"YP139 has a “H” value of 21.6, which corresponds to a possible diameter of 130 – 300 metres.
To put this into perspective, the Chelyabinsk meteor which caused a 500 kiloton explosion over Russia in 2013 was estimated to be around 20 metres in diameter.
Chelyabinsk meteor - Wikipedia the free encyclopedia A 300 metre object has the potential to cause (300 ^ 3 / 20 ^ 3) * 500 kilotons = 1.6 Gigaton explosion. An explosion of this magnitude, especially an ocean strike, could create gigantic Tsunamis, and would severely disrupt the global climate for several years, possibly longer.
"
I guess this would make it a very bad number of years if it struck earth. And this is just on of the asteroids they found.
I used Pudue University's impact calculator and the results was a slightly different than is reported here. At a distance of 100 miles from the impact, the blast wind, when it arrives, would be about 74 mph, breaking glass and throwing around medium-sized objects not tied down or otherwise secured. The fireball on the horizon would be 8.6 times larger than the sun on the horizon. The radiant flux at this distance is about 7.4 times ambient solar flux, so you might get a slight sun burn since it wouldn't last very long. Seismic effects would be nearly unnoticeable at this distance to all but sensitive seismic instruments. No ejecta is likely to reach this distance from the impact. And according to the calculator:
The impact-generated tsunami wave arrives (100 km from the impact) approximately
11.0 minutes after impact.
Tsunami wave amplitude is between:
1.4 meters ( =
4.7 feet) and
40.8 meters ( =
134.0 feet).
At 500 km from the impact:
The impact-generated tsunami wave arrives approximately
54.9 minutes after impact.
Tsunami wave amplitude is less than
8.2 meters ( =
26.8 feet).
At 1000 km from the impact:
The impact-generated tsunami wave arrives approximately
1.8 hours after impact.
Tsunami wave amplitude is less than
4.1 meters ( =
13.4 feet).
Having said all that, I looked up your asteroid, and it is actually larger than you are reporting here. The actual size is 2,130 feet, which is 649.224 meters. So lets plug this number into the impact calculator.
We'll round it to 650 meters for simplicity:
Your Inputs:
Distance from Impact:
100.00 km ( = 62.10 miles )
Projectile diameter:
650.00 meters ( = 2130.00 feet )
Projectile Density:
3000 kg/m3
Impact Velocity:
25.00 km per second ( = 15.50 miles per second )
Impact Angle:
45 degrees
Target Density:
1000 kg/m3
Target Type: Ice
Energy:
Energy before atmospheric entry:
1.35 x 1020 Joules =
3.22 x 10^4 MegaTons TNT
The average interval between impacts of this size somewhere on Earth during the last 4 billion years is
3.3 x 10^5year
Major Global Changes:
The Earth is not strongly disturbed by the impact and loses negligible mass.
The impact does not make a noticeable change in the tilt of Earth's axis (< 5 hundreths of a degree).
The impact does not shift the Earth's orbit noticeably.
Atmospheric Entry:
The projectile begins to breakup at an altitude of
60200 meters = 198000 ft
The projectile reaches the ground in a broken condition. The mass of projectile strikes the surface at velocity
24.7 km/s = 15.3 miles/s
The impact energy is
1.32 x 1020 Joules = 3.14 x 104MegaTons.
The broken projectile fragments strike the ground in an ellipse of dimension
1.22 km by 0.865 km
Crater Dimensions:
What does this mean?
Crater shape is normal in spite of atmospheric crushing; fragments are not significantly dispersed.
Transient Crater Diameter:
12.1 km ( = 7.51 miles )
Transient Crater Depth:
4.28 km ( = 2.66 miles )
Final Crater Diameter:
16.8 km ( = 10.4 miles )
Final Crater Depth:
692 meters ( = 2270 feet )
The crater formed is a
complex crater.
The volume of the target melted or vaporized is 0.828 km3 = 0.199 miles3
Roughly half the melt remains in the crater, where its average thickness is
7.21 meters ( = 23.6 feet ).
Thermal Radiation:
What does this mean?
Time for maximum radiation:
412 milliseconds after impact
Visible fireball radius:
9.39 km ( = 5.83 miles )
The fireball appears
21.3 times larger than the sun
Thermal Exposure:
5.67 x 106 Joules/m2
Duration of Irradiation:
2.2 minutes
Radiant flux (relative to the sun):
42.9
Effects of Thermal Radiation:\
Clothing ignites
Much of the body suffers third degree burns
Newspaper ignites
Plywood flames
Deciduous trees ignite
Grass ignites
Seismic Effects:
What does this mean?
The major seismic shaking will arrive approximately
20 seconds after impact.
Richter Scale Magnitude:
7.6
Mercalli Scale Intensity at a distance of 100 km:
VI. Felt by all, many frightened. Some heavy furniture moved; a few instances of fallen plaster. Damage slight.
VII. Damage negligible in buildings of good design and construction; slight to moderate in well-built ordinary structures; considerable damage in poorly built or badly designed structures; some chimneys broken.
Ejecta:
What does this mean?
The ejecta will arrive approximately
2.4 minutes after the impact.
At your position there is a fine dusting of ejecta with occasional larger fragments
Average Ejecta Thickness:
19.1 cm ( = 7.52 inches )
Mean Fragment Diameter:
10.8 cm ( = 4.25 inches )
Air Blast:
What does this mean?
The air blast will arrive approximately
5.05 minutes after impact.
Peak Overpressure:
63100 Pa = 0.631 bars = 8.95 psi
Max wind velocity:
120 m/s = 268 mph
Sound Intensity:
96 dB (May cause ear pain)
Damage Description:
Multistory wall-bearing buildings will collapse.
Wood frame buildings will almost completely collapse.
Glass windows will shatter.
Up to 90 percent of trees blown down; remainder stripped of branches and leaves.
Needless to say, this is a significant change in the effects of a much larger object. The good news is that NASA doesn't see any threat from this object for at least the next 100 years, but they are nonetheless keeping an eye on it.
Earth Impact Effects Program