Why I think That Trump Will Win the General Election

[xband]

Trump pulled his own self-destruct trigger before hitting the target. Not too smart.

 

[mudwhistle]

1. Trump has more healthy energy than Hillary Clinton does. Trump is out having a couple of rallies in a single day and having multiple interviews while Hillary has not had even one full blown news conference in almost a year. This difference in energy is huge for a campaign and as Trump settles down to the reality that the Media would like to put his head on a pike in the Washington Mall, he is learning to more more reticent. This bodes well for any candidate three months from Election Day.

The thing is, you are mistaking attendence at rallies for support at the polls. Most people who vote will never attend a rally.

Here's the problem... the "Reality TV Demographic" is exceptionally fickle. Trump is like the guy who eats cockroaches on TV. Might be shocking once, but people will grow tired of it.

Kind of hard to attend a rally if you're dead.

 

[Mac1958]

Jim, this is another replay of 2012, when many threads were explaining how Romney was going to win easily. The arguments then were also essentially subjective, i.e., "the polls are wrong, and people won't vote for Obama because they shouldn't want to, in my opinion".

What voters hate, and that's a large portion of your argument, is baked into the polls already. Online enthusiasm, ditto.

The only facts that matter to any degree between now and the election are the polls in the swing states.
.

Sure but the opponent was 0bama. Hillary is unlikable, corrupt, and bad TV.

But there it is again - three opinions.
.

 

[Rustic]

The one difference is that Romney wasn't as far back in the polls as Trump is today.

the difference is, Romney was actually a plausible president, magic underpants and all.

Except, no one showed up to the polls to vote for him, along with McCain neither could not win dog catcher. No real conservative numbers showed up at the polls for them.
They were and are spineless career politicians with no energy. Dip shit

 

[JimBowie1958]

Trump pulled his own self-destruct trigger before hitting the target. Not too smart.

How many sky scrapers have YOU built?

How many books have you published that reached the top sellers list on the New York Times?

How many TV shows were you the star of?

How many billions have you made?

You havent done a single one of these things, and yet you say Trump, who has done them all, is 'not too smart?'

You are a blithering idiot.

 

[JimBowie1958]

Jim, this is another replay of 2012, when many threads were explaining how Romney was going to win easily. The arguments then were also essentially subjective, i.e., "the polls are wrong, and people won't vote for Obama because they shouldn't want to, in my opinion".

What voters hate, and that's a large portion of your argument, is baked into the polls already. Online enthusiasm, ditto.

The only facts that matter to any degree between now and the election are the polls in the swing states.
.

Sure but the opponent was 0bama. Hillary is unlikable, corrupt, and bad TV.

But there it is again - three opinions.
.

Which means none of those opinions are more correct than the others because....?

 

[Rustic]

There simply aren't enough angry old white guys for Trump to be elected.

Sure there are.

Supplemented by a slim portion of the other demographics and taking 48% of white women, Trump wins if he still holds 80% of white men, dude.

True, not one conservative female is going to vote for that loopy kunt... Hildabeast

 

[Mac1958]

Jim, this is another replay of 2012, when many threads were explaining how Romney was going to win easily. The arguments then were also essentially subjective, i.e., "the polls are wrong, and people won't vote for Obama because they shouldn't want to, in my opinion".

What voters hate, and that's a large portion of your argument, is baked into the polls already. Online enthusiasm, ditto.

The only facts that matter to any degree between now and the election are the polls in the swing states.
.

Sure but the opponent was 0bama. Hillary is unlikable, corrupt, and bad TV.

But there it is again - three opinions.
.

Which means none of those opinions are more correct than the others because....?

It goes back to my original point, this notion that "Hillary will lose because I don't like her."

That's not exactly empirical evidence.
.

 

[Toro]

There simply aren't enough angry old white guys for Trump to be elected.

Sure there are.

Supplemented by a slim portion of the other demographics and taking 48% of white women, Trump wins if he still holds 80% of white men, dude.

Trump is polling 1-2% among blacks and underperforming Romney among Hispanics. He's trailing among college-educated whites, a cohort the Dems have never won since exit polling began in 1976. He's leading among all whites by about 10%, lagging Romney, and trailing among women by over 20%.

He can't win appealing only to angry old white males.

If Trump doesn't change dramatically - and I don't think he will - he is going to get crushed.

 

[xband]

Trump pulled his own self-destruct trigger before hitting the target. Not too smart.

How many sky scrapers have YOU built?

How many books have you published that reached the top sellers list on the New York Times?

How many TV shows were you the star of?

How many billions have you made?

You havent done a single one of these things, and yet you say Trump, who has done them all, is 'not too smart?'

You are a blithering idiot.

I assisted in building 1 Peachtree Plaza and 1 NationsBank in Atlanta, does that count if I only did grunt work?

 

[Rustic]

There simply aren't enough angry old white guys for Trump to be elected.

Sure there are.

Supplemented by a slim portion of the other demographics and taking 48% of white women, Trump wins if he still holds 80% of white men, dude.

Trump is polling 1-2% among blacks and underperforming Romney among Hispanics. He's trailing among college-educated whites, a cohort the Dems have never won since exit polling began in 1976. He's leading among all whites by about 10%, lagging Romney, and trailing among women by over 20%.

He can't win appealing only to angry old white males.

If Trump doesn't change dramatically - and I don't think he will - he is going to get crushed.

But, the hildabeast has the energy of a slug....

 

[jon_berzerk]

There are solid reasons for believing that Trump *Can* win, but I think he *will* win, and here is why.

1. Trump has more healthy energy than Hillary Clinton does. Trump is out having a couple of rallies in a single day and having multiple interviews while Hillary has not had even one full blown news conference in almost a year. This difference in energy is huge for a campaign and as Trump settles down to the reality that the Media would like to put his head on a pike in the Washington Mall, he is learning to more more reticent. This bodes well for any candidate three months from Election Day.

2. The polls are 'tweaked to favor Hillary by a media that is totally committed to seeing her win. Here is one example:
Hillary Lead Over Trump Surges After Reuters "Tweaks" Poll | Zero Hedge
Over the past week, there was a troubling development for the establishment: Trump was soaring in the polls. In fact, in the widely watched, Reuters/IPSOS poll, for the first time Trump had taken an inexcusable 1 point lead following the Republican National convention.
So, as we reported last night, something had to be done. And something was done: Reuters "tweaked" its polling methodology.
As Reuters explained, "in a presidential campaign notable for its negativity, the option of “Neither” candidate appears to be an appealing alternative, at least to participants in the Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll. Many voters on both sides have been ambivalent in their support for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump, complicating the task of the pollsters trying to track the race. That sentiment may help explain an apparent skew that recently emerged in the Reuters/Ipsos poll results. Given the choice, a relatively large group of voters opted for “Neither/Other” candidate compared with other major polls, leading to an underreporting of several percentage points for one or other of the two major contenders at times in the race."

As a result, Reuters/Ipsos is amending the wording of the choice and eliminating the word “Neither,” bringing the option in line with other polls.
Here is the real reason for the methodology change: according to Reuters "the inclusion of the word “Neither” is capturing Soft Trump supporters who, if given such an option, prefer not to make a choice. Here it is important to note that the soft supporter phenomenon also affects Clinton, but to a much lesser degree."
As a result, the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll - pre Friday evening - had Trump 40.2%, Clinton 38.5%, but, on a "pro forma" basis,eliminating "Neither" from the "Neither/Other" answer produced a different result. In that case, Clinton was ahead, 40% to 36%.​

In other words, the real reason for the "tweak" was to push Hillary back in the lead simply due to a change in the question phrasing methodology.
With the first new poll under the new polling "approach" due to be released last night, we predicted that it would show a dramatic rebound for Hillary, just as Trump was picking up steam, and in doing so changing the entire frontrunner narrative from the ground up.
Sure enough, here are the results of the "revised" poll released on Friday night.

From Reuters: Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton held a 6- percentage-point lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll with new wording that was released on Friday, the day after she formally accepted her party's nomination for the Nov. 8 election.
Nearly 41 percent of likely voters favor Clinton, 35 percent favor Trump, and 25 percent picked "Other," according to the new July 25-29 online poll of 1,043 likely voters, which overlapped with the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia. The poll has a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.​

The presidential tracking poll reflects a slight change of wording from previous surveys, replacing the “Neither/Other” option given to respondents with just “Other.” An internal review had found the word “Neither” has, at times, siphoned support away from one or the other candidate.

Other tweaks found are A) over representing Democrats in the sample, and B) only using registered voters who voted in the last Presidential election. Both of these are known to diminish Trumps support showing up in the polls.

3) There is a huge difference in enthusiasm for Trump vrs Clinton. Trump attends rallies with thousands and thousands of people, while the press ballyhoos 50 people turning out for Hillary. 50. People.

4) Americans are sick to death of the Professional Political Class, especially the talentless and moronic Talking Heads on TV. The media are completely committed to keeping Trump out of the White House as he leads/represents this unwashed mass of people. This is working in Trumps favor by bringing in new voters who have been sick of this nonsense for decades.

5) Trump is dominating in social media, and though this does not prove Trump will win like this guy does here: SPREAD THIS: Media RIGGING The Polls, Hiding New Evidence Proving Trump Is WINNING it is an interesting contrast where Hillary is not getting half the fervor that Trump is and the Democrats are supposed to be the high tech party, lol.

6) The Corporate Crony Network is solidly backing Hillary, it is obvious, and people HATE the Corporate Crony Network and for good reason too; they are the reason that American wages have been stagnant since 1970.

7) Hillary Clinton is as crooked and dishonest as any politician I have ever read about, worse than LBJ was. People are sick to death of lying, conniving, professional politicians that have done nothing concrete in their whole lives.

Summation; Hillary's numbers will start to tank and she loses to Trump in another shocking landslide like Carter did to Reagan did after months of Reagan being lied about by the Media almost exactly like these shitstains are doing to Trump.

did you see the fluff piece of what the media called hillarys "press conference"

--LOL

reporters giving her applause

--LOL

looked like something straight out of North Korea

--LOL

 

[gipper]

The one difference is that Romney wasn't as far back in the polls as Trump is today.

the difference is, Romney was actually a plausible president, magic underpants and all.

The American people got duped into voting for Obama because he was new, unknown, and black. If they vote in a known liar, warmonger, owned by the 1% and well known to Americans, they can't ever be confused with smart informed people. Of course, the Rs nominated idiots in McCain and Romney...and maybe Trump will fall into the category too.

Trump is a successful builder with skyscrapers in about eight major cities to include New York, Chicago, and Los Angeles. He is a successful author, and TV star - quite a diverse list of accomplishments that 99.9999% of the public will never replicate. He entered the Presidential primaries against 16 seasoned pros, but himself being a complete amateur on his first election campaign and he WON, against all odds he too the GOP nomination, and he did it with the hostile opposition of the GOP Establishment.

He has done all that and people like you still think he may be an idiot?

roflmao

I don't think him an idiot, but he does say idiotic things which the lib MSM blows out of proportion which dupes some Americans into voting for a terrible corrupt warmongering criminal. If he would stick to the issues and attack BO's and Cankle's horrific record, he wins easily.

 

[Toro]

There simply aren't enough angry old white guys for Trump to be elected.

Sure there are.

Supplemented by a slim portion of the other demographics and taking 48% of white women, Trump wins if he still holds 80% of white men, dude.

Trump is polling 1-2% among blacks and underperforming Romney among Hispanics. He's trailing among college-educated whites, a cohort the Dems have never won since exit polling began in 1976. He's leading among all whites by about 10%, lagging Romney, and trailing among women by over 20%.

He can't win appealing only to angry old white males.

If Trump doesn't change dramatically - and I don't think he will - he is going to get crushed.

But, the hildabeast has the energy of a slug....

And beating him handily.

In the primaries, polls consistently showed that Trump did worse versus Hillary than all the other candidates.

But the base was more interested in teaching the establishment a lesson than winning the general election against a very beatable Clinton.

 

[Nia88]

People attend Trump rallies to be entertained. That why he has high attendance. Also many of his voters are baby boomers who are retired and have time on their hands to attend his rallies.

If Trump were to change his attitude and stop with the bigoted tone down the craziness he may have a chance. But at the rate Trump is going, people are getting tired of his antics real fast.

 

[saintmichaeldefendthem]

1. Trump has more healthy energy than Hillary Clinton does. Trump is out having a couple of rallies in a single day and having multiple interviews while Hillary has not had even one full blown news conference in almost a year. This difference in energy is huge for a campaign and as Trump settles down to the reality that the Media would like to put his head on a pike in the Washington Mall, he is learning to more more reticent. This bodes well for any candidate three months from Election Day.

The thing is, you are mistaking attendence at rallies for support at the polls. Most people who vote will never attend a rally.

Here's the problem... the "Reality TV Demographic" is exceptionally fickle. Trump is like the guy who eats cockroaches on TV. Might be shocking once, but people will grow tired of it.

It will be endlessly entertaining when he stomps a really big one.

 

[saintmichaeldefendthem]

People attend Trump rallies to be entertained. That why he has high attendance. Also many of his voters are baby boomers who are retired and have time on their hands to attend his rallies.

If Trump were to change his attitude and stop with the bigoted tone down the craziness he may have a chance. But at the rate Trump is going, people are getting tired of his antics real fast.

People attend Vote-for-my-vag rallies to sing meaningless, feel good songs in support of racial bigotry.

 

[dannyboys]

If Hillary has another 'fall' or starts babbling like a person having a seizure again and the MSS LIB media can't keep it hidden from the public she is going to drop out for 'health reasons' just as I predicted a few months ago.
The old bitch can't even climb a set of stairs without help.

 

[ShootSpeeders]

Obozo is gonna let 10 million illegals vote. Trump hasn't a chance.

 

[gipper]

Obozo is gonna let 10 million illegals vote. Trump hasn't a chance.

...and many Democrats are very happy about this. What does that say about them?