I'm not sure as I wasn't tracking it as much then as now. Fauci should be using the same model -- the CDC IMHE model. Basically, if anything has CDC on it, then it's probably off -- way off!
thehill.com
there's nothing there. so how can I see that which isn't?
one scenario?
that a boy James!! well said. my words exactly.
yeah, no. that's merely convenient. it was wrong, and it compromised our country. no excuse for that. none.
I check here.
COVID Live - Coronavirus Statistics - Worldometer
Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the COVID-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...www.worldometers.info
I mean your projected numbers based on your model. If you go by Dr. Fauci, then he had 100K to 200K as his latest numbers. Before that, he was saying something like 1.7 M deaths.
I don't know. I have not looked at them.
If you look at Dr. Fauci's numbers, then he had 1.7 M deaths early on. The latest is 100,00 - 200,000. Even that might be too high.
I estimated 15,000 - 20,000 deaths by Easter based on the number of deaths last week. Fauci had to estimate the entire number of deaths, so had a more difficult job but he had his model.
Now, his 100K - 200K could be overstated, too.
'(CNN)An influential model tracking the coronavirus pandemic in the United States now predicts that fewer people will die and fewer hospital beds will be needed compared to its estimates from last week.
As of Monday, the model predicted the virus will kill 81,766 people in the United States over the next four months, with just under 141,000 hospital beds being needed. That's about 12,000 fewer deaths -- and 121,000 fewer hospital beds -- than the model estimated on Thursday.
A "massive infusion of new data" led to the adjustments, according to the model's maker, Dr. Christopher Murray, who serves as director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine.'
Revised coronavirus model predicts fewer deaths, but tens of thousands in US still expected to die by August | CNN
An influential model tracking the coronavirus pandemic in the United States now predicts that fewer people will die and fewer hospital beds will be needed compared to its estimates from last week.www.cnn.com
It's no wonder people don't believe this COVID-19 to be as serious since we do not know about total confirmed numbers because of faulty testing. It could be higher if the second wave theory is correct.
Maybe Sweden isn't as wacky as other countries thought they were. I dunno.
The 1.7 million was probably assuming that nothing was done.
www.washingtonexaminer.com
"Fox News host Tucker Carlson questioned the logic behind a prolonged national shutdown during a Monday night monologue.
Carlson pointed out a statement from Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti predicting the “first in a series of lockdowns will go on until June” as well as a former Obama official who predicted a “meaningful level of deliberate suppression of economic activity for the rest of the year.”
“It would be nice to know there’s a good reason for all this,” Carlson asked. “Everyone wants there to be. Yet the arguments for a prolonged national lockdown are starting to sound strained.”
...
"Carlson went on to question the validity of closing all businesses but allowing grocery stores to stay open.
“From an epidemiological standpoint, this is lunacy,” he said. “If you wanted to infect an entire population, you’d encourage everyone in a specific zip code to meet regularly in one enclosed location. It doesn’t make sense. Authorities must know it doesn’t make sense, that’s obvious, but instead of changing course, or fine-tuning, they’re doubling down, hoping that vehemence will compensate for bad science.”
Carlson said that the country has decided that “offices are somehow more dangerous than supermarkets,” and the result is 17 million unemployed people in the United States.
“A year from now, we should think about this. How will we feel about all this, about our decisions in the face of this pandemic?” Tucker asked his audience.
“For most people, going to work cannot be more dangerous than buying produce at Safeway twice a week. And if it is more dangerous, tell us how it’s more dangerous, and be specific when you describe that. Otherwise, it’s time to start caring about the entire population. Healthy people are suffering badly too.”
‘It’s time to start caring about the entire population’: Tucker Carlson questions logic of coronavirus shutdown
Fox News host Tucker Carlson questioned the logic behind a prolonged national shutdown during a Monday night monologue.Carlson pointed out a statement
Ah, now we are getting to the crux of this COVID-19 pandemic. One of the worst things that could happen is it spreads in confined spaces and with people talking, sneezing, coughing, breathing heavy, or letting their liquid microns out. Not as likely in the open air. Thus, supermarkets should limit the number of shoppers in their stores at one time. Tucker Carlson mentions opening up our offices again, but I wouldn't want to work at an office that is too crowded. You want to take the temperature of each person who enters. Did they have a negative COVID-19 test? Is everyone inside wearing an N95 quality face mask? If it can be done to protect employees working at a supermarket, then it can be done at our offices.
there was never a reason to shut the country down. there were no numbers, it could have been monitored and the steps taken at the open facilities today could have been taken in the other business units. Pure and utter bullshit. That's on Trump. I understand why he did it though. I'm not happy he didn't listen to his gut like I expected him to. Those experts are only experts at loss of jobs and destruction of the markets. fk them.
it's actually called protection
