The GOP has drawn even with the Democrats with eight months to go until the midterm elections.

DonGlock26

Diamond Member
Joined
Sep 15, 2024
Messages
18,151
Reaction score
26,690
Points
2,288
"DEAD HEAT: Stunning New Poll Shows GOP Drawing Even With Dems Ahead of Midterms


A stunning new survey conducted by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS), the Harris Poll, and HarrisX suggests that the GOP has drawn even with the Democrats with eight months to go until the midterm elections.

The poll of 1,999 registered voters, which was conducted online between February 25 and 26, found that 50% of Americans would vote for the Republican candidate in their congressional district and 50% would vote for the Democratic one if the midterms were held today. That marked an enormous improvement for the GOP, which trailed the Democrats 54%-46% on the same question last month.

When presented with the following hypothetical campaign message from the GOP, 54% of respondents said they found it “believable”:"



Yeah well, Democrats and their policies are terrible for the American People. Attacking ICE agents isn't a winning platform in a country with illegal alien rape and murder fatigue.
 
This didn't help either.


1772495154070.webp



1772495189276.webp




1772495239046.webp
 
"DEAD HEAT: Stunning New Poll Shows GOP Drawing Even With Dems Ahead of Midterms


A stunning new survey conducted by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS), the Harris Poll, and HarrisX suggests that the GOP has drawn even with the Democrats with eight months to go until the midterm elections.

The poll of 1,999 registered voters, which was conducted online between February 25 and 26, found that 50% of Americans would vote for the Republican candidate in their congressional district and 50% would vote for the Democratic one if the midterms were held today. That marked an enormous improvement for the GOP, which trailed the Democrats 54%-46% on the same question last month.

When presented with the following hypothetical campaign message from the GOP, 54% of respondents said they found it “believable”:"



Yeah well, Democrats and their policies are terrible for the American People. Attacking ICE agents isn't a winning platform in a country with illegal alien rape and murder fatigue.
/----/ CNN confirms.
 
"DEAD HEAT: Stunning New Poll Shows GOP Drawing Even With Dems Ahead of Midterms


A stunning new survey conducted by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS), the Harris Poll, and HarrisX suggests that the GOP has drawn even with the Democrats with eight months to go until the midterm elections.

The poll of 1,999 registered voters, which was conducted online between February 25 and 26, found that 50% of Americans would vote for the Republican candidate in their congressional district and 50% would vote for the Democratic one if the midterms were held today. That marked an enormous improvement for the GOP, which trailed the Democrats 54%-46% on the same question last month.

When presented with the following hypothetical campaign message from the GOP, 54% of respondents said they found it “believable”:"



Yeah well, Democrats and their policies are terrible for the American People. Attacking ICE agents isn't a winning platform in a country with illegal alien rape and murder fatigue.
Democrats are dropping the GOP is increasing. After the war settles in a few weeks and the economy keeps growing democrats will have nothing. They have no money no solutions all they have is hate Trump vote for us with no ideas.
 
"DEAD HEAT: Stunning New Poll Shows GOP Drawing Even With Dems Ahead of Midterms


A stunning new survey conducted by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS), the Harris Poll, and HarrisX suggests that the GOP has drawn even with the Democrats with eight months to go until the midterm elections.

The poll of 1,999 registered voters, which was conducted online between February 25 and 26, found that 50% of Americans would vote for the Republican candidate in their congressional district and 50% would vote for the Democratic one if the midterms were held today. That marked an enormous improvement for the GOP, which trailed the Democrats 54%-46% on the same question last month.

When presented with the following hypothetical campaign message from the GOP, 54% of respondents said they found it “believable”:"



Yeah well, Democrats and their policies are terrible for the American People. Attacking ICE agents isn't a winning platform in a country with illegal alien rape and murder fatigue.
The article in your link also says this:


Sixty-one percent of Americans, though, indicated that they would be receptive to an overtly anti-Trump message from Democrats...
 
Wrong on every count. But keep lying to yourselves.
Trump is changing the balance of power in the world to favor American capitalism and freedom. He is striking right at the heart of Iran China Russia Cuba and Venezuela. The war against Iran is a war against this entire axis of evil. Democrats refused to stand against them and let them literally surround us using Venezuela as base of operations to spread communism in our region. Thats over. Venezuela is now an ally, Cuba is collapsing, the murderous regime in Iran is collapsing, Panama stopped China form taking control of the canal and Irans control of the flow of oil is going to be destroyed.
At the same time Trump expands American power in the world he reduces government power domestically. Democrats are enraged because America and the world is safer freer and better off. Democrats and the left thrives on people suffering caused by their failed policies and the non solutions they have.

Trump is the greatest president in our lifetime
 
"DEAD HEAT: Stunning New Poll Shows GOP Drawing Even With Dems Ahead of Midterms


A stunning new survey conducted by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS), the Harris Poll, and HarrisX suggests that the GOP has drawn even with the Democrats with eight months to go until the midterm elections.

The poll of 1,999 registered voters, which was conducted online between February 25 and 26, found that 50% of Americans would vote for the Republican candidate in their congressional district and 50% would vote for the Democratic one if the midterms were held today. That marked an enormous improvement for the GOP, which trailed the Democrats 54%-46% on the same question last month.

When presented with the following hypothetical campaign message from the GOP, 54% of respondents said they found it “believable”:"



Yeah well, Democrats and their policies are terrible for the American People. Attacking ICE agents isn't a winning platform in a country with illegal alien rape and murder fatigue.
The reason that generic ballot polls consistently favor Democratic candidates by several points is the decided preference of most Independents.

 
/—-/ The only reality is democRATs vapid posts of insults, fake news, fake polls, and name calling.
Bless you.

My posting corroborative public opinion surveys upsets the MAGA cult, but it is impotent in citing alternative ones.

They're in a tizzy, and can only lash out ineffectually.

Fox News poll gives Trump highest disapproval rating across both his terms

Trump turns on Fox News as he slams their 'terrible polls'

Trump's approval polls show core base abandoning him

Screen Shot 2020-07-27 at 4.27.08 PM.webp
 
Bless you.

My posting corroborative public opinion surveys upsets the MAGA cult, but it is impotent in citing alternative ones.

They're in a tizzy, and can only lash out ineffectually.

Fox News poll gives Trump highest disapproval rating across both his terms

Trump turns on Fox News as he slams their 'terrible polls'

Trump's approval polls show core base abandoning him

/----/ "My posting corroborative public opinion surveys"
Thanks for more fake polls, like the ones that proclaimed Hillary and Harris winners. You clowns fall for them all the time. I'm betting you won't read the following.

Here is why "random adult" (RA) samples often fall short in a political or policy context:

1. The "Likely Voter" Gap

The biggest issue is that not all adults vote. In the U.S., a high-turnout presidential election might see 66% of adults vote; in midterms or primaries, that number drops significantly.
  • The Problem: A poll of random adults includes people who are ineligible to vote (non-citizens), people who aren't registered, and people who simply won't show up.
  • The Result: RA polls often skew more "liberal" or "pro-change" because younger, lower-income, and transient populations—who are less likely to vote—are captured in the sample.

2. Non-Response Bias

This is the "who picks up the phone?" problem. We can randomly select a list of adults, but we can't force them to answer.
  • The Skew: People who participate in polls tend to be more "civically engaged." They have higher trust in institutions and more free time.
  • The Silence: If a specific demographic (e.g., rural voters or cynical non-voters) systematically ignores pollsters, the "random" sample is no longer representative of the actual population.

3. The "Non-Attitude" Phenomenon

Random adults are often asked about complex policy issues they haven't thought about.
  • Social Desirability: Many respondents feel pressured to have an opinion. They will give an answer—any answer—rather than admit they don't know.
  • False Data: This creates "noise" in the data, where a poll suggests 60% support for a bill that 90% of those people haven't actually read or heard of.

4. Registration vs. Reality

Many "random adult" polls don't screen for voter registration status.
  • A person might have very strong opinions, but if they aren't registered by the state deadline, their opinion has zero impact on the political outcome. Polling them for an election forecast is essentially using the wrong yardstick.

Comparison of Sample Types

Sample TypeWho it IncludesBest Used For...
Random Adults (RA)Everyone 18+General social trends, brand awareness.
Registered Voters (RV)Adults on voter rollsLong-term political sentiment.
Likely Voters (LV)Those "likely" to show upPredicting election outcomes (the "Gold Standard").
The Expert Take: When you see a poll, check the "N" (sample size) and the label. If it says "Adults," take the political implications with a grain of salt. If it says "Likely Voters," the pollster has done the hard work of filtering out the noise.
 
15th post
/----/ "My posting corroborative public opinion surveys"
Thanks for more fake polls, like the ones that proclaimed Hillary and Harris winners. You clowns fall for them all the time. I'm betting you won't read the following.

Here is why "random adult" (RA) samples often fall short in a political or policy context:

1. The "Likely Voter" Gap

The biggest issue is that not all adults vote. In the U.S., a high-turnout presidential election might see 66% of adults vote; in midterms or primaries, that number drops significantly.
  • The Problem: A poll of random adults includes people who are ineligible to vote (non-citizens), people who aren't registered, and people who simply won't show up.
  • The Result: RA polls often skew more "liberal" or "pro-change" because younger, lower-income, and transient populations—who are less likely to vote—are captured in the sample.

2. Non-Response Bias

This is the "who picks up the phone?" problem. We can randomly select a list of adults, but we can't force them to answer.
  • The Skew: People who participate in polls tend to be more "civically engaged." They have higher trust in institutions and more free time.
  • The Silence: If a specific demographic (e.g., rural voters or cynical non-voters) systematically ignores pollsters, the "random" sample is no longer representative of the actual population.

3. The "Non-Attitude" Phenomenon

Random adults are often asked about complex policy issues they haven't thought about.
  • Social Desirability: Many respondents feel pressured to have an opinion. They will give an answer—any answer—rather than admit they don't know.
  • False Data: This creates "noise" in the data, where a poll suggests 60% support for a bill that 90% of those people haven't actually read or heard of.

4. Registration vs. Reality

Many "random adult" polls don't screen for voter registration status.
  • A person might have very strong opinions, but if they aren't registered by the state deadline, their opinion has zero impact on the political outcome. Polling them for an election forecast is essentially using the wrong yardstick.

Comparison of Sample Types


Sample TypeWho it IncludesBest Used For...
Random Adults (RA)Everyone 18+General social trends, brand awareness.
Registered Voters (RV)Adults on voter rollsLong-term political sentiment.
Likely Voters (LV)Those "likely" to show upPredicting election outcomes (the "Gold Standard").
The Expert Take: When you see a poll, check the "N" (sample size) and the label. If it says "Adults," take the political implications with a grain of salt. If it says "Likely Voters," the pollster has done the hard work of filtering out the noise.
You flaunt your impotence. Where are your public surveys that indicate support for Trump?
 
/----/ Were you asleep for the last week?

MAGA gives Trump 100% approval rating in new poll, leaving CNN …




0:32

Mar 18, 2026 · President Donald Trump has received unanimous backing from MAGA voters in a new poll — a result that left a television analyst stunned.

  • Author: Brendan Rascius
That's a cult for you.

“Now, there are some Republicans who disapprove of Donald John Trump, but they are not members of the Make America Great Again movement,”

Non-cult Republicans agree with Independents and Democrats. Surveys of Americans concur. The cult figure is increasingly unpopular with Americans:


 
That's a cult for you.

“Now, there are some Republicans who disapprove of Donald John Trump, but they are not members of the Make America Great Again movement,”

Non-cult Republicans agree with Independents and Democrats. Surveys of Americans concur. The cult figure is increasingly unpopular with Americans:


/——-/ Either you don’t understand the methodology or reason of these cheap, fast polls or you’re deliberately ignoring the facts I posted. From one of those polls “Interviews for this survey were conducted between March 19 through March 23, 2026, with adults
aged 18 and over representing the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Panel members were randomly drawn from AmeriSpeak, and 1,150 completed the survey—1,100 via the web and 50 by telephone.

They don’t tell us how many democrats republicans or independents were polled and their breakdown. Only 1,150 surveyed out 160,000,000 likely voters is statistically insignificant.

But if fake polls help you sleep better then go for it. Nothing I post will convince you. I’m done with this.
 
Back
Top Bottom