Weather alarmism is a hoax!!

[skookerasbil]

"That’s hard to dispute. But glib attributions of recent weather (as opposed to “climate”) phenomena are more wishful than reality. Last month, Commerce Department scientists showed rain data vary so much that “no evidence was found for changes in extreme precipitation attributable to climate change in the available observed record.” What’s good for the U.S. is also good for Louisiana.

Another group of researchers, some with the same department, showed that California’s strong recent warming, which raises the likelihood of drought and enhanced wildfires, is best explained by oceanic temperature patterns from which any carbon dioxide signal had been removed

And, are today’s high temperatures unique in human history? There’s strong evidence that the Arctic Ocean could have experienced long periods of ice-free summers for approximately four millennia after the end of the last ice age (6,000-10,000 years ago) and some evidence it was globally warmer 1,000 years ago, too"

Today’s weather is hardly unique: Opposing view




The AGW bozo's are in this forum every day makin' up stuff..................so ghey.


But who's not winning?

 

[cnm]

But who's not winning?

US rightard dumb fucks being played into buying climate scientists' lunches by a world wide hoax.

Losers.

 

[Old Rocks]

Rise in Weather Risks
When nature becomes a threat
The North American continent is exposed to every type of hazardous weather peril – tropical cyclone, thunderstorm, winter storm, tornado, wildfire, drought and flood. And nowhere in the world is the rising number of natural catastrophes more evident than here. The number of weather-related loss events in North America for the past three decades has nearly quintupled.



Like the number of weather catastrophes, the losses they caused in North America is increasing. Even disregarding 2005 (a record year with Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma), overall and insured losses reveal an upward trend in the past three decades. In 2011, insured property damage due to thunderstorms was the highest on record at an estimated US$ 26bn – more than double the previous US thunderstorm record set in 2010.



Anthropogenic climate change is believed to contribute to this trend, though it influences various perils in different ways. Climate change particularly affects formation of heat-waves, droughts, intense precipitation events, and in the long run, most probably tropical cyclone intensity. The view that weather extremes are becoming more frequent and intense in various regions due to global warming is in keeping with current scientific findings, as set out in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as well as in the special report on weather extremes and disasters (SREX).



Up to now, the increasing losses caused by weather-related natural catastrophes have been primarily driven by socio-economic factors, such as population growth, urban sprawl and increasing wealth. In any case, we believe it is critical for us as risk managers to learn about this risk of change and find improved solutions for adaptation and mitigation. We should prepare for the weather risk changes that lie ahead, particularly in North America.

Munich Re - WRAP - Rise in Weather Risks Overview

Seems some important people think otherwise.

 

[Old Rocks]

Press release
Risk aggravated by persistent extreme weather conditions – “Topics GEO” analyses 2014 natural catastrophes
Over the past years, persistent extreme weather conditions have triggered severe natural catastrophes and caused losses in the billion range. There is a growing number of scientific studies that suggest an increase in quasi-stationary weather patterns and their correlation with the considerable rise in temperature in the Arctic due to global warming.

The current “Topics Geo 2014” publication, with its in-depth analyses and vast trove of data on the natural catastrophes of the past year, addresses this topic.

“Persistent” weather patterns can develop in winter, when outbreaks of Arctic cold-air masses in mid-latitudes over several weeks can inflict high losses regionally. In summer, stationary high- or low-pressure systems can produce heat/drought or precipitation/flooding.

Such Weather patterns, some persisting for weeks, accounted for several weather-related natural catastrophes in 2014. These included the heavy winter snowfalls and ice in many regions of the USA incurring losses in the billions, and the windstorms and floods in Great Britain in February. The generally consistent pattern of the jet stream over the eastern Pacific, North America and North Atlantic produced the frosty winter in the USA, yet a very mild winter in Europe. In its wake, twelve major winter storms swept over Great Britain and Ireland from December 2013 to mid-February 2014, also causing severe flooding.

Risk aggravated by persistent extreme weather conditions – “Topics GEO” analyses 2014 natural catastrophes | Munich Re

Well, we have certainly seen some flooding in the US this year.

 

[Old Rocks]

White Paper Summary

The frequency, severity and exposure of energy systems to extreme weather events are increasing. The number of extreme weather events increased more than 4 times from 38 in 1980 to 174 events in 2014. Severe convective storms’ contribution to overall insured losses (last 5 years compared to last 20 years) alone has increased to over 40%. Many more events are expected in the future, driven by the increase in global average temperature. Extreme hot and cold temperatures will raise overall energy demand and strain peak capacity. The energy supply also faces reduced efficiency of thermal plants, cooling constraints on thermal and nuclear plants and increased stress on transmission and distribution (T&D) systems. More extreme events such as tropical storms, droughts or floods may not only impact energy production and revenue streams, but also the equipment itself.

World Energy Perspective - Risk & Insurance

Another company in another nation.

 

[Old Rocks]

A year of extreme weather, and no reprieve in sight | Toronto Star

The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society was more certain and to the point: it examined some extreme weather events of 2014, including heat waves, drought, wildfires and floods, and concluded they were definitely linked to climate change.

The report, “Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective,” used research from 32 groups of scientists around the world. It said, for example, that the drought in East Africa, the extreme rainfall in France and the long heat waves on nearly every continent could be linked to climate change.

For David Phillips, Environment Canada’s senior climatologist, the climate has changed and it is warmer everywhere. “We see more reports of extreme weather events, causing more economic losses,” he says.

“It isn’t a one-off.”

Buffalo had record snowfall last winter (remember the Polar Vortex?). This year, the city’s first measurable snow came mid-December, breaking a 116-year-old record for lateness.

Even the extremes are different — they are frequent and longer-lasting.

In Canada, says Phillips, weather systems “are taking their time walking through us, they are spreading more misery. It’s almost as if they are in slow motion.”

But the link between extreme weather events and climate change is still anecdotal, he points out, and it’s hard to say with full confidence that “all this extreme weather is linked to climate change. Scientifically, it has to be very clear and that has kind of not been shown yet.”

Note the care the scientists take, to be sure that they state that they do not have total proof. Yet the deniers state that they are absolutely correct, and provide no evidence from science at all. Instead, you get some shit about one world conspiracies involving the whole of the world's scientific community.

 

[Old Rocks]

The human cost of natural disasters 2015: a global perspective
REPORT
from Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters, UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
Published on 06 Mar 2015 —View Original

Between 1994 and 2013, EM-DAT recorded 6,873 natural disasters worldwide, which claimed 1.35 million lives or almost 68,000 lives on average each year. In addition, 218 million people were affected by natural disasters on average per annum during this 20-year period.

The frequency of geophysical disasters (earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions and mass movements) remained broadly constant throughout this period, but a sustained rise in climate-related events (mainly floods and storms) pushed total occurrences significantly higher. Since 2000, EM-DAT recorded an average of 341 climate-related disasters per annum, up 44% from the 1994-2000 average and well over twice the level in 1980-1989.

From a disasters analysis point of view, population growth and patterns of economic development are more important than climate change or cyclical variations in weather when explaining this upward trend. Today, not only are more people in harm’s way than there were 50 years ago, but building in flood plains, earthquakes zones and other high-risk areas has increased the likelihood that a routine natural hazard will become a major catastrophe.

The human cost of natural disasters 2015: a global perspective

A good read.

 

[Mr Natural]

Weather can get as extreme as it wants and there's not a damn thing we can do about it

 

[Old Rocks]

Six U.S. Billion-Dollar Severe Weather Disasters in 2016; More Severe Weather Today
By: Bob Henson and Jeff Masters , 3:40 PM GMT on May 09, 2016

April 2016 Catastrophe Report from insurance broker Aon Benfield, two billion-dollar weather disasters hit the U.S. in April: a severe weather outbreak from the Plains to the Southeast on April 10 - 13 that cost at least $2.75 billion and killed one person, and a severe weather outbreak from April 15 - 19 in the Rockies and Plains that cost $1 billion and killed nine. (Note that Aon Benfield includes flash flood damage in its “severe weather” category.) The highly publicized severe weather of April 27 in the Southern Plains failed to make the billion-dollar threshold, although it did generate hundreds of millions in damage. 



Six U.S. Billion-Dollar Severe Weather Disasters in 2016; More Severe Weather Today | Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

I can post much more on the increase in extreme weather events. They are well documented.

 

[Old Rocks]

Weather can get as extreme as it wants and there's not a damn thing we can do about it

Partly true. We are committed to the warming from the GHGs that we have already put into the atmosphere. And that warming represents more energy in the atmosphere, a more energetic atmosphere is the result, i.e., extreme weather.

 

[skookerasbil]

Im laughing...........of course, what we see on display here is off the hook extreme weather alarmism!!

Even the NOAA has demolished claims that extreme weather is linked to climate change >> NOAA Report Destroys Global Warming Link To Extreme Weather

Cant forget.........the alarmists fall all over themselves trying to make peoples heads explode every time there is flooding, a hurricane, drought. The fact is......shit has been happening since time began........some up years and some down years. Why do you think we see stories of "100 year storms". duh

Also of note.......the folks in here who subscribe to the nutty-ass alarmist view post up rigged links that are from hard core lefty affiliated sites. Do it consistently with no shame!! That's ghey........

 

[Pete7469]

Tools like OldCocks will never give up on the scam. It's a religion to them.

As long as we keep beating them in the nation wide debate, in spite of their massive propaganda campaigns.

 

[Old Rocks]

LOL As the weather has warmed worldwide, the number of extreme weather events per year has also gone up. As has the humans costs of those events.Swiss Re and Munich Re for very good reasons keep track of such matters.

 

[Old Rocks]

Tools like OldCocks will never give up on the scam. It's a religion to them.

As long as we keep beating them in the nation wide debate, in spite of their massive propaganda campaigns.

As the people of this nation wake up to the fact that you have been fooling them for the profits of the energy companies, there will be some pretty severe political repercussions. Texas, Louisiana, Maryland, and West Virginia all had some real wake up calls this year. As did the whole West Coast last year.

 

[skookerasbil]

Just to reiterate........the NOAA disagree's with the alarmist view on extreme weather.

And PS......for people who want to check the historical record, extreme weather as been going on for as long as time ( remember, the alarmists never want you looking at this stuff historically......they want you focusing on present weather only.....its part of the ruse )

Chronology of Extreme Weather

 

[flacaltenn]

The human cost of natural disasters 2015: a global perspective
REPORT
from Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters, UN International Strategy for Disaster Reduction
Published on 06 Mar 2015 —View Original

Between 1994 and 2013, EM-DAT recorded 6,873 natural disasters worldwide, which claimed 1.35 million lives or almost 68,000 lives on average each year. In addition, 218 million people were affected by natural disasters on average per annum during this 20-year period.

The frequency of geophysical disasters (earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions and mass movements) remained broadly constant throughout this period, but a sustained rise in climate-related events (mainly floods and storms) pushed total occurrences significantly higher. Since 2000, EM-DAT recorded an average of 341 climate-related disasters per annum, up 44% from the 1994-2000 average and well over twice the level in 1980-1989.

From a disasters analysis point of view, population growth and patterns of economic development are more important than climate change or cyclical variations in weather when explaining this upward trend. Today, not only are more people in harm’s way than there were 50 years ago, but building in flood plains, earthquakes zones and other high-risk areas has increased the likelihood that a routine natural hazard will become a major catastrophe.

The human cost of natural disasters 2015: a global perspective

A good read.

Could be a good read --- if you actually READ IT !!!!! Here --- lemme blow it up for you..

From a disasters analysis point of view, population growth and patterns of economic development are more important than climate change or cyclical variations in weather when explaining this upward trend. Today, not only are more people in harm’s way than there were 50 years ago, but building in flood plains, earthquakes zones and other high-risk areas has increased the likelihood that a routine natural hazard will become a major catastrophe.

Cali drought?? Not climate change. There are excellent records of 300 and 500 yr long droughts in recent Holocene. All related to cool Pac Ocean states persisting for long periods.

Severe thunderstorms? Might be all those expensive Solar panels that get trashed by hail huh?
Climate scientists are saying this with any kind of consensus. All of their doom is out 50 to 100 years.

 

[jc456]

Tools like OldCocks will never give up on the scam. It's a religion to them.

As long as we keep beating them in the nation wide debate, in spite of their massive propaganda campaigns.

As the people of this nation wake up to the fact that you have been fooling them for the profits of the energy companies, there will be some pretty severe political repercussions. Texas, Louisiana, Maryland, and West Virginia all had some real wake up calls this year. As did the whole West Coast last year.

when might that be?

 

[cnm]

What I'm looking forward to is the look on the faces of all the world's governments when they find out it's been a massive hoax to get a few US rightards to fund climate scientists' lunches.

Can you imagine?