You think an alarm at 3 AM would have gotten over 800 up and out of the area before that 25 foot wall of water arrived? Man, those camp counselors must be the most organized people on the planet, Frigid! Do I think an alarm would have saved lives? Yes. For those who reacted fast enough. Experience tells me people seldom do react that fast. Thinking that you could empty that camp that fast is a fantasy.
Well, let's look.
en.wikipedia.org
NWS says Flash Flood Warnings were issued on July 3 and early July 4 in Central Texas, giving more than three hours of warning.
www.nbcdfw.com
"At 1:18 pm CDT on July 3, 2025, the National Weather Service office in
San Antonio, Texas, issued a flood watch for
Kerr County and other areas that would later be impacted by severe flooding."
They said perhaps 1-3 inches with 5-7 inches in some places.
At this point the camp should have been on some kind of alert. You're in a place that's had flash floods before, you need the camp contacted, you need people aware, you need them ready to move at short notice.
"On July 3 at 6:10 pm CDT, the
Weather Prediction Center branch of the National Weather Service issued a
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion citing that "areas of flash flooding will be likely across central TX overnight with very heavy rainfall expected. Hourly rainfall in excess of 2 to 3 inches (51–76 mm) seems reasonable given the environment and localized 6-hr totals over 6 inches (150 mm) will be possible","
At this point the camp should definitely have been aware and should probably have been preparing to get out.
"The National Water Center Area Hydrologic Discussion (AHD) #144 at issued 6:22 PM CDT on 7/3/2025 messaged locally considerable flood wording for areas north and west of San Antonio, including the city of Kerrville."
At this point, they should have been got out, no matter what. There was a flood warning for Kerrville. The camp should have been told, informed of the danger and advised to move.
"The first Flash Flood Warning for the event was issued at 11:41 PM CDT Thursday for Bandera County."
Bandera county is just south of Kerrville.
"At 1:14 AM CDT Friday: Flash Flood Warning with a considerable tag was issued for Bandera and Kerr Counties. Flash Flood Warnings with the Impact-Based Warning tags “Considerable” or “Catastrophic” denote high-damage threats and will automatically trigger Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEAs) on enabled mobile devices, ensuring only the most life-threatening flash flood events prompt urgent public notifications. All alerts are also sent out over NOAA Weather Radio."
At this point someone should have been sent to the camp and forced everyone out.
That was HOURS before.