Well, if you want to believe the propaganda (which does not jive with official statistics) there will be so many Jews, there is no problem with enfranchising all the people under Israeli control. Problem solved.
No thanks. I'll take a Columbia University research, than your false propaganda and crap.
In two to three generations Israel will annex a Jewish majority West Bank.
Dig!
Technical Notes and Sources
Figure 1: Less immigration, more natural growth
Source: Statistical Abstract of Israel, different years (1992-2012), Table 2.4, “Source of
population growth by district, population group and religion.” Settlers reside in the district of
Judah and Samaria.
Statistical Abstract of Israel 2015
Figure 2: Ultra Orthodox Trump Card
Number of all settlers in 1991 and 2011: Statistical Abstract of Israel, different years (1992-
2012). Table 2.4.
Number of Ultra Orthodox Settlers is the number of people in Ultra Orthodox settlements (4,620
in 1991 and 100,880 in 2011). Source for population in Israeli communities:
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Data Sources and estimation method for 2020:
All (445,782): Our calculations, assuming that the settler population in 2011 (325,100) will
increase by 3.57% per year until 2020. 3.57% is the average natural growth rate (births minus
deaths) in the district of Judah and Samaria during 2009, 2010 and 2011. Source for natural
growth of settler population: our calculations, based on information in Statistical Abstract of
Israel, 2010, 2011, 2012, Table 2.4.
Ultra Orthodox (170,435): Our calculation, assuming that the Ultra Orthodox settler population
in 2011 will increase by 6% per year until 2020. 6% is the latest estimate (2001) for the natural
growth rate of all Ultra Orthodox in Israel. Source: Gurovich, Norma and Eilat Cohen-Kastro.
2004. “Ultra-Orthodox Jews Geographic Distribution and Demographic, Social and Economic
Characteristics of the Ultra-Orthodox Jewish Population in Israel 1996–2001,” Working Papers
Series No. 5, Israel Central Bureau of Statistics. Page 54.
Other settlers (275,348): All settlers minus Ultra orthodox settlers.
Figure 3: High Birthrate and Natural Growth Rates
a. Natural Growth Rates
All Israeli Jews and all Settlers: Our calculation of average natural growth (births minus deaths)
for 2010, 2011, and 2012 for all Israeli Jews (1.48%), and for the district of Judah and Samaria
(3.57%).
Source: Statistical Abstract of Israel, 2010, 2011, 2012, Table 2.4.
Ultra Orthodox Settlers. Gurovich and Cohen-Kastro 2004 above.
Palestinians: Our calculations of average growth in 2008, 2009, and 2010. Source: International
Data Base, US Census
http://www.census.gov/population/international/data/idb/region.php
b. Number of Children:
Palestinians: Total Fertility Rate (TFR) for 2010. Source: same as above.
All Jews and all settlers: Statistical Abstract of Israel 2012, Table 3.11. Data are for TFR in 2011.
All Ultra Orthodox: Hleihel, Ahmad. 2011. “Fertility among Jewish and Muslim women in Israel,
by level of religiosity, 1979-2009.” Working paper number 60, June 2011. Page 32.
Ultra Orthodox Settlers: The TFR (7.7) is the average for TFR in Betar Ilit (7.5) and Modiyin Ilit
(8.2), where the vast majority of Ultra Orthodox settlers reside, adjusted for a slight estimated
decline between 2007 and 2011. Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, Press release, Patterns of
Fertility in 2007. Number
231/20082007, page 5 (in Hebrew).