CDZ White House (Obama) Proclaims AI Robotics to Take Half of all Jobs

JimBowie1958

Old Fogey
Sep 25, 2011
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Well, I think they under-estimate the impact of this.

White House: Robots may take half of our jobs, and we should embrace it

But the authors of the report acknowledge that there are countless unknowns, from what the effects could be, to how quickly they’ll arrive.

“Researchers’ estimates on the scale of threatened jobs over the next decade or two range from 9% to 47%,” they write, but add that the economy has always proved to be resilient to take existing rates of change and shrinking of industry in stride.

What’s more, robots can make economies more efficient. The authors cite a 2015 paper that found robots added an average 0.4% to GDP growth in 17 countries between 1993 and 2007.

(“Productivity” can sound arbitrary and dry, but, as the authors write, greater productivity in the economy translates into better living standards.)

Still, the people who will lose out to artificial intelligence are the most vulnerable: those with less education, in lower wage jobs, such as driving and house cleaning.​


The Report is only looking maybe ten years into the future and touts the advantages of higher education and training for the new jobs of the Robotics Revolution, building and maintaining and robot design, but that will be a very short career for most Americans. The jobs of the Robotics Revolution will not make good fodder for careers for the vast majority as Strong AI makes even their jobs automated as well.

We need to think out of the box this generation and take a new approach.
 
Robotics is the way of the future. I am glad to see that my city is at the forefront of this revolution thanks to the research and development from Carnegie Mellon; and to a lesser degree, the University of Pittsburgh.
 
I proclaim Obama will be gone in about thee more weeks. Then, he can look in the mirror, while his wife moves to France.
 
Sorry but Savary's steam engine was in operation by at least 1694 but steam engines went pretty much nowhere until the killer apps of rail and boat engines came along in the 1800s. Read some Steam Punk and you will see a lot of roads not taken in the economy.
 
natural selection is harsh.



You'd rather they all be on a government dole?

"Idle hands are the devil’s workshop; idle lips are his mouthpiece."
Proverbs 16:27

I think we've had quite enough of the idle hands BS.

We can have people living with a government UBI supplement while they work with their own hands making crafted items that they barter for things that they do not have expertise in.

I think it will be Utopia once we shake out the wrinkles.
 
While all of the above is true the unemployment will be mostly in emerging markets where toy robots, drones and so on are least affordable. UBI will not be needed much if at all in the EU, Far East and North America.
 
While all of the above is true the unemployment will be mostly in emerging markets where toy robots, drones and so on are least affordable. UBI will not be needed much if at all in the EU, Far East and North America.

The average android robot with Strong AI is estimated to cost around $2000.

If you are hiring painters for your painting company, why not invest in several robots that you never have to pay wages to, wont ever have sick days or vacation days, etc?

People will be passed over for robots and the consumer market and government revenues from working class taxes will collapse.
 
In manufacturing it's different. 87% of all manufacturing jobs were automated. Only 13% moved overseas.
 
While all of the above is true the unemployment will be mostly in emerging markets where toy robots, drones and so on are least affordable. UBI will not be needed much if at all in the EU, Far East and North America.

The average android robot with Strong AI is estimated to cost around $2000.

If you are hiring painters for your painting company, why not invest in several robots that you never have to pay wages to, wont ever have sick days or vacation days, etc?

People will be passed over for robots and the consumer market and government revenues from working class taxes will collapse.

The price tag is the bait, the training and maintenance costs are the hook. If you have a relative of the right age the lego robot kit will give you insight into operating and maintenance costs while providing the kid a leg up on a skilled trade.
 
Except for the jobs necessary to design, build, install, and maintain the robots.

Most of the high paying jobs like that are easily out-sourced. They already are; no need to educate anybody, and in fact dumbing down the population even more is desirable from the executive suite points of view, which is why that has been the trend for a long time now. It's a deliberate policy. When demand for anything falls, so does the need for skilled labor as well.
 
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While all of the above is true the unemployment will be mostly in emerging markets where toy robots, drones and so on are least affordable. UBI will not be needed much if at all in the EU, Far East and North America.

The average android robot with Strong AI is estimated to cost around $2000.

If you are hiring painters for your painting company, why not invest in several robots that you never have to pay wages to, wont ever have sick days or vacation days, etc?

People will be passed over for robots and the consumer market and government revenues from working class taxes will collapse.

The political fall out will destroy any stability necessary for a good business environment and make a complex and efficient economy to work, not to mention it will destroy any market demand for goods; whatever those robots make will be unaffordable and demand will drop. Essentially the rich will just own their own little factories and produce for themselves; the rest of the population will just devolve down to tribal foraging or develop little independent villages living off of whatever is available locally, as is the case in large parts of the world now; medical care will essentially just disappear for the majority, lives will be much shorter, plagues and famines will finish off a lot of people, water and sewer and hospitals will be gone outside of the enclaves for the top 1%ers. Eventually the 1%ers will kill each other off fighting for what's left. One of the few essays Noam Chomsky wrote where he was probably right re 'The Masters of the Universe' is the most likely scenario.

As for 'jobs for the skilled and educated', the average programmer's 'career' is something 5 years.
 

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