Care to share a link to your source? I'm certainly willing to explore the rationale the writer employs. There are a few reasons that I believe he's fully capable of running and winning again. The first is that IF he actually could only count on 30-40% from his base in what used to be the Republican Party, we wouldn't be seeing the amount of money, time, and effort being spent to find something to prosecute him, either at the Federal level or in New York State courts. It simply wouldn't be necessary.
I assume his detractors (like yourself) tell YOURSELVES that all of the media hysteria about him being some kind of Fascist dictator in waiting, is absolutely accurate AND that it is critical for the "survival of the Republic" or "democracy" that he be indicted, tried, and convicted for his "crimes" while he was president between 2017 and 2021. The greatest weakness of that plan at the Federal level is that there is NO evidence that he did ANYTHING that has been proven to be responsible for the protests in DC on 1/6/2021. NOTHING.
The FBI has found scant evidence that the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol was the result of an organized plot to overturn the presidential election result, according to four current and former law enforcement officials.
www.reuters.com
Dozens of followers of far-right militias have been charged with conspiracy from the January 6 riots, but the FBI doesn’t believe the had a plan once they entered the US Capitol
www.independent.co.uk
After five months of dragnet arrests nationwide, no one has actually been charged with insurrection or sedition.
thehill.com
Additionally, the DC bureaucracy, including FBI, DoJ, DHS, and even CIA, spent 4 years and had an UNLIMITED budget for the most thorough investigation into a duly-elected president in American history and not a single charge was worthy of indictment. By tradition, POTUS cannot be prosecuted while in office because IF that was acceptable then we'd NEVER have another president who could function without perpetually being dragged before courts and having every decision picked apart as "crimes". HOWEVER... not one of the premises the media used to assassinate his legitimacy between 2017 and 2021 has been followed up and used to level charges against Trump, the civilian.
Finally... More than half of the country, especially among Independents and the America-first Republicans, has ZERO confidence in Biden and his numbers, even in favorable polling, have fallen below 40%. The polls that have him at around 38% actually have an inherent bias to the Left that accounts for several points. In short... More than half the country has zero faith in the old man and that number grows as the media 5th column for the Left makes it more obvious every day that this man is senile and that he cannot be trusted to even field media questions. It's so flagrant that he has become a target of ridicule on the global stage.
The guy asks permission to answer certain reporters but ignores others. Those here who still support him and actually believe this guy won 81 MILLION votes are either unwilling to admit their mistake for tribal calculations OR, they genuinely are out of touch with reality.
I'd vote for Trump a 3rd time but if he chooses NOT to run then his support should flow to DeSantis and whoever he chooses as a veep candidate. DeSantis is one of the new breeds in the Republican Party. He's in the company of others who support America first and are willing to fight Socialism regardless of what it costs. I'd include Kristi Noem in that group. OTOH, IF Trump decides to run then I think he'd be crazy not to choose DeSantis. The true bottom line in U.S. politics today is that we are being actively divided by media and entertainment as well as the educational system. Whoever has the courage to stand againt the corrupt media and the sleazy Congress members that have sold out to the CCP, has a real potential to begin a modern revolution that will be based on the principles that most Americans trust and respect.