Because he doesn't understand supply and demand
What Determines Oil Prices?
OK, here's what's wrong with the statement that it's not just supply and demand, it's speculators. Speculators are speculating on supply and demand, it's still supply and demand. Here's how it works.
If you think oil prices will go up, you buy contracts to buy oil at certain prices in the future so that you can buy them what will then be below market (by supply and demand) and sell them at a higher price in the future and make a windfall profit.
If you think oil prices will go down, you buy contracts to sell oil at certain prices in the future so that you can buy oil in the future at a lower price and sell it at what will then be a higher price and make a windfall profit.
In the short run, speculators do affect the price of future oil prices. Let's say there's a massive new oil project in Russia, one that if successful will clearly flood the market with new oil and reduce prices. Some people think that it will be successful and there will be downward pressure on oil prices in 5 years. They buy futures contracts to sell oil in five years at prices set today expecting to be able to buy it on the market in five years cheaper than is currently expected.
Now let's say other speculators think the project is going to be a dud, maybe not produce significant oil for 20 years. They are thinking Russian political corruption and technological issues are going to seriously delay the project. They are seeing other speculators buy contracts to sell oil. What do they do? They start buying contracts to buy oil at certain prices thinking oil will rise more than expected and they will be able to sell it later for a higher price.
Now suppose in six months, there is a political scandal in Russia and it looks like the oil project will be impacted and everyone thinks this is going to delay the project. The people who bought contracts now to buy oil in the future are going to buy contracts now to sell oil in the future to hedge against what they are now thinking will be losses. The people who guessed correctly it will be delayed will start selling their contracts and take gains now.
So, speculators do add volatility to the market, and they do affect prices, but they are still speculating on supply and demand. Supply and demand is the fundamental driver of oil prices.
Do you feel me, LoneLaugher? I appreciated the note requesting I really read it and seriously comment. Just so you know, I have an MBA in finance and years of experience in both the financial services and energy sectors.