion holder has zero idea of economics or history.

That being said, the gizmo shows Romney’s margin with College Educated White Voters which was 56%. The turnout of this demographic was 78%. If HRC can peel away 7% from Drumpf, NC and GA flip. If you spin it the opposite direction where Drumpf gains 7%…interestingly OH, FL and NH all flip to red. HRC still wins with 281 EVs but in this all important demographic, the election can hinge. One would think HRC would do better than Obama with some of this group by virtue of her being caucasian.

Feel free to take a look and play with the numbers.

This one?