berg80
Diamond Member
- Oct 28, 2017
- 18,085
- 15,228
- 2,320
There were 1,450 reported hospitalizations in NYC that went to 5,250 in 7 days. That's a growth rate of 3.6x. Unless the growth rate can be slowed those numbers imply over 800K in one month.According to the World Health Organization,
1 in 7 cases require hospitalization
and 5% require intensive care with ventilators to survive.
In a coronavirus crisis, who deserves a ventilator?
When there are two patients and one ventilator, the one with the greatest survival chance should get the ventilator first.www.usatoday.com
SO explain this math...
595,953 total cases as of 3/27/20 at 8:27 PM..
So according to the above:
1 in 7 cases require hospitalization or 595,953 divided by 7 equals 85,136 hospitalized Covid-19 patients .
AND of the 85,136 hospitalized.... 5% require ventilators or 4,257 ventilators....hmmm....
Please some one explain because IF I use 5% of the 595,953 cases need ventilators... that is 29,798 ventilators world wide!
Something doesn't make sense here...
View attachment 316187
5% of 800K is 40K.