The idea that President Franklin D. Roosevelt deliberately provoked the Japanese into attacking Pearl Harbor is a subject of controversy and conspiracy theories. The mainstream historical consensus is that there is no concrete evidence to support the claim that Roosevelt or his administration deliberately provoked the attack.
Several key points are considered in this context:
1. Diplomatic and Military Context: The United States imposed economic sanctions and trade embargoes on Japan, primarily in response to Japanese aggression in China and Southeast Asia. These measures were intended to curb Japan's expansionist activities but not necessarily to provoke a war.
2. Lack of Specific Intelligence: While the U.S. had some intelligence indicating that Japan might take aggressive actions, there was no specific knowledge that Pearl Harbor would be targeted. Most expected Japan to strike in Southeast Asia.
3. Public Opinion and Policy: Before Pearl Harbor, U.S. public opinion was largely isolationist, and there was significant resistance to entering the war. Roosevelt’s administration was preparing for potential conflict, but provoking a direct attack was a risky and unlikely strategy.
4. Historical Evidence: Extensive investigations, including the Roberts Commission and later congressional hearings, have found no conclusive evidence that Roosevelt deliberately provoked the attack.
Overall, while the U.S. actions did contribute to tensions with Japan, the theory that Roosevelt intentionally provoked the Pearl Harbor attack to bring the U.S. into World War II lacks substantiated evidence and is not supported by most historians.