320 Years of History
Gold Member
Much of today's debate about U.S. economic policy focuses not on what courses of action (behavior) will maximize profits (or incomes in the case of individuals) but rather on emotional factors and assumptions such as:
So what underpins this emotional ardor folks have for the objects of their economic emotionalism. Well, in part, it's merely nostalgia or familiarity with a given economic model. Another part of it, however, is merely folks in essence saying things like:
- Home ownership is necessarily better than renting -- In the abstract, it is neither better nor worse; one needs shelter, not to own shelter. But given the current structure/real property subsidies of the tax code, it is more individually profitable in most cases to buy one's home than to rent it. It doesn't have to be that way; it just is that way due to the way our nation's public policy.
- The loss or decline (macroeconomically/within a national economy) in the quantity demanded for one class of job is worse than retaining it, in spite of there being one or more new classes of job available to take its place -- It would be a bad thing were there no alternative class of job available. It also would be if an entire class of employer exited the market and no other class entered the market to replace it.
So what underpins this emotional ardor folks have for the objects of their economic emotionalism. Well, in part, it's merely nostalgia or familiarity with a given economic model. Another part of it, however, is merely folks in essence saying things like:
- I lost my job and that's not fair. What did I do to deserve to be out of work?
- "So and so" makes "all that money" and buys all those "nice things," yet I can just barely make ends meet as I live a "run of the mill" lifestyle. How can that be fair? I don't need diamond studded escargot forks, but I think a dinner out at a "white tablecloth" restaurant isn't expecting too much for as hard as I work.
- "So and so" can meet with the President, or get his Senators on the phone when s/he calls them. I call and get a recording. If I send them an email, I never get a reply to the topic about which I expressed concern, but they sure do request that I donate money to the party/official's campaign fund. I shouldn't have to "pay" for access to my representative; I have one vote just as "so and so" does, and s/he doesn't even live in my state. How is that fair?
For example, one may recall that IBM used to make what was arguably the best typewriters around. Then along came the PC and IBM stopped making typewriters and shifted to making PCs. IBM wasn't the first makers of PCs, but it saw the train and "got on board." What about other typewriter makers? Well, a good many of them refused to shit to the new paradigm, personal computers, and went out of business. About 25 years after the advent of the personal computer, IBM exited the personal computer business, favoring the business of selling information and knowledge, thus was emerged IBM Global Services. Why? Quite simply because IBM saw that information was going to be more valuable (profitable) for a U.S.-based business than would consumer goods.
Was that really all that different a strategy than was selling typewriters? Not really. IBM has always been primarily a B2B producer/seller. When did IBM exist the PC market? Roughly when consumer demand, thus supply, for PCs became high enough that the prices, thus the profit margin declined to the point it just didn't make sense to keep selling them. Prior to that, businesses were the primary consumers of personal computers, and especially the high quality ones IBM was of a mind to sell.
IBM knew it could not sell computers at $1000 each when competitors sold substantively comparable ones for $600 each, and for most users' needs, an inexpensive personal computer works as effectively as an expensive one. Now it's whole different "ball game" for mainframes and enterprise servers, which IBM continues to build and sell.
For all else that IBM is, it is primarily a business that sells goods and services to other businesses. And why wouldn't it be? Businesses mostly make decisions based on rational factors, based on there being a sound business case for the decision. Individuals, on the other hand, might or might not make rational decisions about their own fortunes. How can a company like IBM make money in that part of the market when the case for buying an IBM product is based largely on a quantifiable economic value proposition, not on how well it makes someone feel.
So what are ways to maximize profits and yet have fairness in economic policy making? Well here are some ideas:Was that really all that different a strategy than was selling typewriters? Not really. IBM has always been primarily a B2B producer/seller. When did IBM exist the PC market? Roughly when consumer demand, thus supply, for PCs became high enough that the prices, thus the profit margin declined to the point it just didn't make sense to keep selling them. Prior to that, businesses were the primary consumers of personal computers, and especially the high quality ones IBM was of a mind to sell.
IBM knew it could not sell computers at $1000 each when competitors sold substantively comparable ones for $600 each, and for most users' needs, an inexpensive personal computer works as effectively as an expensive one. Now it's whole different "ball game" for mainframes and enterprise servers, which IBM continues to build and sell.
For all else that IBM is, it is primarily a business that sells goods and services to other businesses. And why wouldn't it be? Businesses mostly make decisions based on rational factors, based on there being a sound business case for the decision. Individuals, on the other hand, might or might not make rational decisions about their own fortunes. How can a company like IBM make money in that part of the market when the case for buying an IBM product is based largely on a quantifiable economic value proposition, not on how well it makes someone feel.
- Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking: Entitlements in the Market
Community standards of fairness for the setting of prices and wages were elicited by telephone surveys. In customer or labor markets, it is acceptable for a firms to raise prices (or cut wages) when profits are threatened and to maintain profits when costs diminish? It is unfair to exploit shifts in demand by raising prices or cutting wages? Several market anomalies are explained by assuming that these standards of fairness influence the behavior of firms?
- Fairness and the Assumption of Economics
The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession, whose increasing severity and uncertain duration has led and is continuing to lead to massive losses and damage for billions of people. Heavy central bank interventions and government spending programs have been launched worldwide and especially in the USA and Europe, with the hope to unfreeze credit and bolster consumption.
Here, we present evidence and articulate a general framework that allows one to diagnose the fundamental cause of the unfolding financial and economic crisis: the accumulation of several bubbles and their interplay and mutual reinforcement has led to an illusion of a ``perpetual money machine'' allowing financial institutions to extract wealth from an unsustainable artificial process. Taking stock of this diagnostic, we conclude that many of the interventions to address the so-called liquidity crisis and to encourage more consumption are ill-advised and even dangerous, given that precautionary reserves were not accumulated in the ``good times'' but that huge liabilities were. The most ``interesting'' present times constitute unique opportunities but also great challenges, for which we offer a few recommendations.
- Theories of Fairness and Reciprocity - Evidence and Economic Applications
Most economic models are based on the self-interest hypothesis that assumes that all people are exclusively motivated by their material self-interest. In recent years experimental economists have gathered overwhelming evidence that systematically refutes the self-interest hypothesis and suggests that many people are strongly motivated by concerns for fairness and reciprocity. Moreover, several theoretical papers have been written showing that the observed phenomena can be explained in a rigorous and tractable manner. These theories in turn induced a new wave of experimental research offering additional exciting insights into the nature of preferences and into the relative performance of competing theories of fairness. The purpose of this paper is to review these recent developments, to point out open questions, and to suggest avenues for future research.