I am absolutely spitballing here, at this point, but I am guessing that the timing of the Israeli pre-emptive strike on Iran was previously coordinated with President Trump.
I actually also believe that. And it makes a hell of a lot of sense when you look at the timeline.
Operation Rising Lion started on 13 June, and concentrated a hell of a lot on destroying Iranian air defenses. They went after a hell of a lot of other infrastructure, but what was lesser reported was that they almost wiped out the air defense systems.
Then on 15 June reports started surfacing that a huge number of US air tanker aircraft were leaving their bases and heading towards Europe. Now this was widely reported on, much more so because it was not really needed. We have air tankers already in the region, from England and Germany to Quatar and Diego Garcia and Japan. So why send around 30 additional tankers?
I think that was two messages being sent. For one, it was a warning to Iran. And it was an additional warning to Russia. Because those tankers would most likely be used for only one mission, refueling B-2 bombers.
And if somebody is not thinking of Russia, consider this. The US almost casually sent 30 tankers to Europe. The entire Russian Air Tanker fleet is only 19 tankers. The US just sent over 150% of the entire Russian tanker fleet almost casually, and did not even try to hide it.
Then of course the US strike on 22 June.
The timing and the selection of the Israeli targeting is to precise for this to not have been planned ahead of time.
And there is yet another message here, one aimed at Russia and China. With an export version of the F-35A, Israel almost completely destroyed all air defenses in most of Iran. Without taking any losses. The US then followed it up with an even more powerful strike, once again with no losses.
And Iran was using some of the most modern air defenses that China and Russia export. And both Israel and the US swept clean through them without losses.
I bet both nations have a lot of people in their versions of the Pentagon quietly crapping their pants right about now. This was both a powerful as well as subtle display of force. Very much in the vein of Teddy Roosevelt's "Big Stick Diplomacy". The US and Israel showed three of the largest bullies on the planet what they are capable of, and it is something the US can repeat globally at will even without Israel.
And defense planners in many countries are now likely examining their own policies, and wondering what else the US might have that it has not shown anybody yet.
And at least for the remainder of the Trump Presidency, I think this would likely be the warning that the US is about to strike. Sending out a large number of air tankers, as a warning "That's all I can stands - I can't stands no more!"