US lawmakers see no Trump plan for Iran following strikes

I've been wondering what the plan is ever since the war began. I understand what you mean, and the outcome you're referring to—destroying their military and nuclear capabilities and ousting the regime—would be nice! But for me, that's not a plan, it's a wish. A plan implies strategies, case scenarios, and so on. You ask your generals what will happen if you do this or that. We bomb Tehran, what happens then, General? They'll close the Strait of Hormuz, first thing. And then the plan comes into play, what you've actually planned for in that specific case. And somehow, I don't see a real strategy here. Or what's the plan after the almost certain closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
You guys are too much. Do you actually think the US has EVER communicated their specific plans for military actions? That would be brain dead dumb.
 
You guys are too much. Do you actually think the US has EVER communicated their specific plans for military actions? That would be brain dead dumb.
Of course, plans for ongoing military operations aren't made public. Not just the US, no military on this planet does that.
So you think a well-developed plan is underway? Then we just need to wait and see what happens. Unfortunately, the current Israeli government is always trying to draw the US into a conflict with Iran. I also don't want Iran to build a nuclear bomb, and I hope for a future of freedom for the Iranian people. I know many Iranians, and nobody approves of the regime.
 
I've been wondering what the plan is ever since the war began. I understand what you mean, and the outcome you're referring to—destroying their military and nuclear capabilities and ousting the regime—would be nice! But for me, that's not a plan, it's a wish. A plan implies strategies, case scenarios, and so on. You ask your generals what will happen if you do this or that. We bomb Tehran, what happens then, General? They'll close the Strait of Hormuz, first thing. And then the plan comes into play, what you've actually planned for in that specific case. And somehow, I don't see a real strategy here. Or what's the plan after the almost certain closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
The plan is to prevent Iran from having the ability to enrich uranium to weapons grade, already accomplished and to prevent Iran from having missiles that can be used to project power to other nations, yet to be accomplished. What you are talking about is tactics, how to achieve these goals.

The US plan for opening the Strait is to effectively close all Iranian ports until, at least, the Strait of Hormuz is open and under US control. With Iran unable to sell any oil, it is estimated that within a few to several weeks Iran's storage tanks will be full and Iran will be forced to stop oil field operations, and within a few months end of Iran's seaborne trade and the apparent divisions within the leadership will force the regime to agree to all US terms for ending the blockade of Iranian ports.

You may not like it, but clearly there is a plan.
 
The plan is to prevent Iran from having the ability to enrich uranium to weapons grade, already accomplished and to prevent Iran from having missiles that can be used to project power to other nations, yet to be accomplished. What you are talking about is tactics, how to achieve these goals.

The US plan for opening the Strait is to effectively close all Iranian ports until, at least, the Strait of Hormuz is open and under US control. With Iran unable to sell any oil, it is estimated that within a few to several weeks Iran's storage tanks will be full and Iran will be forced to stop oil field operations, and within a few months end of Iran's seaborne trade and the apparent divisions within the leadership will force the regime to agree to all US terms for ending the blockade of Iranian ports.

You may not like it, but clearly there is a plan.
That is at least a clear explanation of what you see as the plan, and I appreciate that.

But I still think the key question remains: what happens if Iran does not fold within a few weeks or months?

The strategy you describe depends on several assumptions: that Iran cannot find ways around the blockade, that Russia or China will not help enough to keep them going, that the regime will choose surrender over escalation, and that the economic pressure will not create serious costs for the US and its allies as well.

Maybe that works. But if it doesn’t, then the US is in a prolonged blockade, the Strait of Hormuz remains unstable, allies are dragged into naval security operations, and the global economy keeps paying the price.

That is why I still see a lot of risk here. A plan is not just “pressure them until they give in.” A real plan also needs to answer: what if they don’t?
 
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