Near certainty? How about, if it had been Israel, with near certainty 95% of the UN would be screaming and every religious hating Atheist would be providing links, proof and hacked intelligence on it.
There is nothing for Israel to gain by doing this. Absolutely nothing. They have a favourable government in the White House, they would risk this relationship for what?
This is nothing more than the usual tinfoil hat stuff I have heard for decades in Canada, much of it coming from government here. With this thread I make the OP an Honourary Canadian!