According to the World Health Organization,
1 in 7 cases require hospitalization
and
5% require intensive care with ventilators to survive.
When there are two patients and one ventilator, the one with the greatest survival chance should get the ventilator first.
www.usatoday.com
SO explain this math...
595,953 total cases as of 3/27/20 at 8:27 PM..
So according to the above:
1 in 7 cases require hospitalization or 595,953 divided by 7 equals 85,136 hospitalized Covid-19 patients .
AND of the 85,136 hospitalized.... 5% require ventilators or 4,257 ventilators....hmmm....
Please some one explain because IF I use 5% of the 595,953 cases need ventilators... that is 29,798 ventilators world wide!
Something doesn't make sense here...
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View attachment 316187
It’s 5% of all cases require ventilators support. Not 5% of hospitalized patients.
Simple misunderstanding.
So 5% of all Coronavirus cases 615,519 (as of 3/28/20) would mean 30,775 ventilators are in USE now world-wide according to your misinterpretation.
Then where did Cuomo get his 30,000 ventilator requirements for how many cases... New York would have 615,519 cases alone?
Is that what you are saying? Again.. If New York will need 30,000 ventilators than that means New York would have 615,519 cases or With an estimated 19.45 million residents in 2019
that would mean 3% of New York would contract Covid-19 and 5% of the 615,519 or 30,000 ventilators.
See I'm just asking a logical question. If WHO says 5% of the hospitalized use ventilators and that 1 out of 7 cases are hospitalized... that would mean less than 5,000 ventilators in use NOW...again
according to the WHO. But YOU say 5% of the 615,519 require ventilators or about 30,000.... so does Gov. Cuomo think NY will have 615,519 cases when right now NY has 15,000 cases.
State now has 15,000 cases – around half of US total – with residents of New York City facing further lockdown from Sunday evening
www.theguardian.com
So tell me where the math is incorrect. New York has 15,000 cases today... to get to 615,000 cases that according to WHO require at most 30,000 ventilators... where did he gat that number?