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One thing the GOP needs to avoid is the echo chamber effect of 2012.
Not seeing that so far.
Be careful what you ask for.
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The echo chamber for 2016 will be worse. In order to assuage the extreme RW nutbag frother reactionaries with crazy-assed shit just laced anti-latino, anti-gay horsepoo and a strong dose of Hillary-cankles mysogony on top - just to get the nomination, all that shit will be a poison pill for the nominee in the Fall. Mitt Romney's self-deport and 47% nonsense will look like child's play compared to some of the glorious things the current GOP clown-car is going to say. Fantastic!
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Well, so far it sure sounds like 2012.
Hillary's leading in every poll that I'm seeing, and the GOP appears to be very excited about running against her.
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You will find my complete Hillary polling anaysis from January 2015 in the elections forum but in a nutshell she is currently:
-unbeatable in the blue wall (242 EV)
-Ahead by +8 to +13 in Ohio, Virginia, New Mexico AND Florida, depending on the GOP comer. Those states are currently not even close to being competitive in most all matchups.
-Ahead by +6 to +9 in New Hampshire and Iowa.
-Ahead by +2 to +6 in North Carolina.
-dead even in Georgia, Arizona and Kentucky, slightly behind in Lousiana, Arkansas.
-moderately behind in Tennessee, Mississippi and KANSAS.
-she is struggling in Colorado and substantially behind in Missouri.
No polling values from Indiana yet.
Right now, today, if those numbers hold, Hillary Clinton STARTS at 311 EV, but it could go as high as 402.
And the numbers have been very consistent over 24 months.