51% chance Dems keep the Senate

[CrusaderFrank]

The electorate has not forgotten our party's responsibility for the Great Recession with some help from some of our Dem friends.

We Pubs need to run a not "me too" campaign but a "we can do it better" with real suggestions. We have not done that yet. We have not reached our clearly to women, Hispanics, etc.

If we don't, we for the third may not get the Senate majority that common sense dictates we should.

It is not the electorate's fault if they are not buying our message.

Your party meaning lying low-life Democrats?

Absolutely.

Why do you think nobody has done any time for it Snarkey?

You are being mental again.

No one in the mainstream GOP gives a shit about the far right wacks like you. That ended with body blows the Cruz and Lee foisted onto the Republicans in Congress. Like Boehner and McConnell and Hatch and Jinall and Ryan and others have said, never again. Why do you think the likes of Bachmann are jumping ship? We will get better Republicans now.

Yes, Jake, your Party, the Dems caused the Great Recession.

"These two entities...." Barney Frank

 

[Katzndogz]

The democrats worst nightmare is that in 4 years 10 million people will be enrolled in obamacare and hate it. Have no doctor willing to see them and find out their medications aren't covered.

 

[Old Rocks]

The democrats worst nightmare is that in 4 years 10 million people will be enrolled in obamacare and hate it. Have no doctor willing to see them and find out their medications aren't covered.

Right on cue with your normal idiocy and lies. And if the ten million like it, and by that time, ten million more are signed up, what then? Remember all the predictions about the economy totally tankiing after President Obama was re-elected? How has that turned out for you wingnuts?

 

[JakeStarkey]

Your party meaning lying low-life Democrats?

Absolutely.

Why do you think nobody has done any time for it Snarkey?

You are being mental again.

No one in the mainstream GOP gives a shit about the far right wacks like you. That ended with body blows the Cruz and Lee foisted onto the Republicans in Congress. Like Boehner and McConnell and Hatch and Jinall and Ryan and others have said, never again. Why do you think the likes of Bachmann are jumping ship? We will get better Republicans now.

Whatever.

Who benefited from it?

Democraps.

Follow the money. That's who was responsible for the recession. Who stood to gain the most from taking the White House? The writers and beneficiaries of the ACA. They needed a Dem to sign that piece of shit.

We want to win the Senate from the Dems, and you guys are going to lose it for us third time in a row.

STFU. Please.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Your party meaning lying low-life Democrats?

Absolutely.

Why do you think nobody has done any time for it Snarkey?

You are being mental again.

No one in the mainstream GOP gives a shit about the far right wacks like you. That ended with body blows the Cruz and Lee foisted onto the Republicans in Congress. Like Boehner and McConnell and Hatch and Jinall and Ryan and others have said, never again. Why do you think the likes of Bachmann are jumping ship? We will get better Republicans now.

Yes, Jake, your Party, the Dems caused the Great Recession.

"These two entities...." Barney Frank

Your opinion is not fact. Never has been. Never will be.

 

[HenryBHough]

A Republican majority when there are resident RINOs is even better than a clear majority for Democrats. Then they can pass whatever they choose and blame it all on the Republicans.

You can always count on Jake and his ilk to back socialist proposals while trying to feign innocence and Republicanism.

 

[whitehall]

Considering the source it's terrible news for the democrat party.If the best an arm of the democrat party can do is 51% it's curtains for the Hussein administration.

 

[Quantum Windbag]

Back in March the figures were looking like a GOP take over. The recent polls have shown that GOP advantage has largely gone down significantly and with a couple polls in Arkansas and Iowa actually favoring the Democrats, the Democrats for the first time in 2014 actually have a slim favor in retaining the senate.

Who Will Win The Senate? ? The Upshot Senate Forecasts ?*NYTimes.com

Improving opinion on Obamacare? Better opinions of Obama? Are Democrats finally getting a chance to spend money on the same level as the Kochs? Who knows...but the trend is certainly positive for the Democrats.

Funny, 2 years ago Silver was a fucking genius, not he is a moron. I wonder what changed.

 

[JakeStarkey]

A Republican majority when there are resident RINOs is even better than a clear majority for Democrats. Then they can pass whatever they choose and blame it all on the Republicans.

You can always count on Jake and his ilk to back socialist proposals while trying to feign innocence and Republicanism.

The far right reactionaries are the RINOs. They were warned what would happen last fall if Cruz et al failed. Cruz failed, and the far right is very unhappy it is being marginalized. HBH is just a stereotype of the far right whiner.

 

[JakeStarkey]

We can win this for the GOP if we stop letting the far right influence the elections with their hate and rage. Simply turns the electorate off.

 

[HenryBHough]

The far right reactionaries are the RINOs. They were warned what would happen last fall if Cruz et al failed. Cruz failed, and the far right is very unhappy it is being marginalized. HBH is just a stereotype of the far right whiner.

Quoth the Democrat in denial.

 

[Synthaholic]

Back in March the figures were looking like a GOP take over. The recent polls have shown that GOP advantage has largely gone down significantly and with a couple polls in Arkansas and Iowa actually favoring the Democrats, the Democrats for the first time in 2014 actually have a slim favor in retaining the senate.

Who Will Win The Senate? ? The Upshot Senate Forecasts ?*NYTimes.com

Improving opinion on Obamacare? Better opinions of Obama? Are Democrats finally getting a chance to spend money on the same level as the Kochs? Who knows...but the trend is certainly positive for the Democrats.

Funny, 2 years ago Silver was a fucking genius, not he is a moron. I wonder what changed.

He's not a genius or a moron. He is a mathematician.

Why are you bitterly clinging to a Silver prediction from over a month ago? Things change. The success of Obamacare will only continue while positive word of mouth from family to family will build toward November.

 

[Statistikhengst]

The dire predictions of an Obamacare collapse never materialized
Neither did a failed economy

The usual GOP fear mongering will not be a factor

Dems will hold 51 seats

I have to disagree, on the basis of electoral history.

The statistical probability that the GOP retains the House is pretty much 100%.

The probability that the GOP gets to 51 seats is well over 70%. 4 of the 6 seats they need are pretty much guaranteed at this point in time. Of course, if they lose KY and GA, then they would need 8 seats total.

Why is the probability so high?

Because at the end of the day, issues hardly have anything to do with it.

Traditionally, the opposition party has made sweeping gains in virtually every mid-term, ESP in a 2nd term mid-term. See: Eisenhower 1958, LBJ 1966, Nixon/Ford 1974, Reagan 1986, Bush 43 2006. The one notable exception of a 2nd term mid-term where it did not happen was Clinton 1998.

In 1958, Eisenhower (R) was at a peak in his popularity and yet, the Republicans got a pasting in the 1958 mid-terms. Ditto Reagan in 1986.


I posted these stats on January 14th, 2014, when hardly anyone was thinking about the mid-terms yet:

http://www.usmessageboard.com/elect...pared-to-presidential-terms-1855-present.html

Take a hard look at those numbers. Go to the link it provides and see the entire chart of all mid-terms since 1854 for yourself. Enlightening, the color-coding.

Electoral history stands strongly on the side of the GOP in the upcoming mid-term election.

But it does little to change anything: the Senate will be just as deadlocked then as it is now. In fact, a GOP controlled congress that starts fucking up right and left is likely to be a boondoggle for the Democratic national ticket in 2016.

You're dismissing O'Bama's luck of the Irish!

I'll stick with electoral history.

But the next time RW turds try to say I'm partial, they just need to read my postings about the upcoming mid-terms.

Of course, a huge event could overturn everything - paradigms are essentially made to be broken. Only, since 1854, it has rarely been broken. And that paradigm has been unbelievably consistent AND resilient over the years, regardless of the issues (or lack of them) at hand.

 

[Statistikhengst]

Your party meaning lying low-life Democrats?

Absolutely.

Why do you think nobody has done any time for it Snarkey?

You are being mental again.

No one in the mainstream GOP gives a shit about the far right wacks like you. That ended with body blows the Cruz and Lee foisted onto the Republicans in Congress. Like Boehner and McConnell and Hatch and Jinall and Ryan and others have said, never again. Why do you think the likes of Bachmann are jumping ship? We will get better Republicans now.

Yes, Jake, your Party, the Dems caused the Great Recession.

"These two entities...." Barney Frank

False.

The great recession started under a REPUBLICAN administration: the Bush adminstration.

That is very easy to prove.

The stock market imploded in September, 2008. Remember who was president back then?

 

[Statistikhengst]

A Republican majority when there are resident RINOs is even better than a clear majority for Democrats. Then they can pass whatever they choose and blame it all on the Republicans.

You can always count on Jake and his ilk to back socialist proposals while trying to feign innocence and Republicanism.

The far right reactionaries are the RINOs. They were warned what would happen last fall if Cruz et al failed. Cruz failed, and the far right is very unhappy it is being marginalized. HBH is just a stereotype of the far right whiner.

Oh, he's a stereotype all right...

 

[Grandma]

Dude.

STFU.

It's too early to tell.

But it has ruined a lot of lives. You'll never hear about that from the state run media.

The problem will be getting the real numbers. And that will be as hard as getting these fuckers to give up info on Fast & Furious, the IRS scandal, and everything else they've done. We won't really know till Obama is gone and in hiding on some island. Then it will become a game of make believe between Democrats and Republicans.

Ruined lives? Whose?

It almost killed my Mother who was put on generic drugs to save money and she was allergic to both of them. Then it took her two months to get her blood pressure back to normal and one time she had to go to the emergency room because her blood pressure was over 200. They said she was very close to a stroke or heat attack.

When did this happen? The ACA insurance policies didn't start taking effect until January at the earliest.

And how is the doctor giving her the wrong prescription the fault of the ACA?

 

[Grandma]

Does the BLM ring a bell?

IRS attacking political enemies isn't Tyrannical?

But traffic cones are Tyrannical?????

BLM was a scandal for the stupid yahoos that thought they could order a sheriff to order the federal government off the fed's own land. Not only will the democrats use it to their advantage, so will every moderate republican candidate that's running against a Teabagger.

The IRS also audited a number of left wing groups. You can't selectively edit documented history. No scandal.

And yes, Bridgegate IS tyrannical. It was a nuisance - a potentially dangerous one - that disrupted schools, businesses, and emergency services. Gov. Christie and his cronies initiated it to punish a mayor that didn't "play ball" with them, and to set an example (read: threat) to other city governments that didn't agree with him.

 

[Statistikhengst]

Ruined lives? Whose?

It almost killed my Mother who was put on generic drugs to save money and she was allergic to both of them. Then it took her two months to get her blood pressure back to normal and one time she had to go to the emergency room because her blood pressure was over 200. They said she was very close to a stroke or heat attack.

When did this happen? The ACA insurance policies didn't start taking effect until January at the earliest.

And how is the doctor giving her the wrong prescription the fault of the ACA?

Because Righties love to lie about this shit and tell sob-stories which, when held up under the microscope, do not hold up.

As of now, in the RWNJ playbook, any fuck-up on the part of any doctor is automatically "Obumbler's" fault. This is how 4th grade the issue has become on their part. It's just plain old embarrassing.

 

[Grandma]

It almost killed my Mother who was put on generic drugs to save money and she was allergic to both of them. Then it took her two months to get her blood pressure back to normal and one time she had to go to the emergency room because her blood pressure was over 200. They said she was very close to a stroke or heat attack.

Your mother?

Why would she be on Obamacare? Wouldn't she have Medicare?

Obamacare regulates the drug prices for everyone who has insurance.
They want to keep the drug prices low.
Every single one of us is under the Obama care rules and all insurances and Doctors and hospitals have to follow those rules.
Unless your very rich and can pay for it with your own money.

You failed to answer the questions (no surprise) and you replied with nonsense.

Anyone can get non-generic meds, at a higher copay than generics. For example, my generics are $5, my brand name scrips are $30.

 

[JakeStarkey]

You are being mental again.

No one in the mainstream GOP gives a shit about the far right wacks like you. That ended with body blows the Cruz and Lee foisted onto the Republicans in Congress. Like Boehner and McConnell and Hatch and Jinall and Ryan and others have said, never again. Why do you think the likes of Bachmann are jumping ship? We will get better Republicans now.

Yes, Jake, your Party, the Dems caused the Great Recession.

"These two entities...." Barney Frank

False.

The great recession started under a REPUBLICAN administration: the Bush adminstration.

That is very easy to prove.

The stock market imploded in September, 2008. Remember who was president back then?

Frank has trouble with empirical concepts