Two new national polls: Cruz gains only very slightly on Trump with Rubio out of the race

Vigilante

Diamond Member
Mar 9, 2014
51,327
18,077
2,290
Waiting on the Cowardly Dante!!
No matter what happens, Trump continues to lead!

Hot Air ^

Right, right, national polls aren’t worth much, especially six weeks into state-by-state voting, but they’re interesting as evidence of broad trends that might (or might not) be shaping up. The theory was that Rubio finally getting KO’d in Florida would free up 10-15 percent of the Republican vote, most of which would stampede towards Cruz as the last conservative standing against Trump. That’s … not what we’re seeing here. Cruz is up, but so is Kasich. And in one of these polls, so is Trump.

Maybe that Rubio endorsement is worth less than we thought. First, from Morning Consult:

Twelve percent of the vote shook loose with Rubio’s departure — and Cruz, up four points from 23 percent, received just a third of it. Kasich gained five points by contrast while the “someone else” and “don’t know” categories each received a couple of percentage points. That’s not the numbers you’d expect to see if consolidation behind Cruz were underway.

Rasmussen has a similar story:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters finds Trump with 43% support to Senator Ted Cruz’s 28% and Ohio Governor John Kasich’s 21%. Just five percent (5%) of GOP voters like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

In our last survey of the Republican field just after the February 20 South Carolina Primary and Jeb Bush’s departure from the race, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and Dr. Ben Carson were still in the running. At that time, it was Trump 36%, Rubio 21%, Cruz 17%, Kasich 12% and Carson with eight percent (8%) GOP support.

BUT EVEN MORE INTERESTING IS...

  • Trump & Cruz Delegates in TN To Form Alliance, Pledge Support for Anti-Establishment Candidate
    Breitbart's Big Government ^ | March 18, 2016 | Michael Patrick Leahy
    NASHVILLE, Tennessee-- Many of the 49 delegates in Tennessee who are pledged to either Donald Trump or Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) will reportedly meet this month to seal a grassroots alliance in which they pledge their votes during any contested convention only to Trump or Cruz. "My concern is that whether you are a Cruz delegate or a Trump delegate the establishment wants to nominate somebody like John Kasich who has no mathematical chance or moral authority to become the nominee because he has received so few votes in the primaries," former State Rep. Joe Carr, an at-large Cruz delegate,...
 
People are gonna vote the way they want. They're not gonna be told by their preferred candidate or anyone else who to vote for (especially after their preferred candidate illustrated he was a loser).
 
My take: despite all the talk about a Trump Landslide, essentially no serious poll has given Trump even half of the Republican votes. Clearly, most Republicans want a real Republican candidate.

Not surprisingly, Trump threatens to take his ball and go home I f things don't go his way in Cleveland.
 
Democrats are funny. They bitch about extreme conservative Republicans then bitch about Trump not being one...

I'm thinking that Democrats just like to bitch... :laugh:
 
We should be wetting ourselves laughing at all these candidates, but he possible consequences of any being elected should make us weep..
 

Forum List

Back
Top