Doc7505
Diamond Member
- Feb 16, 2016
- 24,150
- 42,963
- 2,430
Trump’s passivity on the Strait of Hormuz shows his genius
We can do—our military has planned for it—yet Trump hasn’t acted. One man thinks he knows why,
and it shows Trump as a strategic genius unlike any other.
and it shows Trump as a strategic genius unlike any other.
Trump’s passivity on the Strait of Hormuz shows his genius
We can do—our military has planned for it—yet Trump hasn’t acted. One man thinks he knows why, and it shows Trump as a strategic genius unlike any other.
One of the things that’s been obvious, given the U.S. and Israeli militaries’ extraordinary skill and equipment, is that, if they wish to, they can secure the Strait of Hormuz...yet they haven’t. Leftists claim that’s because it never occurred to Trump that the Iranians would try to use the Strait as leverage. That’s patently ridiculous, unless you accept their core premise that Trump has a low two-digit IQ. So, what gives?
One man, James E. Thorne, a Ph.D. in economics and the Chief Market Strategist at Wellington Altus, a Canadian wealth management organization, thinks he has the answer. His tweet, regrettably, has pompous academic language with a smattering of leftist vocabulary (I hate academese, and the Hegelian language that Marxism adopted), but, when I plowed through it, my reaction was the same one Charlie Brown had when Lucy had an insight:
Yup! That’s it. Trump isn’t stupid. He’s scary smart, and he’s exposing exactly how things lie in the real world, not in the world as Europeans, Brits, and other leftists wish it would be.
Here’s the tweet, which I’ve followed with my simplistic rendering of Thorne’s astute, but jargony analysis:
~Snip~
Under the old theory, the world assumed the US would guarantee that oil would continue flowing through the Strait. Accordingly, the world organized its infrastructure around that assumption. No one questioned it, accepting that it was as fixed as the sun rising in the East.
Trump, however, is proving that assumption to be false. He wants the EU and the UK to understand what the world is like when they can neither rely on the US nor kick it around when it comes to their energy supplies.
And indeed, Trump has been forthright: You need the oil, so you take care of the problem.
~Snip~
By putting this kind of maximum pressure on the EU and the UK, Trump is forcing a new reality on them. Here’s how Thorne sums it up:
The prize is a reordered system in which the United States effectively arbitrages and controls the global flow of oil. A world in which US‑aligned production in the Americas plus a discretionary capability to secure, or not secure, Hormuz places Washington at the centre of the hydrocarbon chessboard.
As I said, “That’s it.” Trump may speak like someone who flies by the seat of his pants, but his current actions show someone playing 5-D chess while everyone else is still focused on Candy Land.Within a year, he’s shrunk the federal government to its smallest since 1966, revitalized our military, closed our border, tamed inflation, increased job growth, rid our country of millions of illegal aliens, tamed Venezuela, reduced Cuba to nothing, gotten the Panama Canal out from under Chinese control (which, with the end of Venezuela’s dictatorship and Cuba’s seemingly imminent collapse, removes China as a player in this region), and is close to ending Iran’s 47 year reign of terror, a reign carried out through funding terrorism and controlling the world’s oil spigot. Men with two-digit IQs don’t do all that.
Commentary:
Great grasp and explanation on the professor’s post, Ms. Widburg. I think he is dead right.
On the bright side, many enemies exposed themselves and Trump had four years to plan. PDJT is now much more effective than if he had his second term consecutive with the first. He was given lemons and boy did he make lemonade.
