Here is the key to Trump's loss

JakeStarkey

Diamond Member
Aug 10, 2009
168,037
16,524
2,165
The difference in their favorability rating among the electorate will swing the states either way.

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 48.1 41.9 Clinton +6.2
4-Way RCP Average 44.8 39.0 Clinton +5.8
Favorability Ratings -9.9 -25.7 Clinton +15.8
Live Betting Odds 85.0 15.0

Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 262 164 Clinton +98
No Toss Up States 333 205

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo has Trump at 175 EV, but I think it is 169 or less. He could as high as 218 if the undecideds go for him.
 

Forum List

Back
Top