elvis
Rookie
- Sep 15, 2008
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- #21
Past performance in elections does not predict future performances in future elections. You should have understood that without me trying to provide analogies and examples.This isn't football, guy.
It's the same idea. Lincoln lost over and over again before winning the Presidency. I think he was 0-8. How many elections had McCain lost before losing in 2008? I assure you his record was better than 1-3. In fact I think his only loss was in 2000.
Actually, Lincoln only ran for federal office five times in his life, and he won 3 out of 5. He won his first race as a Congressman in 1846. He served one term as promised and was done. He ran for the Senate in 1854, but he was running to be appointed by the legislature, not popular election. That one he lost, but he was running as a Whig when the Whig party was on it's last legs. He lost in 1858 when he ran as a Republican, but it was against Douglas, who already had the job. He won in 1860 and again in 1864.
Abraham Lincoln - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So he had a 60% victory rate, and a 100% rate when put to the people.
Now let's look at Romney.
Lost to Ted Kennedy in 1994. By 17 points when a lot of people thought Kennedy was vulnerable after the whole rape case trial of his nephew, William Kennedy Smith. It was a year when Republicans were rolling over everyone, and Romney lost.
Won in 2002 for Governor. Spent 7 million of his own money, ran unopposed for the nomination, and his Democratic opponent was a non-entity. And it was 2002, when the Democrats were cowed into submission after 9/11. So despite essentially shooting at a staked rabbit, he only won with 49% of the vote.
2006- Wanted to run for re-election. Polls showed him trailing Devall Patrick by double digits. Left some other poor fool holding the bag.
Then we get to 2008. Spent millions of his own money. Raised millions from other Wall Street bloodsuckers. He lost Iowa to Mike Huckabee running on a shoe string. Lost NH to John McCain who had been declared dead a few months before. He barely won Michigan, but only because McCain didn't contest it. Michigan was holding an illegal early primary, and lost half its delegates. Romney barely won by promising to bail out the auto industry. (Then he condemned Obama for actually bailing out the auto industury.)
He then came in fourth in South Carolina. The guy who came in third quit the next day. He lost Florida.
Ah, and now we get to Super Tuesday. Do you know how many primaries Romney won? Two. Utah, where his fellow LDS cultists voted for him, and his home state of Massachusets, where McCain still came damned close despite not actually campaigning there.
So you can kind of see why the GOP establishment is trying to rig the game for Romney, left to his own devices, he usually manages to muck it up.