Prediction market: Trump now leads in odds to win GOP nomination

[Vigilante]

You know everyone else is in trouble when the MONEY MEN are betting with the Trump!

cnn ^ | Updated 3:13 PM ET, Thu August 27, 2015 | Daniella Diaz
Washington (CNN)GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump is at 23% likely to win the GOP nomination, according to a prediction markets game run by the company Pivit. On Monday, the real estate mogul was at 19% likely to win the nomination, second to former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush who was at 24% odds. Bush's odds have now dropped below Trump's. As of Thursday morning, Bush was a at 20% odds to win the nomination. Pivit is a game - a live online prediction market that factors polls and other factors and will change as the public weighs in on the increasing...

 

[Toro]

That's a small market.

However, Oddschecker - which aggregates odds across all the bookmakers in England - has Trump third behind Bush and Hillary at 5-8:1.

2016 Presidential Election Odds | Next US President | Oddschecker

I highly doubt he will be President, but his candidacy can't be written off as a lark. Trump has to be taken seriously.

 

[Toro]

What's perhaps more interesting is that after Trump comes Biden - who isn't running - and Sanders - an avowed socialist - both ahead of all the other Republican candidates.