www.dailywire.com
It seems to me that this would be a good time for an American President (a real President) to approach our NATO "allies" and tell them that THEY have a problem here, and we are willing to HELP.
Remember that 2%of GDP that they promised to spend on mutual defense? There is no time like the present.
Of course that would require a President with balls.
NATO is the most powerful military force in history.
Russia is nowhere close
Only because of the involvement of the United States. If the US is not in play NATO is nothing
France, UK, Germany, Italy have modern militaries with well trained soldiers and pilots.
They have been preparing for decades
Are you kidding? NATO readiness is at an all time low. Germany only has 244 tanks, many of which are inoperable with no spares to fix them, it has 212 fighters, bombers and attack aircraft, again poorly maintained. It has a total of 215,000 military personnel counting every swinging Richard, cooks, clerks doctors, everyone. France has 406 tanks, 269 fighters, bombers and attack aircraft and 300,000 military personnel. The UK has 209 tanks, 134 fighters, bombers and attack aircraft and 280,000 military personnel. Those the Heavy hitters of NATO. NATO has drawn down from being the well equipped and well trained force of the Cold War. The NATO countries can’t defend themselves, let alone the Ukraine. Russia has serious problems, but it’s far stronger than the European NATO members and is right on the Ukraine’s border. NATO has to move troops and vehicles hundreds of miles to get to the Ukraine.
And Russia?
No, Russia is not stronger than the European NATO members.
Their military is a shell
According the Russian Military doctrine, "Regional wars" are nuclear wars. They have thousands of tactical nukes to fight Europeans and enough of strategical nukes for "in-war detterence" of the USA. Do you believe, that Biden is going to start all-out war (and to kill tens of millions of American citizens) to protect Ukraine, or even the whole Europe? He don't care about Europe, China is his only passion.
If Russia goes nuclear, so will we! BTW, learn to spell deterrence.
Yes, that's the problem. American plans are concentrated on the prevention of the war, not winning the war. "If the deterrence is failed, let's do "something", or, may be, "nothing"." All, what those military planners are thinking is psychology, facades, good look, and so on. Most of American "military" scenarios begin with tensions and finish by all-out nuclear exchange. Most of Russian military scenarios begin with nuclear exchange, and finish by the delimitation of the Canada-Mexican border (or sign of unconditional surrender by American government).
The last more or less realistic American conception of the "protracted war" was created in 1982.
Really? What is your expertise in this area instead of being an armchair quarterback?
Is the commander of the US Strategic Command, Adm. Charles Richard "an armchair quarterback", too?
The United States must be ready for a nuclear war with China or Russia and seek new ways to deter both countries’ use of newly acquired advanced strategic weapons, the commander of the U.S. Strategic Command is warning in a major new review of the global balance of nuclear forces.
m.washingtontimes.com
He wrote:
"Government and military leaders need to better understand the new dangers of nuclear conflict and fashion new concepts of deterrence and — if needed — nuclear war-fighting strategies."
"Until we, as a [Defense] Department, come to understand, if not accept, what we are facing and what should be done about it, we run the risk of developing plans we cannot execute and procuring capabilities that will not deliver desired outcomes,” Adm.
Richard argued. “In the absence of change, we are on the path, once again, to prepare for the conflict we prefer, instead of one we are likely to face."
Nuclear war is pretty possible, because there are ways to win (or loose) the nuclear war.
Ok. Let's play the game.
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1) While the USA are preparing their forces to send in Ukraine, Russia, prepares her own attack: secretly increasing amount of warheads at SSBNs (in violation of New Start, of course, but nobody cares), move tactical nukes to the regular forces, chaotise Ukraine by local agenda to slow down deployment of the US Forces. Putin calls Biden and ask: "Do you really gone bananas and really want to proceed? " If Baiden say yes, then both side proceed.
2) Russia start "civil defense drills" and particularly evactuate their cities.
3) 7 SSBNs of the Northern Fleet, simultaneously crush ice in the Canadian sector of Arctic and launch 7x16x10 - 1120 warheads (95% probability to kill each) in 224 seconds against, say, 500 military targets, including all 400 siloses, strategic air bases and some ports. Attack at "suppressed ballistic trajectory " from the blinking eyes distance, so there is no time to react.
Also, 56 Tu-95MS launch 16 Kontact-2 each (totaly - 896) anti-sat missiles with X-ray laser warheads (say, with 50% single-shot kill probability) US satellites (especially navigation and communication) significantly degraded.
4) Then, Putin declare in public: "You, American, just lost, say, five millions of people, most of them - just a collateral damage, because we avoided attack civilian targets. You still have 327 millions of people, but only few SSBNs with few hundreds of strategic nukes. We have effective ABD, our population is already evacuated and sheltered, our nukes are cocked, locked and ready to launch. The only result of your potentional attack will be death of few thousands of random Russian civilians and our economical losses. But then we'll start massive retaliation - for every launched warhead we'll destroy five your cities. We don't want to kill American civilians, but we definitely will, if you force us. Right now we suggest you cheasefire, and peace negotiations. All what we want (right now) is withdrawn of your forces from Eurasia. If a single missile is launched - we'll demand Alaska, too and your complete denuclearisation." This is called the "Postattack blackmail".
Then, he says to all other countries: "Hey, guys. If you want to join the game and be nuked - you may not intern American forces deployed on your lands. Otherwise, you should be good neutral states. Neutral states don't allow belligerent states to act freely in their territory, in their air and water. Of course, you may accept some of their wounded or refugees, but you should not send in the USA anything that looks like medicine, food, fuel, weapon, munitions and so on. Right now we had suggested them negotiations, try to use all your diplomatic power, to force them to accept our terms, pls".
This is called "in-war deterrence".
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