Toro
Diamond Member
BTW, it is true that Trump is currently polling marginally better with blacks and better with Hispanics. But across virtually all other demographics - including non-college-educated whites and senior citizens, both won by Trump last election - he is polling ahead of where Hillary was in 2016.
Also in 2016, the percentage of people who were undecided was in the high-teens. Those people broke decidedly in favor of Trump. Today, that number is in the mid- to high-single digits. So if you are comparing 2016 to 2020, the electorate was much more fluid back then compared to now. IOW a 6% lead by Hillary back then was a softer lead than a 6% lead by Biden now. There are very few people undecided about Trump.
Doesn't mean Trump is certain to lose, of course. It's still August.
Also in 2016, the percentage of people who were undecided was in the high-teens. Those people broke decidedly in favor of Trump. Today, that number is in the mid- to high-single digits. So if you are comparing 2016 to 2020, the electorate was much more fluid back then compared to now. IOW a 6% lead by Hillary back then was a softer lead than a 6% lead by Biden now. There are very few people undecided about Trump.
Doesn't mean Trump is certain to lose, of course. It's still August.