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he 1.7 million was probably assuming that nothing was done.
he 1.7 million was probably assuming that nothing was done.
I'm not sure as I wasn't tracking it as much then as now. Fauci should be using the same model -- the CDC IMHE model. Basically, if anything has CDC on it, then it's probably off -- way off!
thehill.com
You're the one who brought it up, not me. Maybe you should have read it more carefully. The 1.7 million was a worst case scenario.,
You're the one who brought it up, not me. Maybe you should have read it more carefully. The 1.7 million was a worst case scenario.,
A model should list the different scenarios.
You're the one who brought it up, not me. Maybe you should have read it more carefully. The 1.7 million was a worst case scenario.,
A model should list the different scenarios.
What do you think a worst-case scenario means?
there's nothing there. so how can I see that which isn't?NeverStill 89 k short , you should root harderToday is going to be bad in terms of deaths. Hopefully the number of new cases doesn't go into the 30 thousands.
Well, today sucks.
1,952 deaths.
33,319 new cases.
I think you're confused again.
Definitely. You're seeing things that aren't there again.
one scenario?You're the one who brought it up, not me. Maybe you should have read it more carefully. The 1.7 million was a worst case scenario.,
A model should list the different scenarios.
What do you think a worst-case scenario means?
that a boy James!! well said. my words exactly.You're the one who brought it up, not me. Maybe you should have read it more carefully. The 1.7 million was a worst case scenario.,
A model should list the different scenarios.
What do you think a worst-case scenario means?
Do nothing? That's an option. Like I'm going to do with your dumb question.
yeah, no. that's merely convenient. it was wrong, and it compromised our country. no excuse for that. none.Definitely. You're seeing things that aren't there again.
What are your death numbers now?
I check here.
COVID Live - Coronavirus Statistics - Worldometer
Live statistics and coronavirus news tracking the number of confirmed cases, recovered patients, tests, and death toll due to the COVID-19 coronavirus from Wuhan, China. Coronavirus counter with new cases, deaths, and number of tests per 1 Million population. Historical data and info. Daily...www.worldometers.info
I mean your projected numbers based on your model. If you go by Dr. Fauci, then he had 100K to 200K as his latest numbers. Before that, he was saying something like 1.7 M deaths.
I don't know. I have not looked at them.
If you look at Dr. Fauci's numbers, then he had 1.7 M deaths early on. The latest is 100,00 - 200,000. Even that might be too high.
I estimated 15,000 - 20,000 deaths by Easter based on the number of deaths last week. Fauci had to estimate the entire number of deaths, so had a more difficult job but he had his model.
Now, his 100K - 200K could be overstated, too.
'(CNN)An influential model tracking the coronavirus pandemic in the United States now predicts that fewer people will die and fewer hospital beds will be needed compared to its estimates from last week.
As of Monday, the model predicted the virus will kill 81,766 people in the United States over the next four months, with just under 141,000 hospital beds being needed. That's about 12,000 fewer deaths -- and 121,000 fewer hospital beds -- than the model estimated on Thursday.
A "massive infusion of new data" led to the adjustments, according to the model's maker, Dr. Christopher Murray, who serves as director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington School of Medicine.'
Revised coronavirus model predicts fewer deaths, but tens of thousands in US still expected to die by August | CNN
An influential model tracking the coronavirus pandemic in the United States now predicts that fewer people will die and fewer hospital beds will be needed compared to its estimates from last week.www.cnn.com
It's no wonder people don't believe this COVID-19 to be as serious since we do not know about total confirmed numbers because of faulty testing. It could be higher if the second wave theory is correct.
Maybe Sweden isn't as wacky as other countries thought they were. I dunno.
The 1.7 million was probably assuming that nothing was done.
www.washingtonexaminer.com
"Fox News host Tucker Carlson questioned the logic behind a prolonged national shutdown during a Monday night monologue.
Carlson pointed out a statement from Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti predicting the “first in a series of lockdowns will go on until June” as well as a former Obama official who predicted a “meaningful level of deliberate suppression of economic activity for the rest of the year.”
“It would be nice to know there’s a good reason for all this,” Carlson asked. “Everyone wants there to be. Yet the arguments for a prolonged national lockdown are starting to sound strained.”
...
"Carlson went on to question the validity of closing all businesses but allowing grocery stores to stay open.
“From an epidemiological standpoint, this is lunacy,” he said. “If you wanted to infect an entire population, you’d encourage everyone in a specific zip code to meet regularly in one enclosed location. It doesn’t make sense. Authorities must know it doesn’t make sense, that’s obvious, but instead of changing course, or fine-tuning, they’re doubling down, hoping that vehemence will compensate for bad science.”
Carlson said that the country has decided that “offices are somehow more dangerous than supermarkets,” and the result is 17 million unemployed people in the United States.
“A year from now, we should think about this. How will we feel about all this, about our decisions in the face of this pandemic?” Tucker asked his audience.
“For most people, going to work cannot be more dangerous than buying produce at Safeway twice a week. And if it is more dangerous, tell us how it’s more dangerous, and be specific when you describe that. Otherwise, it’s time to start caring about the entire population. Healthy people are suffering badly too.”
‘It’s time to start caring about the entire population’: Tucker Carlson questions logic of coronavirus shutdown - Washington Examiner
Fox News host Tucker Carlson questioned the logic behind a prolonged national shutdown during a Monday night monologue.Carlson pointed out a statement from Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti predicting the “first in a series of lockdowns will go on until June” as well as a former Obama official who...
Ah, now we are getting to the crux of this COVID-19 pandemic. One of the worst things that could happen is it spreads in confined spaces and with people talking, sneezing, coughing, breathing heavy, or letting their liquid microns out. Not as likely in the open air. Thus, supermarkets should limit the number of shoppers in their stores at one time. Tucker Carlson mentions opening up our offices again, but I wouldn't want to work at an office that is too crowded. You want to take the temperature of each person who enters. Did they have a negative COVID-19 test? Is everyone inside wearing an N95 quality face mask? If it can be done to protect employees working at a supermarket, then it can be done at our offices.
BTW, every job is essential. no matter what it is. that is my disappointment with the president, you don't shut down business after stating unemployment is the villian to defeat, and stick 17 million in it. that's ludicrous.
there was never a reason to shut the country down. there were no numbers, it could have been monitored and the steps taken at the open facilities today could have been taken in the other business units. Pure and utter bullshit. That's on Trump. I understand why he did it though. I'm not happy he didn't listen to his gut like I expected him to. Those experts are only experts at loss of jobs and destruction of the markets. fk them.BTW, every job is essential. no matter what it is. that is my disappointment with the president, you don't shut down business after stating unemployment is the villian to defeat, and stick 17 million in it. that's ludicrous.
We are learning more about this virus and how to deal with it. I wear my mask outside in the open air to make sure someone who I pass doesn't accidentally sneeze. However, it's more for confined spaces indoors. Earlier, we didn't like to see employees of stores wearing a face mask and elastic gloves, but now I welcome it. It's the same with the Amazon employees; they want to work with masks, gloves, thermometer checks, social distancing, and the precautions.
The testing is still the game changer for the whole economy. It's up to over 2 million now. That's a drop in the bucket, but it will help pinpoint where the trouble areas are. Not every city or town needs to be sheltered in place.
it's actually called protectionThe bastards who want a lockdown, i mean officials, are the ones with lots of money and job security.
