My Final Election Prediction

[el midgetron]

As a person who voted Trump, you are great in my books. A lot of Democrats would be in a meltdown. You on the other hand, accept the results. I respect you.

I voted for Trump. Third time since 2016

 

[Concerned American]

Three of those justices whom he appointed. Do you really think people don't know that?

I saw Trump dancing to "Hail to the Chief" last night. It was glorious.

 

[IDIOCRACY]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

Ist order of business is a return to slavery bro. I want u to be happy, so theres something u can sink your teeth into.

 

[marvin martian]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

LOL

 

[toobfreak]

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

Instead:

• Harris lost badly.
• She didn't carry ANY of the Big Three.
• If any division gets worse, it will only be by the Left.
• The GOP DID appeal to an ever-broader constituency.
• They WERE successful. It was an historic victory. They even took the popular vote.
• The country just moved farther to the Right.

Other than that, you nailed it.

 

[Mortis]

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI),

Now that the election is over, I think you predicted wrong. PA, MI, WI all flipped from BLUE to RED.

That was one strike.

Secondly, you and all the folks who hate Trump believed everything what Kamala said throughout her campaign, thus she really didn't mention what her policies would be. Instead, it was an "all-out war" of attacks against Trump. That was one of her downfall. When she was asked questions the American people wanted to know, she either dodged them, or she didn't give the answer(s) the American people wanted to hear.

That was strike two.

She really never "distance herself" as she repeatedly mentioned. I am sure you would like to think she did, but she was just trying "distance herself" from not saying anything about her throwing Biden under the bus, when Biden was forced to step down.

I amsure you are quite aware of what happened in 2016, when another woman went up against Trump. Her name is Hillary Clinton. I am sure you haven't gotten over that, huh?

Now, as I just mentioned, the Election is over. And Trump beat Kamala Harris. And it wasn't even close.

Kamala Harris really didn't have a chance against Trump. During her campaign, she solely focused on attacking Trump, instead of letting the American people know what her policies would be. And, what she would do as if was elected as President.
Trump just took advantage of her weakness, and let the American people know that she really never cared about them. She was only there for show.


It was like watching a lopsided game of the Super Bowl. Where Trump just ran up the score, and leaving her in the dust.

The final score was:

Team Red: 65

Team Blue 7

That is strike three!

So, do you plan to make another prediction when it comes to 2029? (Don't worry, Trump will be done by then.)


Trump

 

[M14 Shooter]

As I've stated before, ROEVEMBER IS COMING!

 

[MarcATL]

Yep, I certainly was wrong about that.

Let's see how the next four years unfolds.

Remember, Republicans have ALL the power in their hands, include a rabid far rightwing extreme supreme court to enact their bidding.

The floor is yours.

 

[martybegan]

Yep, I certainly was wrong about that.

Let's see how the next four years unfolds.

Remember, Republicans have ALL the power in their hands, include a rabid far rightwing extreme supreme court to enact their bidding.

The floor is yours.

Still don't have 60 in the Senate, and the House margin is razor thin.

So "all the power" is an exaggeration.

 

[Godboy]

There is simply no way Trump has a path to victory at this point, no one could have had a more disastrous ending to a campaign season if they tried. Trump's behavior and his comments, especially as a lecherous creep who said "I will protect women whether they like it or not" was the final nail in the coffin of his trainwreck of a comeback attempt.

Nice prediction, dipshit. You dems really suck at reading the room.

 

[para bellum]

This election is a replay of 2016. Trump wins.

If his 2020 voters are still with him he wins the popular vote easily.

And my prediction was....

 

[HeyNorm]

MAGAt Math.

The Electoral College -- Affirmative Action for imbecile old white men Repugs like Trump and Bush who can't win the popular vote.

Well well, this definitely didn’t age well, did it Einstein?

 

[AzogtheDefiler]

Well well, this definitely didn’t age well, did it Einstein?

Dr. Phosphorous is all talk.

 

[TNHarley]

Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country.

 

[Concerned American]

MAGAt Math.

The Electoral College -- Affirmative Action for imbecile old white men Repugs like Trump and Bush who can't win the popular vote.

LMAO, Trump won the popular vote AND the electoral vote sweeping all of the swing states. Try again. 312-226

 

[marvin martian]

Yep, I certainly was wrong about that.

Let's see how the next four years unfolds.

Remember, Republicans have ALL the power in their hands, include a rabid far rightwing extreme supreme court to enact their bidding.

The floor is yours.

It turns out women don't care only about killing their babies (especially the black ones) the way you do.

 

[Oddball]

You can't embarrass a hater....The emotion isn't available to them.

 

[Nostra]

I am going to preface this with a warning that I'm not going to tolerate trolling or off topic insults in this thread. If you disagree then explain why and adding some facts or data to support your reasoning would be a plus. If you're just going to come here and sling insults because you're aren't mature enough to hear a difference of opinion you'll be removed from the thread.

I believe Harris will win the election. I think she is going to carry the Big Three Rust Belt states (PA, MI, WI), but not necessarily all of the Sun Belt swing states. While I believe the Iowa poll will turn out to be an outlier, it is a bad signal for the Republican Party. It also coincides with some other recent polls showing Trump only slightly up in Ohio, Kansas, and Alaska, states he should be winning by double digits. While I believe he will win those states by more those margins, it underscores a similar theme and what I've stated before. Trump is losing Republican women to Harris over Roe. Abortion is one of those third rails of politics that Republicans have been warned not to mess with, but they didn't listen.

I think the Democrats will also win control of the House by approximately 15 seats. There were several Republican pickups in the 2022 midterms that were in districts Biden won fairly handily and with Harris surging at the end I think many of those reps will lose their seats as a result.

I think the Senate will flip to the Republicans with a 51-seat majority. Sheehy seems almost certain to defeat Tester in Montana, but I don't think Moreno will prevail in Ohio. I think the same Republican women crossing over for Harris will also stick with Sherrod Brown. The only monkeywrench in this scenario would be if Osborne defeats Fischer in Nebraska and ends up caucusing with the Democrats. That would leave a 50/50 split with Walz as the tiebreaker, hence, a Democratic majority. I think Fischer will end up winning, though, despite how close that race has been.

I'm fine with this scenario. Trumpism needs to die or the Republican Party will continue to suffer losses throughout the country. With a Republican majority in the Senate, we can stave off extremism from the Harris administration and the left and if history is any indicator, the 2026 midterms will favor the Republicans to add to their majority, absent something strange taking place.

More locally, I do think Trump will end up winning Nevada and I'm hoping that carries down to the state legislature. After the 2020 Census, the Democrats gerrymandered themselves into a near supermajority in the State Assembly and State Senate, despite the state beginning to trend to the right. They are one seat shy of achieving this, which would allow them to override the governor's vetoes. This would be bad for the state. If Trump does prevail, I'm hoping his coattails will carry down ballot and thwart their attempt at stealing the reigns. I also wouldn't be surprised if we see one of the three Congressional seats they hold flip to the GOP. NV-03 would be the most likely, but NV-01 or NV-04 are possible.

I do not wish to see Harris as president (I voted for Chase Oliver), but unfortunately, there is no other realistic scenario at this point. If Trump is not removed from politics the division in this country will continue to get worse and the Republican Party will only find it harder to appeal to a broader constituency that they need to be successful and we will see this country move further to the left.

You puked up a ton of words to be colossally wrong.

 

[Nostra]

Yep, I certainly was wrong about that.

Let's see how the next four years unfolds.

Remember, Republicans have ALL the power in their hands, include a rabid far rightwing extreme supreme court to enact their bidding.

The floor is yours.

Yes, the floor is ours so sit down and STFU

 

[Oddball]