My Final Election Prediction

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Congrats Moonglow, you unexpectedly found an acorn

That link was so good I saved it for future study
I have been doing political science history on the US since the country was founded.
 
But maybe you want a new country

He's more than welcome to move to Russia.

What are you TALKING about?

Never as bad as it is now?

In what way?

Let's see, wide open borders, crime rate up, censorship, Christian persecution,... Okay Spaz, is that enough facts for you that Trump's going to win this election because the American people are sick and tired of all this bullshit.
 
He's more than welcome to move to Russia.



Let's see, wide open borders, crime rate up, censorship, Christian persecution,... Okay Spaz, is that enough facts for you that Trump's going to win this election because the American people are sick and tired of all this bullshit.
The border has been worse before
Crime is down
Censorship is a fantasy
Christian what?

All you really are upset about is that Trump isn’t President
 
The border has been worse before
Crime is down
Censorship is a fantasy
Christian what?

All you really are upset about is that Trump isn’t President


Christian persecution is I'll treatment towards Christians and everything else you just said is all lies with no backup for your claims. I'm talking about the fact that criminals can freely walk the streets and don't have to be held with a bond thanks to the catch and release program and illegal immigrants have been raping and murdering people.
 
Christian persecution is I'll treatment towards Christians and everything else you just said is all lies with no backup for your claims. I'm talking about the fact that criminals can freely walk the streets and don't have to be held with a bond thanks to the catch and release program and illegal immigrants have been raping and murdering people.
Ill treatment towards Christians?

Where?

What treatment are you looking for?
 
And illegals are LESS likely to commit violent crimes that legal citizens

Seems that every you “know” is backwards
 
I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

I think Trump wins. The Senate goes gop
And the house dems. I believe this means truly fair elections will forever here in America.
 
Ill treatment towards Christians?

At Kamala Harris' rally.

And illegals are LESS likely to commit violent crimes that legal citizens

There might be more legal people in this country than illegals committing crime when it comes to violence, but that doesn't mean that an illegal is less likely to commit a crime as it's a crime in itself that they're here in the first place and they're more violent people, it's just that there's more people here legally than illegally but illegal aliens is still a pretty big issue.
 
Why did he keep taking credit for it's repeal? Why did he offer judges who will all knew would?
Why does Trump do anything? Because he's a narcissist--what politician isn't. The difference is he is a narcissist that gets things done for the country and doesn't waste time and taxpayer $$$ on a bunch of garbage that benefits no one in the US. BTW, your post proves that YOU AND THE DEMOCRATS are the ONLY ones advocating for a national law. The SCOTUS interpreted the constitution correctly. It is a states rights issue. Take it up with your state and keep your nose out of mine. I have to deal with state sanctioned murder of the innocent in my state already.
 
Predictions which are just opinions are as the old saying goes like an ass everyone has one and the vast majority of times they are based on nothing more than what you want it to be. I'm not making a prediction because I don't know which way it will go.
 
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