Some Good News and Good Questions

[Weatherman2020]

So far the ‘experts’ have been very wrong in their forecasts, things have thankfully not been near as bad as forecasted. And the question many of us have been asking is so then what’s the exit strategy.

Yes, it’s a video and nobody likes videos. But you aren’t doing anything today. So watch it before commenting.

 

[2aguy]

So far the ‘experts’ have been very wrong in their forecasts, things have thankfully not been near as bad as forecasted. And the question many of us have been asking is so then what’s the exit strategy.

Yes, it’s a video and nobody likes videos. But you aren’t doing anything today. So watch it before commenting.

They haven't just been wrong........they have been criminally wrong.....at the least they should be shamed out of the research community for the rest of their lives......

They shut down the U.S. economy, risking a Great Depression by putting out 1-2 million Americans would die from the virus.....

Then, after the damage was done, they revised the number to 1-240 thousand people.........

Now....quietly......almost secretly.....they have again revised the number .....to 60,415....the same as a normal flu season...

In the middle of this, the supposed number of hospital beds needed was also reduced.......

This will likely one day be exposed as a deliberate act to get rid of Trump, with the side benefit of crushing the U.S. economy for the left....

IHME Again Lowers Coronavirus Death Projections

Projected coronavirus deaths in the United States were lowered by 25% from 81,766 to 60,415 early Wednesday morning.

www.breitbart.com

 

[mamooth]

If you're too lazy to summarize the video, why should anyone else look at it and do your work for you?

I'll point out that initial forecasts were high because they assumed only 50% would follow social distancing rules. It turns out that more like 90% are following the rules (no thanks to "IT'S A HOAX!" conservatives), so the spread is less than initially predicted.

The lesson? As usual, conservatives denied reality, and are still denying reality, all for the glory of their Stalinist cult.

 

[2aguy]

If you're too lazy to summarize the video, why should anyone else look at it and do your work for you?

I'll point out that initial forecasts were high because they assumed only 50% would follow social distancing rules. It turns out that more like 90% are following the rules (no thanks to "IT'S A HOAX!" conservatives), so the spread is less than initially predicted.

The lesson? As usual, conservatives denied reality, and are still denying reality, all for the glory of their Stalinist cult.

Sorry.....doesn't pass the smell test......if this virus was a easily spread as they say, it wouldn't be reaching the same number as a normal flu outbreak, 60,415 the new quietly revised number from the IMHE, regardless of social distancing....

It is predicted to be the exact same number as a normal flu outbreak...so if you believe it was due to social distancing you are naive.....when they told us initially it would be 1-2 million dead Americans.....

We are all going to the same freaking stores for food........we are not isolated to our homes........this is one of the greatest attacks on our country since the Civil War.

 

[Weatherman2020]

If you're too lazy to summarize the video, why should anyone else look at it and do your work for you?

I'll point out that initial forecasts were high because they assumed only 50% would follow social distancing rules. It turns out that more like 90% are following the rules (no thanks to "IT'S A HOAX!" conservatives), so the spread is less than initially predicted.

The lesson? As usual, conservatives denied reality, and are still denying reality, all for the glory of their Stalinist cult.

If you’re too lazy to look at a short video, go back to your children books with lots of pictures. This thread is for adults.

 

[Gdjjr]

It's amazing how easily people are duped by talking haeads, alleged experts and "official" whatever- from entities known for lying

 

[mamooth]

If you’re too lazy to look at a short video, go back to your children books with lots of pictures. This thread is for adults.

Since you plainly didn't even look at that video, why should anyone else?

I notice you don't want to answer that. That's becasuse I nailed you. Yes, it is that obvious.

Stop telling us to do your work for you, you lazy parasite. If you're not going to debate, go somewhere else.

 

[mamooth]

Sorry.....doesn't pass the smell test......if this virus was a easily spread as they say, it wouldn't be reaching the same number as a normal flu outbreak, 60,415 the new quietly revised number from the IMHE, regardless of social distancing....

So you're just saying "SOCIAL DISTANCING DOESN'T WORK!", even though it plainly does work.

Please try not to spread it and take anyone else out with you.

 

[jc456]

Sorry.....doesn't pass the smell test......if this virus was a easily spread as they say, it wouldn't be reaching the same number as a normal flu outbreak, 60,415 the new quietly revised number from the IMHE, regardless of social distancing....

So you're just saying "SOCIAL DISTANCING DOESN'T WORK!", even though it plainly does work.

Please try not to spread it and take anyone else out with you.

there is absolutely no evidence to suggest it worked. you have no bench mark data to compare it against. They lost that battle when they invoked it without actual data for such a hysterical move.

 

[Wyatt earp]

Sorry.....doesn't pass the smell test......if this virus was a easily spread as they say, it wouldn't be reaching the same number as a normal flu outbreak, 60,415 the new quietly revised number from the IMHE, regardless of social distancing....

So you're just saying "SOCIAL DISTANCING DOESN'T WORK!", even though it plainly does work.

Please try not to spread it and take anyone else out with you.

You are sounding like the Devil..

You do know that's what he wants with this plague

 

[2aguy]

Sorry.....doesn't pass the smell test......if this virus was a easily spread as they say, it wouldn't be reaching the same number as a normal flu outbreak, 60,415 the new quietly revised number from the IMHE, regardless of social distancing....

So you're just saying "SOCIAL DISTANCING DOESN'T WORK!", even though it plainly does work.

Please try not to spread it and take anyone else out with you.

Sorry...you don't get from 1-2 million projected dead to 60,415 by social distancing with a new virus........they were wrong.......likely they intentionally lied about the number to crush the Wall Street and the economy to get Trump...

 

[mamooth]

You are sounding like the Devil..

Pointing out that social distancing works is being like the devil?

Do you normally drink this early?

 

[2aguy]

You are sounding like the Devil..

Pointing out that social distancing works is being like the devil?

Do you normally drink this early?

You don't know that social distancing worked.....since they are now saying this virus will be about the same as seasonal flu...........the IMHE is saying that now.....with 60,415 projected deaths......seasonal flu.......with no vaccine yet, and no widespread treatment yet.....with Hydroxychloroquine just now being implemented?

Do we socially distance for the seasonal flu? Do we shut down the entire U.S. economy every flu season?

 

[Wyatt earp]

You are sounding like the Devil..

Pointing out that social distancing works is being like the devil?

Do you normally drink this early?

We where not made for social distancing and this is coming from a lefty?

What happened to you guys Hatting individualism?

 

[JackOfNoTrades]

You are sounding like the Devil..

Pointing out that social distancing works is being like the devil?

Do you normally drink this early?

You don't know that social distancing worked.....since they are now saying this virus will be about the same as seasonal flu...........the IMHE is saying that now.....with 60,415 projected deaths......seasonal flu.......with no vaccine yet, and no widespread treatment yet.....with Hydroxychloroquine just now being implemented?

Do we socially distance for the seasonal flu? Do we shut down the entire U.S. economy every flu season?

Of course it worked. In spite of the exalted ones constant lack of action from January 22nd to March 13th.
Stop comparing this to the flu. It isn't. More contagious, more virulent, more lethal.

And it won't save Trump's presidency. That will be defined by his lack of action.

 

[Dick Foster]

So far the ‘experts’ have been very wrong in their forecasts, things have thankfully not been near as bad as forecasted. And the question many of us have been asking is so then what’s the exit strategy.

Yes, it’s a video and nobody likes videos. But you aren’t doing anything today. So watch it before commenting.

The whole problem here is over reliance on mathematical modeling. The same problem has lead to so much insanity over global warming or climate change.
As a retired EE I watched it happen to my world of electronic design.
Newly graduated engineers would sit down and push a mouse around their desk to design a circuit. The trouble came when the circuit was prototyped and it failed to function as expected as is the usual case. Instead of digging in and debugging the new design the green horn engineers would sit on their hands, drool running out of the corner of their mouths without a single clue as to how to proceed or what to do next. I came up in a world of hands on very physically involved electronic design so there was a much stronger connection to the real world and how things really were and how they reacted.
There really are no shortcuts and lack of common sense is truly a crippling handicap.

 

[Weatherman2020]

So far the ‘experts’ have been very wrong in their forecasts, things have thankfully not been near as bad as forecasted. And the question many of us have been asking is so then what’s the exit strategy.

Yes, it’s a video and nobody likes videos. But you aren’t doing anything today. So watch it before commenting.

The whole problem here is over reliance on mathematical modeling. The same problem has lead to so much insanity over global warming or climate change.
As a retired EE I watched it happen to my world of electronic design.
Newly graduated engineers would sit down and push a mouse around their desk to design a circuit. The trouble came when the circuit was prototyped and it failed to function as expected as is the usual case. Instead of digging in and debugging the new design the green horn engineers would sit on their hands, drool running out of the corner of their mouths without a single clue as to how to proceed or what to do next. I came up in a world of hands on very physically involved electronic design so there was a much stronger connection to the real world and how things really were and how they reacted.

Yep. And when you want a certain result it’s very easy to have your computer model give it to you.

 

[Weatherman2020]

You are sounding like the Devil..

Pointing out that social distancing works is being like the devil?

Do you normally drink this early?

The models factored in social distancing.
No matter your spin, fact remains the models were not even close.

And yet now we are still being dictated by those same models.

 

[blackhawk]

What people seem to forget is computer models much like political polls are not 100 percent accurate there are variables that the models don’t account for. Second experts are not always right they make mistakes being an expert in something does not make them infallible you are still human and humans make mistakes and get things wrong.

 

[Weatherman2020]

What people seem to forget is computer models much like political polls are not 100 percent accurate there are variables that the models don’t account for. Second experts are not always right they make mistakes being an expert in something does not make them infallible you are still human and humans make mistakes and get things wrong.

And modelers always have a bias one way or another, they are human.