Most Recent 538 Swing State Polls

Independent thinker

Independent thinker

Diamond Member
Joined
Oct 15, 2015
Messages
41,003
Reaction score
37,666
Points
3,488
Iowa
Nov. 1-2800LVEmerson CollegeRealClearDefenseHarris45%54%TrumpTrump+9
Nevada
Nov. 1-2782LVAtlasIntelHarris46%52%TrumpTrump+6
North Carolina
Nov. 1-21,310LVAtlasIntelHarris47%50%TrumpMoreTrump+4
Pennsylvania
Nov. 1-22,049LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+2
Wisconsin
Nov. 1-2728LVAtlasIntelHarris49%50%TrumpTrump+1
Michigan
Nov. 1-21,198LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+2
Georgia
Nov. 1-21,174LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+3
Arizona
Nov. 1-2967LVAtlasIntelHarris46%52%TrumpTrump+7

Anyone notice a pattern here? Sure seems like there is one.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Politics News | Breaking Political News, Video & Analysis-ABC News

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
 
Last edited:
Independent thinker said:
Iowa
Nov. 1-2800LVEmerson CollegeRealClearDefenseHarris45%54%TrumpTrump+9
Nevada
Nov. 1-2782LVAtlasIntelHarris46%52%TrumpTrump+6
North Carolina
Nov. 1-21,310LVAtlasIntelHarris47%50%TrumpMoreTrump+4
Pennsylvania
Nov. 1-22,049LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+2
Wisconsin
Nov. 1-2728LVAtlasIntelHarris49%50%TrumpTrump+1
Michigan
Nov. 1-21,198LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+2
Georgia
Nov. 1-21,174LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+3
Arizona
Nov. 1-2967LVAtlasIntelHarris46%52%TrumpTrump+7

Anyone notice a pattern here? Sure seems like there is one.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Politics News | Breaking Political News, Video & Analysis-ABC News

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Click to expand...
Yeah...the trend is that AtlasIntel is a massive outlier.
 
I think that if Trump isn't a clear winner at the ballot boxes, then he will be a clear winner afterwards.

Plans in the works are only being hinted at so far. Trump is almost certainly going to win back the stolen election!
 
Independent thinker said:
Iowa
Nov. 1-2800LVEmerson CollegeRealClearDefenseHarris45%54%TrumpTrump+9
Nevada
Nov. 1-2782LVAtlasIntelHarris46%52%TrumpTrump+6
North Carolina
Nov. 1-21,310LVAtlasIntelHarris47%50%TrumpMoreTrump+4
Pennsylvania
Nov. 1-22,049LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+2
Wisconsin
Nov. 1-2728LVAtlasIntelHarris49%50%TrumpTrump+1
Michigan
Nov. 1-21,198LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+2
Georgia
Nov. 1-21,174LVAtlasIntelHarris48%50%TrumpTrump+3
Arizona
Nov. 1-2967LVAtlasIntelHarris46%52%TrumpTrump+7

Anyone notice a pattern here? Sure seems like there is one.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Politics News | Breaking Political News, Video & Analysis-ABC News

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Click to expand...
Not only are they a massive outlier, they are bad at math:

1730656488063.webp


+4 huh.
 
  • Winner
Reactions: IM2
Trump owns the hearts and minds of the masses because they still believe in the American way, that Reagan pranked on them.

The rest of the world will benefit as long as Trump is allowed to be president??
 
Donald H said:
I think that if Trump isn't a clear winner at the ballot boxes, then he will be a clear winner afterwards.

Plans in the works are only being hinted at so far. Trump is almost certainly going to win back the stolen election!
Click to expand...
There was no stolen election.
 
Donald H said:
Trump owns the hearts and minds of the masses because they still believe in the American way, that Reagan pranked on them.

The rest of the world will benefit as long as Trump is allowed to be president??
Click to expand...
Trump owns the hearts and minds of about 30 percent of the American people.
 
Trump will lose WI and MI. PA is up in the air.

If Trump loses, that will be it for him. The American people will not let him try to steal another election
 
  • Thanks
Reactions: IM2
lafayette said:
Trump will lose WI and MI. PA is up in the air.

If Trump loses, that will be it for him. The American people will not let him try to steal another election
Click to expand...
So far he hasn't stolen even one election. That would be you guys.
 
candycorn said:
I did.

View attachment 1035864

Haven’t heard much from Seantor Walker lately..how’s he doing? :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg:
Click to expand...
What a ridiculous reply. You cherry Picked one non-presidential race to "research" AtlasIntel's track record in the 2020 and 2022 elections. That explains a lot about your thought process.
 
15th post
You must log in or register to reply here.

My Final Election Prediction

< Previous Thread

Harris gets an interesting endorsement

Next Thread >

Similar threads

Independent thinker
Why Polls Are So Useless
Replies
8
Views
264
Conservative from Georgia
Conservative from Georgia
jacksonlamb
Trump disapproval reaches new high, Post-ABC-Ipsos poll finds
4 5 6
Replies
108
Views
2K
jacksonlamb
jacksonlamb
T
Islamist genocides worldwide - ongoing
2
Replies
35
Views
1K
Thethingsz
T
John Edgar Slow Horses
Trump's polling hits low for 2d term
2 3 4
Replies
68
Views
2K
AntonToo
AntonToo
B
Early Midterm Poll: Swing Voters Moving Right By Double-Digits Plus College Educated Moving Back Toward Republicans?
2
Replies
22
Views
1K
Independent thinker
Independent thinker

New Topics

Latest Discussions

Back
Top Bottom