My Final Election Prediction

[AzogtheDefiler]

No they won't, Kleetus. Kiss Trump good-bye on Tuesday.

Are you certain?

 

[skye]

 

[Carl in Michigan]

The fetus then should get citenship, and qualify for child support.

If a fetus/embryo is a person then no pregnant woman can be in jail/prison because the fetus would be unconstitutionally imprisoned without a trial.

That's NOT what the Amendment says.
"ANY PERSON" it doesn't say "citizen"

Is a bedridden person who needs others to survive, a worthless life?

 

[Road Runner]

No they won't, Kleetus. Kiss Trump good-bye on Tuesday.

I'll kiss him goodbye,.. right before he gets on his flight to Washington DC.

 

[dudmuck]

That's NOT what the Amendment says.
"ANY PERSON" it doesn't say "citizen"

Is a bedridden person who needs others to survive, a worthless life?

yes, the 14th amendment, correct. The 14th applies to non citizens as well. But if a fetus is a person, then the 14th also protects liberty and property. So a pregnant woman cant be imprisoned without violating the rights in the 14th.

 

[Concerned American]

yes, the 14th amendment, correct. The 14th applies to non citizens as well. But if a fetus is a person, then the 14th also protects liberty and property. So a pregnant woman cant be imprisoned without violating the rights in the 14th.

Medical conditions have NEVER kept anyone from being incarcerated if just in a prison medical facility. As soon as the child is born, it is removed from that facility.

 

[Carl in Michigan]

yes, the 14th amendment, correct. The 14th applies to non citizens as well. But if a fetus is a person, then the 14th also protects liberty and property. So a pregnant woman cant be imprisoned without violating the rights in the 14th.

The BABY (what fetus means) is already "imprisoned " inside the mother. A man dependent on a heart-lung machine is "imprisoned" against his will. A person confined to a hospital bed is imprisoned against his will

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

That's NOT what the Amendment says.
"ANY PERSON" it doesn't say "citizen"

Is a bedridden person who needs others to survive, a worthless life?

No, but we would never force another person to subjugate their own person to the ill person.

So your analogy really just undermines your point and strenghthens his.

 

[AlexanderPK]

That's what it will be like.

 

[marvin martian]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

LOL

 

[OKTexas]

No they won't, Kleetus. Kiss Trump good-bye on Tuesday.

And exactly what would that change in regards to abortion? If you commies think Americans will sit still for your court packing scheme, think again. Fortunately I don't see that coming to pass.

.

 

[yidnar]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

when it comes to early voting democrat turnout is lower than expected .. but they could still Pull out a win .. I believe turnout is going to be the biggest decider .. so far republican early vote turnout is at high !

 

[yidnar]

I think the margin of victory is razor thin.

Victory will not depend on polls, but who gets the vote out on Election Day.

Democrats are using their campaign funds on traditional get out the vote……Registration, mail in ballots and Election Day voting

Republicans are relying more on voter suppression, observers challenging voters and have farmed out their grass roots electioneering.

I think the Blue Wall will hold and Harris will get one of N Carolina, Georgia and Arizona

dem early vote turnout is low pal ..

 

[Toro]

Kamala wins pretty easily

GOP takes the Senate with 51 seats

Democrats win a 20-25 seat majority in the House

 

[Toro]

dem early vote turnout is low pal ..

Wrong as usual

 

[yidnar]

Wrong as usual

Republicans take historic lead in early voting

Members of Trump’s party outvote Democrats in crucial battlegrounds of Nevada and North Carolina heading into election day

www.telegraph.co.uk

 

[Concerned American]

when it comes to early voting democrat turnout is lower than expected .. but they could still Pull out a win .. I believe turnout is going to be the biggest decider .. so far republican early vote turnout is at high !

Dixville Notch, NH first in the nation voting is complete. Their six votes have been tallied. Trump--3, Harris--3. OMG, will it never end. LOL

 

[Toro]

Here's the other weird thing. In every Senate poll I've seen, the Democratic candidate is always ahead of where Harris is polling, sometimes by a lot.

Maybe I'm looking at the wrong polls, but I can't believe that in every single state with a Senatorial election, the local candidate is outpolling the Presidential candidate by a defining margin.

 

[HikerGuy83]

Here's the other weird thing. In every Senate poll I've seen, the Democratic candidate is always ahead of where Harris is polling, sometimes by a lot.

Maybe I'm looking at the wrong polls, but I can't believe that in every single state with a Senatorial election, the local candidate is outpolling the Presidential candidate by a defining margin.

When the presidential candidate sucks more than the senate candidate.....there you go.

 

[SweetSue92]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

Well, here we go Taz. We shall soon see.

I think it's Trump and it's because Harris never did, and could never, drive voter enthusiasm in the cities. They just won't turn out for her like they did Obama and even Biden.