My Final Election Prediction

[SweetSue92]

Women don't care. All they know is that they got screwed by Trump.

My 20-something daughter and most of her friends are voting Trump in MI. Because they are not fooled by all the clanging on about abortion, and bc they can barely afford to live.

 

[SweetSue92]

when it comes to early voting democrat turnout is lower than expected .. but they could still Pull out a win .. I believe turnout is going to be the biggest decider .. so far republican early vote turnout is at high !

Mark Halperin says he's in touch with senior Dems in PA and MI who are so desperate they're going door to door.

 

[SweetSue92]

Here's the other weird thing. In every Senate poll I've seen, the Democratic candidate is always ahead of where Harris is polling, sometimes by a lot.

Maybe I'm looking at the wrong polls, but I can't believe that in every single state with a Senatorial election, the local candidate is outpolling the Presidential candidate by a defining margin.

How can you not understand this?

SHE SUCKS

 

[JoeB131]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

From your lips to God's ear, I hope.

 

[JoeB131]

Mark Halperin says he's in touch with senior Dems in PA and MI who are so desperate they're going door to door.

um, going door to door is what you are supposed to do, and it was always the plan.

Halperin has been on the outs with Democrats since he wrecked Hillary's 2008, and no one returns his calls except Faux News.

 

[martybegan]

There is simply no way Trump has a path to victory at this point, no one could have had a more disastrous ending to a campaign season if they tried. Trump's behavior and his comments, especially as a lecherous creep who said "I will protect women whether they like it or not" was the final nail in the coffin of his trainwreck of a comeback attempt.

Lying to us is one thing, lying to yourself is something else.

 

[JoeB131]

My predictions.

Harris wins by taking MI, WI, PA, NV, and GA.

Republicans win the Senate.

Democrats take the house by a few votes.

 

[EvilCat Breath]

There is simply no way Trump has a path to victory at this point, no one could have had a more disastrous ending to a campaign season if they tried. Trump's behavior and his comments, especially as a lecherous creep who said "I will protect women whether they like it or not" was the final nail in the coffin of his trainwreck of a comeback attempt.

Oh REALLY!

 

[Fort Fun Indiana]

That's what it will be like.

In Russian, even.

 

[AlexanderPK]

In Russian, even.

What did you think? Russia's at it back again.

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

Democrats are on verge of getting crushed.

Because the American people have rejected the vicious culture of calling somebody a Putin lover, a Nazi or a racist with no evidence to back it up. Which is what the left has done. Even if the topic has literally nothing to do with Russia, you will have some nutcase say oh you are Russian sympathizer. It’s no different than calling somebody a jew sympathizer if somebody brings up a point that is literally not even related to Jews.

The radical left has attempted to normalize hate speech and they’re not gonna get away with it. The only hope is that they learn from this. Because it’s a shame what has happened to the Democratic Party which used to be the party of the working man.

I hope Democrats learn from this.


Trump did very good with the black and Hispanic vote. Democrats need to learn from this… cancel culture, BLM, and DEI is a losing formula and it is also very unhealthy.

 

[Oddball]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

 

[M14 Shooter]

Kamala wins pretty easily

Wrong as usual.

 

[M14 Shooter]

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party.

This did not age well.

 

[martybegan]

My predictions.

Harris wins by taking MI, WI, PA, NV, and GA.

Republicans win the Senate.

Democrats take the house by a few votes.

 

[JohnDB]

Has Taz showed up today?

 

[PeanutGallery]

Has Taz showed up today?

Taz may not be the only one who needs a wellness check today.

 

[el midgetron]

In fairness, I was wrong about how the election would turn out as well. I thought Trump would lose. I am pleasantly surprised by this morning’s results

 

[JohnDB]

 

[DakotaKai_fan20]

In fairness, I was wrong about how the election would turn out as well. I thought Trump would lose. I am pleasantly surprised by this morning’s results

As a person who voted Trump, you are great in my books. A lot of Democrats would be in a meltdown. You on the other hand, accept the results. I respect you.